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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Runn Differential League Snapshot... 4-27-19...

    «First Previous 678 ... 192021 Next Last»
    smacksmiter
    WISEGUY36
    esposito10304
    Ghorvath32
    cazzz29
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 36947
    Posts: 523
    «First Previous 678 ... 192021 Next Last»
     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 14, 2019 - 2:44 AM ET #126

    Quote Originally Posted by skoonr3:

    Hey Smack.... it was due, and its not like it went 2-8, there was a few bpen implosions yest (STLou wowww etc...almost made me want to backtrack how this did First5 if I had the time)...obviously most plays
    will be juicy....it would be insane daily for you to put these plays out daily and track juice.....common sense / how I play em is -1/-1.5/or 2Team parlays if there's a couple doozys -200ish....you're providing a tool, its up to us how to figure out how to minimize juice risk...




    Great way to characterize it, my friend...it is a tool and hopefully it will become sharper and sharper as the season goes on......


    Today the system went 3-1...Overall now 77-47 over 16 days...

    Borderline plays went 1-0 so for the first time in a LONG time you would have had a better record playing the full card at 75% winning rate vs taking out the borderline winner to give you a 66.7% winning rate on the day...both still very good......

    Been working some long days...sorry I have missed responding to some of the posts...some good suggestions I believe...will be looking them over...



    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Quote Originally Posted by skoonr3:

    Hey Smack.... it was due, and its not like it went 2-8, there was a few bpen implosions yest (STLou wowww etc...almost made me want to backtrack how this did First5 if I had the time)...obviously most plays
    will be juicy....it would be insane daily for you to put these plays out daily and track juice.....common sense / how I play em is -1/-1.5/or 2Team parlays if there's a couple doozys -200ish....you're providing a tool, its up to us how to figure out how to minimize juice risk...




    Great way to characterize it, my friend...it is a tool and hopefully it will become sharper and sharper as the season goes on......


    Today the system went 3-1...Overall now 77-47 over 16 days...

    Borderline plays went 1-0 so for the first time in a LONG time you would have had a better record playing the full card at 75% winning rate vs taking out the borderline winner to give you a 66.7% winning rate on the day...both still very good......

    Been working some long days...sorry I have missed responding to some of the posts...some good suggestions I believe...will be looking them over...



     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 14, 2019 - 10:49 AM ET #127

    The system plays for day 17...

    NYY (+36) vs Baltimore (-75)
    Chicago Cubs (+54) at Cincinnati (+30)
    Philladelphia (+42) vs Milwaukee (+2)
    Houston (+76) at Detroit (-56)
    T.B. Devil Rays (+57) at Miami (-91)
    Boston (+27) vs Colorado (-5)
    Minnesota (+50) vs LA Angels (0)
    Arizona (+19) vs Pittsburgh (-41)
    LA Dodgers (+53) vs S.D. (-11)

    Borderline selections for today...

    NYY
    Minnesota
    LA Dodgers

    Notes...Seattle's defense is terrible...actually factoring this in with it's plays now it's epic bad...

    Cincinnati is a strange anomaly this year...with a record of 18-23 they have been at the bottom of the NL Central most of the year...HOWEVER...they have consistently had a positive run differential and now sit at +30...which is good enough to place them 4th in the NL..went back and looked at their games and found the explanation...3 games where they crushed their opponents by a combined +33 pretty much makes the number...

    Great illustration of how run differential can be skewed...looking at strength of schedule might be a way to refine this...someone had mentioned this earlier and it will be worth investigating...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    The system plays for day 17...

    NYY (+36) vs Baltimore (-75)
    Chicago Cubs (+54) at Cincinnati (+30)
    Philladelphia (+42) vs Milwaukee (+2)
    Houston (+76) at Detroit (-56)
    T.B. Devil Rays (+57) at Miami (-91)
    Boston (+27) vs Colorado (-5)
    Minnesota (+50) vs LA Angels (0)
    Arizona (+19) vs Pittsburgh (-41)
    LA Dodgers (+53) vs S.D. (-11)

    Borderline selections for today...

    NYY
    Minnesota
    LA Dodgers

    Notes...Seattle's defense is terrible...actually factoring this in with it's plays now it's epic bad...

