Trust the Chase - Year Long Thread

@Titusblink

 It would take me a while to do that.

I checked 2017 (just picked a random year)

The system did the following:

318 game 1 wins

164 game 2 wins

74 game 3 wins

50 game 4 wins

22 game 5 wins

13 game 6 wins

6 game 7 wins

2 game 8 wins

3 game 8 losses

Total record: 649-3

This was a losing year (game 8 losses are killer). Since 2012, the system has had 3 losing years.

2013, 2017, 2019, lost $1230, $4633 and 4768 respectively.

2012, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2018 were all winning years. Total amount won wouldve been $26699.79.

Total net from 2012-2019: +16067.08

The ONLY losing years, all had 3 losses each.

If we have 2 game 8 losses or less, we make money.

In 2014 the system had zero game 8 losses and would've won $12,268.28

Loving the analysis you just posted. Wish more people back tested their methods... however, most people go with trend/intuition. Trust the process brotha! Good luck today!

-Zen

@ZenNBApicks

 Thanks friend.

The other way to look at that data from 2017 is that even in a LOSING year, the system went 8-3 on game 7's and 8's combined... For us to win for the year though, it can't lose more than twice.

@arakias

 Thanks !!! I was having second thoughts on the under and was waiting closer to game time to bet. Almost made a big mistake. My large bet on the chase is 200 so I am on it !!

@BEER247

 No problem, good luck to us!

@HeinrichCu

 We don’t worry about the spread here, just totals :)

Got those overs killed me tonight 

Onto our first game 8 of the season...

@arakias

 Goodluck!

@ZenNBApicks and @arakias

Hey guys,

I know, your going full games and I´m not trying to encourage any changes. I have been going by 1st Half and second half, and this most likely changes everything in the scheme of the chase.

My question is, do you feel going by halfs gives you 2 opportunities to gain the win and will it change the gains between wins and losses? Have you ever tried this? 

Last night, I was able to win 1st Half over of the Clippers and Hawks, which means no 2nd half bet. Obviously the other 2 games didnt go over the first half, which means 2nd half was a must on the over and lost them. 

Thanks for all that you do. Just want to hear your input on this. Thx 

@LGG79

 I don't have any info on how first or second halfs have or would have performed, sorry! Todays plays coming up soon.

Todays plays are:

Kings/Magic OVER - Kings are a game 2 play for 3 units.

Bucks/Raptors UNDER - Raptors are a game 5 play for 81 units.

Nuggets/Heat OVER - Heat are a game 1 play for 1 unit.

Nets/Hawks OVER - Both teams are a game 1 play for 1 unit each, 2 units total.

Celtics/Spurs OVER - Both teams are a game 1 play for 1 unit each, 2 units total.

Mavs/Jazz UNDER - Jazz are a game 8 play for 2187 units.

Wizards/Pelicans OVER - Wizards are a game 2 play for 3 units.

Raptors complete the chase on game 5... come on Jazz! Help us out :/

Make stops final 1:34s

Got em!

Congratulations everyone!

I haven't updated all teams through today, but I just plugged in the Raptors and Jazz wins and total YTD profit is now $2844.19 or +1,777.62 units.

I'll have complete numbers tomorrow.

All teams are now in the positive for the year at the moment.

Heat move to game 2, Celtics move to game 2, Spurs move to game 2.

Kings complete the chase on game 2 for +1.73 units, Raptors complete the chase on game 5 for +33.65 units, Nets complete the chase on game 1 for +0.91 units, Hawks complete the chase on game 1 for +0.91 units, Jazz complete the chase on game 8 for +895.39 units, Wizards complete the chase on game 2 for +1.73 units.

Chase is now 127-0.

Total bankroll is +1,734.71 units from the start of the 2020-2021 season.

Todays action is peanuts compared to our MASSIVE win yesterday, but the system rolls on....

Blazers/Rockets OVER, Rockets are a game 2 play for 3 units.

Clippers/Heat OVER, Both teams are a game 2 play for 3 units, total units to wager is 6.

Lakers/Pistons OVER, Lakers are a game 1 play for 1 unit.

Warriors/Suns OVER, Suns are a game 1 play for 1 unit.

@arakias

 Awesome Arakias. 

On these as well. Lets gettem..GL