IT'S NBA PLAYOFF TIME ..................2026

Yea the hero down the stretch  and the guy scoring gets lots of credit  whether deserved or not ..............

Nice .........

Yep............

Yes I see that as well with some of my info ........

Game 3 Wemby was a beast. It appeared he is fighting back with this rough-house Knicks team.

Wemby leads all players in game score after 3 games at 23.6.

Anunoby after a big game 3 leads all Knicks players 17.9, Towns 16 , Brunson 13.3 but with a huge usage of 39.6%.

Wemby going against much stronger players throughout the  playoffs has a rebounding % of 13% which is not good.

Towns clocks in at 16.4%.

Wemby assist 16.5% to 14% TO,s 

Towns 14.5 assist to 10.9% TO's

Towns a little better difference 3.6 to Wemby 2.5.

My Lines .......... game 4

Knicks-.06 over Spurs .........full season

Spurs -.34 over Knicks ..........ave

My Lines 1992 to 2022.......

Have not updated as of now.

2.5 difference  with my line and closing line is... 10.5 ATS

7-2 ATS if coming in off a SU win and 2.5 difference 

3-3 ATS coming in off a SU loss and a 2.5 difference. 

We don't have a 2.5 difference  unless the line goes up to 2.5 then using the ave we'd have the 2.5 difference on Spurs but this assuming we give Knicks no credit for playing better in playoffs.

I think Spurs are better then end of season, closer to the ave,  so is we use end of season that give Knicks extra credit for playoffs which makes this a no play for me.

I guess that all means that NY could win by exactly 1 point (LOL).

@DogbiteWilliams

 Thank you for summarizing all that for us...hehehehehe!!! 

Ha .........

A lean on my lines is now 2-2 ATS. Lost games 1 & 2 both on the Spurs then won with Spurs game 3 and game 4.

Game 3 being the biggest difference with my lines and actual line. A game i "should of" , "could of" made a play but damn those Knicks were on such a run I couldn't bring myself to do it.

Even though I always say "stay the course  with the info", I broke my own rules.

Anunoby has put himself in position for MVP, blocks Fox at the end then tips in the winning basket.

He goes a sensational 7 of 9 on 3's and 10 of 15 overall.

He leads the Knicks in game score, a players overall contributions, after 4 games.

Meanwhile Wemby misses 2 big FT's and has a poor shooting game like 36% and 20% on 3's in a game he almost certainly needed to win.

He did get 13 rebounds which was an improvement on his recent play.

And had 0 TO's.

Is Wemby going to be another Lebron or will he go on to be another Shaq, who after being swept 4-0 by Hakeem and the Rockets won 3 straight titles some years later.

Lebron did win back to back Titles after losing 2 Finals and crashing in one of those,  and he did loss more Finals overall then he won.

A you tube talked about Wemby having a high center of gravity so even if he bulks up he still could get pushed around by other strong bigs with a lower center of gravity. 

Wembanyama is skating on thin ice:  he already has 3 flagrant fouls this postseason and one more would result in an automatic one-game suspension.  I don't foresee SA winning 3 straight without him.

He's a young guy, but he needs more self-control or he might be crippling his team.

Good point.............

Knicks are roughing him up but within limits are allowed while it seems Wemby wants to fight back but he doesn't  understand to do it within those limits. 

That is a part of the game Wemby needs to learn.

Players can get physical, hold some but you can't  swing your elbows purposely trying to hit someone out of frustration.

You can't  grab Brunson by the back of his neck and push his head down, he did get away with that but that is not how you get physical back.

My Lines ..............game 5

Spurs -5.94 over Knicks ...... full season

Spurs -8.34 ........ ave

In closeout games since 1992 ......... we give no additional pts for trailing in the series.

In all games --- 23-11 ATS

2 pt difference---- 13-6 ATS

All other games UNDER 2 pt difference --- 10-5 ATS

THE BOOK as I mentioned before is using the end of season ratings at least according to my ratings.

End of the season we do have a lean on Spurs. 

Ave we have a play on Spurs.

I did use end of season stats for Pacers last season in closeout game 6 & 7 .

Had I used Pacers as of Jan 2cd which is when they became a much better team the 2 pt difference  picks up another win in game 6 on Pacers .

Game 7 was a 2 pt difference either way.

Play has to be on Spurs or no play.

Good luck with SA.  The road team has covered all four games; maybe this game the home team will step up big.

This query only covers 9 games, but it says SA should win SU with an average margin of 10.0 points:

PO = 1 and series game = 5 and HF and -2.2 > line > -8.7 and p:LAD and p:ATSW

SU:  9-0 (10.0,100.0%)

ATS:  6-3 (5.2,66.7%)

OU:  2-7-0 (-5.6,22.2%)

TC, in Comment #463 you said you had a play on SA but you didn't mention the line or units.  I'm sure your tailers would love to know.

TIA.

I said play is on Spurs, that is if anyone wants to make a play based on my info.

I may or may not...........

Let's see where this line settles.

If you want to watch a great video explaining B. RUSSEL VS WILT.

This guy breaks down alot of info. He points out what I talked about before playoffs that high usage players don't win titles.

He measures high usage differently 

It really helps explain why Russel won titles but Wilt didn't  do well in winning  titles.

And why Wilt scored 50 points per game, in that year he was an extreme outlier in usage from his  outlier high usage self.

Great channel....... thinking basketball

Greatest Peaks, Russell VS Wilt

Look it up

@theclaw

I regard Bill Russell as the NBA GOAT, but the game has changed so drastically that he could never win 11 NBA championships today.  Today's 3-pointers/bombs away/quasi-Horse style of play doesn't provide much of a chance for an inside powerhouse to dominate.

Will Victor Wembanyama gain some muscle and win 11 championships?  I am not holding my breath.

Teams down 3 - 1 with a single digit spread 46 - 26 - 3 ats
and coming off a 1 possesion loss 14 - 1 - 0 ats

Exactly dog .............

And why it is so difficult to compare players as they played in different  era with different rules and style of play.

A great example I like to use to show how big a difference  each era can be is look at Wilt setting the rebou d record with 27.2 per game in 1961.

That year there were 146 rebounds available  in the average NBA game.

When Shaq won his first title in 2000 there was 86 rebounds available  in the average game.

Now how can you compare the rebound totals to each other, impossible.

How could Shaq come even remotely close to 27 rebounds  a game with only 86 available  ?

Era's make a huge difference.

Good stuff ...............

I broke down the 1991 Bulls Playoff Only PR, the first title won by MJ and Bulls..........

73.15..... 5th best of all teams i have done at this point.

And 11.96 better then the Lakers.

That makes now 4 Teams over 10 pts better with all 4 winning by 4-0 or 4-1.

Will the Knicks make it 5 for 5 Teams tonight ?

All 4 of the other teams had home court in the finals, Knicks are the first road team to be over 10 pts better.

I still like Spurs tonight ..............

Spurs -5 (-120) over Knicks --- 1.2 units