    Cincinnati is a strange anomaly this year...with a record of 18-23 they have been at the bottom of the NL Central most of the year...HOWEVER...they have consistently had a positive run differential and now sit at +30...which is good enough to place them 4th in the NL..went back and looked at their games and found the explanation...3 games where they crushed their opponents by a combined +33 pretty much makes the number...

    Great illustration of how run differential can be skewed...looking at strength of schedule might be a way to refine this...someone had mentioned this earlier and it will be worth investigating...

     
    WISEGUY36
    WISEGUY36
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    Posted: May. 14, 2019 - 11:02 AM ET #128

         
    Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
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    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 14, 2019 - 11:16 AM ET #129

    Personal faves today...

    Houston RL
    T.B. Devil Rays RL
    Boston RL
    Arizona F5

    Miami (-91) and Toronto (-34) have been sinking the fastest lately...very hard not to just key in Miami as a loser every day...both teams are tied for the worst last 10 games record at 2-8...VERY good chance they get swept in this series with the Devil Rays...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Personal faves today...

    Houston RL
    T.B. Devil Rays RL
    Boston RL
    Arizona F5

    Miami (-91) and Toronto (-34) have been sinking the fastest lately...very hard not to just key in Miami as a loser every day...both teams are tied for the worst last 10 games record at 2-8...VERY good chance they get swept in this series with the Devil Rays...

     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 14, 2019 - 11:24 AM ET #130

    Quote Originally Posted by esposito10304:

    What do you thing about the rating system made by baseball-reference, based on run differential + strength of schedule ? According to this, for example, Milwaukee is slightly "better" than Philly.


    Excellent idea...just looked at the site but couldn't find the exact page where they post this system...can you post or pm me a link?

    Thanks brutha!

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Quote Originally Posted by esposito10304:

    What do you thing about the rating system made by baseball-reference, based on run differential + strength of schedule ? According to this, for example, Milwaukee is slightly "better" than Philly.


    Excellent idea...just looked at the site but couldn't find the exact page where they post this system...can you post or pm me a link?

    Thanks brutha!

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posted: May. 14, 2019 - 11:38 AM ET #131

    Can't pm you but here it is. Look at SRS in detailed Standings
    https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/MLB-standings.shtml
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    Can't pm you but here it is. Look at SRS in detailed Standings
    https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/MLB-standings.shtml
     
    Ghorvath32
    Ghorvath32
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    Posted: May. 14, 2019 - 12:20 PM ET #132

    Nice work so far Smack, BOL today

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    Nice work so far Smack, BOL today

     
    Ghorvath32
    Ghorvath32
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    Posted: May. 14, 2019 - 12:23 PM ET #133

    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    The system plays for day 17...NYY (+36) vs Baltimore (-75)Chicago Cubs (+54) at Cincinnati (+30)Philladelphia (+42) vs Milwaukee (+2)Houston (+76) at Detroit (-56)T.B. Devil Rays (+57) at Miami (-91)Boston (+27) vs Colorado (-5)Minnesota (+50) vs LA Angels (0)Arizona (+19) vs Pittsburgh (-41)LA Dodgers (+53) vs S.D. (-11)Borderline selections for today...NYYMinnesotaLA DodgersNotes...Seattle's defense is terrible...actually factoring this in with it's plays now it's epic bad...Cincinnati is a strange anomaly this year...with a record of 18-23 they have been at the bottom of the NL Central most of the year...HOWEVER...they have consistently had a positive run differential and now sit at +30...which is good enough to place them 4th in the NL..went back and looked at their games and found the explanation...3 games where they crushed their opponents by a combined +33 pretty much makes the number...Great illustration of how run differential can be skewed...looking at strength of schedule might be a way to refine this...someone had mentioned this earlier and it will be worth investigating...

     

    Oak/Seatle R.D L3.  

    Oak (0) Sea (-26)

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    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    The system plays for day 17...NYY (+36) vs Baltimore (-75)Chicago Cubs (+54) at Cincinnati (+30)Philladelphia (+42) vs Milwaukee (+2)Houston (+76) at Detroit (-56)T.B. Devil Rays (+57) at Miami (-91)Boston (+27) vs Colorado (-5)Minnesota (+50) vs LA Angels (0)Arizona (+19) vs Pittsburgh (-41)LA Dodgers (+53) vs S.D. (-11)Borderline selections for today...NYYMinnesotaLA DodgersNotes...Seattle's defense is terrible...actually factoring this in with it's plays now it's epic bad...Cincinnati is a strange anomaly this year...with a record of 18-23 they have been at the bottom of the NL Central most of the year...HOWEVER...they have consistently had a positive run differential and now sit at +30...which is good enough to place them 4th in the NL..went back and looked at their games and found the explanation...3 games where they crushed their opponents by a combined +33 pretty much makes the number...Great illustration of how run differential can be skewed...looking at strength of schedule might be a way to refine this...someone had mentioned this earlier and it will be worth investigating...

