IT'S NBA PLAYOFF TIME ..................2026

My Lines ................. Tuesday

Celtics -12.53 over 76ers

Knicks -7.94 over Hawks

Spurs -15.67 over Blazers ....... using after the break

Spurs -10.92 ...... full season

Spurs -13.3 .......Ave of the 2

It appears book is using the full season for Spurs as i talked about before.

Generally they will jack up the close-out game line. Based on game 1 & 2 -11 to -11.5 i have from my local book a -12 is a small move up but not much.

With close-out games for both Celtics and Spurs likely 1 team will win big. Both may cover but I'll  pass as they may go 1-1 ATS.

Spurs i would lean is the better choice to cover but I'll pass.

It is possible if one of these 2 teams wins big that brings us our first playoff regression game to start the next round. I hope we get it.

Usually we do get at least 1 team in the 1st round most years.

I'd lean the Knicks to get it done tonight and take a 3-2 lead in the series.

Not sure if they cover but would not surprise me if they do. How much better the Hawks are after Yound trade I don't know so I'll pass for now.

Hawks won 2 games by 1 pt each game. That is more luck based people, we've  gone through this time and again.

Hawks making all the right plays late and getting lucky breaks.  This is very similar to the Pacers last year. Haliburton was making last second clutch shots at an all-time record shattering  pace.

Not sustainable, but he did for a little while till the finals.

Do you think this same lighting will strike 2 years in a row  ?  I don't. !!

Will Hawks continue ? I would not count on it.

We'll  see.

l have 1 play for tonight, I'll  do something a little different.  

White OVER 12.5 points (-112) --- .56 units to win .5 units

White 20+ pts +650 ---- .1 units to win .65 units

It appears White has peaked to the bottom last game with is 6 pts. The lowest he has scored while continuing to go under his total each game.

So with all those unders and scoring his lowest output is indicative of a peak to the bottom with only 1 way to go and that is up.

Regression play here, closeout game White will bounce back and get the OVER.

Like Knicks to roll them tonight. MSG is packed, home team about to show out

With you on white claw. Bang, look what I did there. GL tonight 

White cant break this funk he's in apparently. Liked the play regardless of the outcome  GL next

Hmm Hawks are live +15.5

Have the Knicks beat the Hawks by over 15 this year?

[Quote: Originally Posted by Betbychoice]Like Knicks to roll them tonight. MSG is packed, home team about to show out[/Quote

Yea he'll  break out at some point soon I suspect.

Let's wait till book makes a big line adjustment  to his points ................

Hawks lucky ways ran out ..............

0-2, lost .66 units

Playoffs ---- 9-5, win 3.45 units

Player props & any futures --- 0-2, lost .66 units

Boy oh boy White was pathetic , 2 of 7 and 0 of 4 on 3's.

Averaging 8.2 pts in playoffs with a 7 PER.

I'll consider this play again if the book lowers hos pt total and especially  if the public bets it down more then that could mark rock bottom.

The other games went about the way I thought they would. Spurs/Celtics went 1-1 ATS with Spurs covering.

And the Knicks just rolled the Hawks. I didn't see that big of a win coming  but the Hawks luck ran out.

Knicks now off 2 ATS WINS with a big blowout 29 win and a 16 pt win. Not the best spot in game 6.

Knicks really responded to take control of this series. 

My Lines ...............

Pistons -11.06 over Magic

Cavs -4.98 over Raps

LA -1.57 over Rockets

Pistons off 2 ATS & SU losses, nice spot to back them and my lines on them, the play has to be Pistons. 

Raps off 2 ATS & SU wins, not the best spot to back them, with my lines on them I'll  pass.

I heard Rockets player talking how they will be the very first team to come back down 3-0, not the best thing to be saying.

I'd think Rockets have a decent shot to win SU, I haven't checked KD status, may not know anyway untill right before game time .

With all this big talk can't not back this team. This team is all bark and very little bite.

We'll  find out tonight for sure.

@theclaw

 He’s out confirmed

I like pistons as well but  like the 1st half better, they got to come out with a killer mentality and play hard. They cant play around with this game, so expecting them to be up big the first half.

Any official plays?

.......

Pistons hung in to get the win but not the cover.

My lines in now 1-4 ATS in this series. Pistons not living up to their regular season or Magic turn it up a notch or 2.

Interesting how my lines will do next round on the winner of this series. I suspect they bounce back and do much better.

My Lines ...............

Celtics -4.53 over 76ers

Hawks -.06 over Knicks

Twolves -2.31 over Nuggets

Embiid is back and 76ers play well game 5 with him.

But Celtics in a 2cd closeout game and the clearly better team the play has to be on Celtics.

My line is on Hawks and Knicks off 2 ATS & SU wins and off a big blowout 29 pt win.

Not the best spot for the Knicks.

But with both PR I & PR II on Knicks by a big amount to win this series , such a large difference in each team rarely goes to a game 7.

For me to back the Hawks I'd have to believe the Hawks are much  better after the Young trade l by a good amount then in these cases the series does have a good shot to go 7 games.

Since I don't know that I have to pass.

Twolves at home getting 5.5 or 6 pts. With Ant out and the other player  out how many pts are the 2 worth ?

With my line Twolves -2.31 there is over 8 pt difference with Twolves +6 at +5.5 there is over a 7 pt difference  that is too big a difference Ant and the other players is not close to being worth that much higher.

This is to big a line adjustment for the 2 players.

I'd lean Twolves +6 or +5.5.

Celtics -6 over 76ers--- 1.1 units

If Donte DiVincenzo happens to peruse Covers.com, I think when he gets around to opening this thread, his forehead is going to gently hit his desk after he reads that, lol.

The Hawks finished 24-17 at home this season, but check out their final 15 regular season home games...

defeated the Nets 115-104

defeated the Wizards 119-98

defeated the Wizards 126-96

defeated the Blazers 135-101

defeated the Sixers 125-116

defated the Mavericks 124-112

defeated the Nets 108-97

defeated the Bucks 122-99

defeated the Magic 124-112

defeated the Warriors 116-110

defeated the Grizzlies 146-107

defeated the Kings 123-113

defeated the Celtics 112-102

lost to the Knicks 108-105

defeated the Cavaliers 124-102

I realize much of that competition was soft, but look what they did to them! The Hawks went 14-1 and 12-3 ATS. But now they're going to lose to the Knicks at home for the 3rd time in 4 tries this month? Are the Knicks that bad a matchup for them? I didn't watch much NBA this season. Can someone answer that question?