Will OKC get upset tonight. Awful large ml play there. Should you bite ?
Of the 10 monster shooting efficiency teams over 5% they are now 8-2 ATS in their very first playoff game..
And they are a equally impressive 6-1-3 to the under in those games.
Of the 8 teams won ATS all 8 won by 20 pts or more. And all 8 went 6-0-2 to the Under.
5 of the 8 held opps under 90 pts
7 of 8 held opps 92 or under
The last team held opp to 94.
Of the 2 teams failed to win ATS they held opps to 99 and 109.
It appears it was defense helped these teams win ATS.
of the previous 7 teams won ATS game 1 and played game 2...... 4 of those 7 gave up over 100 pts. A 5th team , OKC last year gave up 99 pts.
5 of the 7 gave up 99 pts or more in game 2.
While game 1 only 2 of the 9 teams gave up 99 pts or more both failed to cover.
Of the teams did cover game 1 not 1 team gave up 99 pts or more.
So game 2 is a big difference from game 1.
Of the 7 game 1 ATS winners with all 7 winning by 20 pts or more, not 1 single team of those 7 won by 20 pts or more in game 2.
One team failed to cover game one did win by 29 pts and hold opp to 81 pts in game 2.
Of the 10 game 1's and the 9 game 2's these monster shooting efficiency teams are an outstanding 19-1 SU .
BUT The previous 7 teams to WIn ATS in game 1 are only 4-3 ATS game 2
And 4-3 to the under game 2.
I would not count on OKC to lose this game SU.
But they are not as likely to cover such an inflated line.
Big line adjustment by the books. Best to go against these and with my lines on the Suns.....
Play is on the Suns +17.