     

    Oak/Seatle R.D L3.  

    Oak (0) Sea (-26)

     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 14, 2019 - 6:07 PM ET #134

    Quote Originally Posted by esposito10304:

    Can't pm you but here it is. Look at SRS in detailed Standings
    https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/MLB-standings.shtml

    Thanks brutha...will be looking into it...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Quote Originally Posted by esposito10304:

    Can't pm you but here it is. Look at SRS in detailed Standings
    https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/MLB-standings.shtml

    Thanks brutha...will be looking into it...

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 14, 2019 - 6:13 PM ET #135

    Lottery ticket for tonight is ready...

    Arizona -152
    Houston -208
    T.B. Devil Rays -139
    Boston -241

    $100 pays $497...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Lottery ticket for tonight is ready...

    Arizona -152
    Houston -208
    T.B. Devil Rays -139
    Boston -241

    $100 pays $497...

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 14, 2019 - 6:18 PM ET #136

    I'm feeling a bit adventurous tonight...bought another lottery ticket...

    S.D. +136
    Houston -208
    Texas/K.C. OVER 9.5... -110
    Oakland/Seattle OVER 9... EVEN

    $100 wins $1234...

    Playing all of the lottery ticket selections as straight wagers as well for $200 each...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    I'm feeling a bit adventurous tonight...bought another lottery ticket...

    S.D. +136
    Houston -208
    Texas/K.C. OVER 9.5... -110
    Oakland/Seattle OVER 9... EVEN

    $100 wins $1234...

    Playing all of the lottery ticket selections as straight wagers as well for $200 each...

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 15, 2019 - 9:37 AM ET #137

    The system went 5-3 on day 17 and now sits at 82-50 overall after day 17 is in the books...

    Borderlines went 2-0...rarely do they do better than the system...

    Both lottery tickets crashed and burned......serves me right for taking S.D. against the system...lol...and that Boston game...jeez...

    Personal faves 2-2...meh...

    On a lighter note...Miami...don't try to catch a falling knife...they will finish the season around (-270) to (-300) in run differential...they are just getting started in their futility...






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    The system went 5-3 on day 17 and now sits at 82-50 overall after day 17 is in the books...

    Borderlines went 2-0...rarely do they do better than the system...

    Both lottery tickets crashed and burned......serves me right for taking S.D. against the system...lol...and that Boston game...jeez...

    Personal faves 2-2...meh...

    On a lighter note...Miami...don't try to catch a falling knife...they will finish the season around (-270) to (-300) in run differential...they are just getting started in their futility...






     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 15, 2019 - 9:56 AM ET #138

    Toronto at S.F. today...

    The Giants are starting a minor league rookie and the Blue Jays are staring Edwin Jackson who is setting a new major league record of playing with his 14th major league team...

    Give me the OVER as a strong personal fave play...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Toronto at S.F. today...

    The Giants are starting a minor league rookie and the Blue Jays are staring Edwin Jackson who is setting a new major league record of playing with his 14th major league team...

    Give me the OVER as a strong personal fave play...

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 15, 2019 - 10:16 AM ET #139

    The system plays are in for day 18...

    Minnesota (+51) vs LA Angels (-1)
    NYY (+36) vs Baltimore (-75)
    Arizona (+15) vs Pittsburgh (-37)
    Chicago Cubs (+56) at Cincinnati (+28)
    Philadelphia (+37) vs Milwaukee (+7)
    Houston (+83) at Detroit (-63)
    T.B. Devil Rays (+61) at Miami (-95)
    Boston (+26) vs Colorado (-4)
    St. Louis (+31) at Atlanta (-10)
    LA Dodgers (+56) vs S.D. (-14)

    Quite a few borderline plays today...

    Cubs
    Philly
    Boston
    ST Louis
    LA Dodgers

    This seems to be a difficult day in general...will be interesting to see how the system does ..

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    The system plays are in for day 18...

    Minnesota (+51) vs LA Angels (-1)
    NYY (+36) vs Baltimore (-75)
    Arizona (+15) vs Pittsburgh (-37)
    Chicago Cubs (+56) at Cincinnati (+28)
    Philadelphia (+37) vs Milwaukee (+7)
    Houston (+83) at Detroit (-63)
    T.B. Devil Rays (+61) at Miami (-95)
    Boston (+26) vs Colorado (-4)
    St. Louis (+31) at Atlanta (-10)
    LA Dodgers (+56) vs S.D. (-14)

    Quite a few borderline plays today...

    Cubs
    Philly
    Boston
    ST Louis
    LA Dodgers

    This seems to be a difficult day in general...will be interesting to see how the system does ..

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 15, 2019 - 11:05 AM ET #140

    Just to clarify...

    Baltimore/NYY are playing a doubleheader...I didn't list game 1 and game 2 separately but the system will be taking both games...

    So add one more game to the system plays...

    Baltimore/NYY Game 2

    Also..my personal faves for today...

    Toronto/S.F. OVER 8...how is this line not 9 or 10??
    Washington RL +134
    Houston/Detroit OVER 10...EVEN...Astros can cover this number alone..
    Texas/K.C. OVER 9.5 .. +105
    T.B. Devil Rays RL -1.5 EVEN...Miami is just so bad...

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    Just to clarify...

    Baltimore/NYY are playing a doubleheader...I didn't list game 1 and game 2 separately but the system will be taking both games...

    So add one more game to the system plays...

    Baltimore/NYY Game 2

    Also..my personal faves for today...

    Toronto/S.F. OVER 8...how is this line not 9 or 10??
    Washington RL +134
    Houston/Detroit OVER 10...EVEN...Astros can cover this number alone..
    Texas/K.C. OVER 9.5 .. +105
    T.B. Devil Rays RL -1.5 EVEN...Miami is just so bad...

     
    cazzz29
    cazzz29
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    Posts: 227
    Posted: May. 15, 2019 - 1:43 PM ET #141

    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    Just to clarify...Baltimore/NYY are playing a doubleheader...I didn't list game 1 and game 2 separately but the system will be taking both games...So add one more game to the system plays...Baltimore/NYY Game 2Also..my personal faves for today...Toronto/S.F. OVER 8...how is this line not 9 or 10??Washington RL +134Houston/Detroit OVER 10...EVEN...Astros can cover this number alone..Texas/K.C. OVER 9.5 .. +105T.B. Devil Rays RL -1.5 EVEN...Miami is just so bad...

    If you like Houston to get 10 runs themselves towards the over, how can you not LOVE Houston as a personal favorite ??

    Love your plays today BTW !!! Good Luck !!

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    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    Just to clarify...Baltimore/NYY are playing a doubleheader...I didn't list game 1 and game 2 separately but the system will be taking both games...So add one more game to the system plays...Baltimore/NYY Game 2Also..my personal faves for today...Toronto/S.F. OVER 8...how is this line not 9 or 10??Washington RL +134Houston/Detroit OVER 10...EVEN...Astros can cover this number alone..Texas/K.C. OVER 9.5 .. +105T.B. Devil Rays RL -1.5 EVEN...Miami is just so bad...

    If you like Houston to get 10 runs themselves towards the over, how can you not LOVE Houston as a personal favorite ??

    Love your plays today BTW !!! Good Luck !!

     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 15, 2019 - 1:47 PM ET #142

    Quote Originally Posted by cazzz29:

    If you like Houston to get 10 runs themselves towards the over, how can you not LOVE Houston as a personal favorite ??

    Love your plays today BTW !!! Good Luck !!


    You are obviously correct and I hereby add them to my personal favorite list...

    Houston RL -217

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    Quote Originally Posted by cazzz29:

    If you like Houston to get 10 runs themselves towards the over, how can you not LOVE Houston as a personal favorite ??

    Love your plays today BTW !!! Good Luck !!


    You are obviously correct and I hereby add them to my personal favorite list...

    Houston RL -217

     
    cazzz29
    cazzz29
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    Posted: May. 15, 2019 - 1:49 PM ET #143

    Nice !!! Good luck to us !!

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    Nice !!! Good luck to us !!

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 15, 2019 - 1:57 PM ET #144

    But...as you say....why not take this all the way?....

    Adding...to my personal faves list ...

    Houston team total OVER 6.5 -116...

    The Astros SHOULD destroy this AA pitcher...

    Just sayin...

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    But...as you say....why not take this all the way?....

    Adding...to my personal faves list ...

    Houston team total OVER 6.5 -116...

    The Astros SHOULD destroy this AA pitcher...

    Just sayin...

     
    tinfoils
    tinfoils
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    Posted: May. 15, 2019 - 5:03 PM ET #145

    Good luck smack!
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    Good luck smack!
     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 16, 2019 - 1:07 AM ET #146

    The system appears to be finishing the day at 8-3 if the LA Dodgers can hold this 2 run lead...

    Overall that would put the system at 80-53 completing its 18th day...

    Borderline games went 2-3 so if you had NOT played them, you would have gone 6-0......

    2-5 on personal faves...ugh...How does Houston leave so many on base tonight...?...oh well...

    I'm done playing my personal faves...will only be playing the system from now on...6-0 tonight would have worked pretty well in a few parlays...


    On to tomorrow!





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    The system appears to be finishing the day at 8-3 if the LA Dodgers can hold this 2 run lead...

    Overall that would put the system at 80-53 completing its 18th day...

    Borderline games went 2-3 so if you had NOT played them, you would have gone 6-0......

    2-5 on personal faves...ugh...How does Houston leave so many on base tonight...?...oh well...

    I'm done playing my personal faves...will only be playing the system from now on...6-0 tonight would have worked pretty well in a few parlays...


    On to tomorrow!





     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 16, 2019 - 10:02 AM ET #147

    Quote Originally Posted by Unclebenelli:

    Thanks for your work Smack


    Glad to help out ...it's time I started taking my own advice as well...

    Here are today's system plays...

    Philadelphia (+34) vs Milwaukee (+10)
    Oakland (-9) at Detroit (-67)
    Cleveland (-3) vs Baltimore (-79)
    Chicago Cubs (+55) at Cincinnati (+29)
    St. Louis (+27) at Atlanta (-6)
    Minnesota (+52) at Seattle (-12)

    Borderline plays will be...

    Philly
    Cubs
    St. Louis

    Today, I am working in the "Simple Rating System" (SRS) from baseball-reference.com.  Basically, any team with a 1.0 or greater advantage in the SRS is weighted with an advantage.  This advantage, if the pitcher rating is close in my opinion, is being used to help weed in/weed out borderline plays...

    Today, the SRS weeded Oakland out of the borderline list...

    Best of luck today, gentlemen!...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Quote Originally Posted by Unclebenelli:

    Thanks for your work Smack


    Glad to help out ...it's time I started taking my own advice as well...

    Here are today's system plays...

    Philadelphia (+34) vs Milwaukee (+10)
    Oakland (-9) at Detroit (-67)
    Cleveland (-3) vs Baltimore (-79)
    Chicago Cubs (+55) at Cincinnati (+29)
    St. Louis (+27) at Atlanta (-6)
    Minnesota (+52) at Seattle (-12)

    Borderline plays will be...

    Philly
    Cubs
    St. Louis

    Today, I am working in the "Simple Rating System" (SRS) from baseball-reference.com.  Basically, any team with a 1.0 or greater advantage in the SRS is weighted with an advantage.  This advantage, if the pitcher rating is close in my opinion, is being used to help weed in/weed out borderline plays...

    Today, the SRS weeded Oakland out of the borderline list...

    Best of luck today, gentlemen!...

     
    ibacku
    ibacku
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    Posted: May. 16, 2019 - 10:12 AM ET #148

    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    Quote Originally Posted by Unclebenelli:

    Thanks for your work Smack
    Glad to help out ...it's time I started taking my own advice as well...Here are today's system plays...Philadelphia (+34) vs Milwaukee (+10)Oakland (-9) at Detroit (-67)Cleveland (-3) vs Baltimore (-79)Chicago Cubs (+55) at Cincinnati (+29)St. Louis (+27) at Atlanta (-6)Minnesota (+52) at Seattle (-12)Borderline plays will be...PhillyCubsSt. LouisToday, I am working in the "Simple Rating System" (SRS) from baseball-reference.com.  Basically, any team with a 1.0 or greater advantage in the SRS is weighted with an advantage.  This advantage, if the pitcher rating is close in my opinion, is being used to help weed in/weed out borderline plays...Today, the SRS weeded Oakland out of the borderline list...Best of luck today, gentlemen!...

    SRS IS WHAT THE WINS? DET HAS -1.7 AND OAK -0.3 

    Please explain if you have time thanks 

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    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    Quote Originally Posted by Unclebenelli:

    Thanks for your work Smack
    Glad to help out ...it's time I started taking my own advice as well...Here are today's system plays...Philadelphia (+34) vs Milwaukee (+10)Oakland (-9) at Detroit (-67)Cleveland (-3) vs Baltimore (-79)Chicago Cubs (+55) at Cincinnati (+29)St. Louis (+27) at Atlanta (-6)Minnesota (+52) at Seattle (-12)Borderline plays will be...PhillyCubsSt. LouisToday, I am working in the "Simple Rating System" (SRS) from baseball-reference.com.  Basically, any team with a 1.0 or greater advantage in the SRS is weighted with an advantage.  This advantage, if the pitcher rating is close in my opinion, is being used to help weed in/weed out borderline plays...Today, the SRS weeded Oakland out of the borderline list...Best of luck today, gentlemen!...

    SRS IS WHAT THE WINS? DET HAS -1.7 AND OAK -0.3 

    Please explain if you have time thanks 

     
    WISEGUY36
    WISEGUY36
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    Posts: 34171
    Posted: May. 16, 2019 - 10:19 AM ET #149

    Good Luck Today , Bud  
    Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
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    Good Luck Today , Bud  
     
     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 16, 2019 - 10:31 AM ET #150

    Quote Originally Posted by ibacku:

    Glad to help out ...it's time I started taking my own advice as well...Here are today's system plays...Philadelphia (+34) vs Milwaukee (+10)Oakland (-9) at Detroit (-67)Cleveland (-3) vs Baltimore (-79)Chicago Cubs (+55) at Cincinnati (+29)St. Louis (+27) at Atlanta (-6)Minnesota (+52) at Seattle (-12)Borderline plays will be...PhillyCubsSt. LouisToday, I am working in the "Simple Rating System" (SRS) from baseball-reference.com.  Basically, any team with a 1.0 or greater advantage in the SRS is weighted with an advantage.  This advantage, if the pitcher rating is close in my opinion, is being used to help weed in/weed out borderline plays...Today, the SRS weeded Oakland out of the borderline list...Best of luck today, gentlemen!...

    SRS IS WHAT THE WINS? DET HAS -1.7 AND OAK -0.3 

    Please explain if you have time thanks 


    The important thing to know about SRS is that it is a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule.

    Basically, the SRS is saying how much better or worse than average a team is...

    So, as you point out...Oakland is at (-0.3) and Detroit is at (-1.7)...

    This makes Oakland a +1.4 advantage on the SRS system...

    My RDS has Oakland as a solid play, however, I see the pitcher matchup as close...Chris Bassitt vs Spencer Turnbull

    But the SRS advantage is so big, I am taking Oakland out of the borderline category...

    Hope that helps...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Quote Originally Posted by ibacku:

    Glad to help out ...it's time I started taking my own advice as well...Here are today's system plays...Philadelphia (+34) vs Milwaukee (+10)Oakland (-9) at Detroit (-67)Cleveland (-3) vs Baltimore (-79)Chicago Cubs (+55) at Cincinnati (+29)St. Louis (+27) at Atlanta (-6)Minnesota (+52) at Seattle (-12)Borderline plays will be...PhillyCubsSt. LouisToday, I am working in the "Simple Rating System" (SRS) from baseball-reference.com.  Basically, any team with a 1.0 or greater advantage in the SRS is weighted with an advantage.  This advantage, if the pitcher rating is close in my opinion, is being used to help weed in/weed out borderline plays...Today, the SRS weeded Oakland out of the borderline list...Best of luck today, gentlemen!...

    SRS IS WHAT THE WINS? DET HAS -1.7 AND OAK -0.3 

    Please explain if you have time thanks 


    The important thing to know about SRS is that it is a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule.

    Basically, the SRS is saying how much better or worse than average a team is...

    So, as you point out...Oakland is at (-0.3) and Detroit is at (-1.7)...

    This makes Oakland a +1.4 advantage on the SRS system...

    My RDS has Oakland as a solid play, however, I see the pitcher matchup as close...Chris Bassitt vs Spencer Turnbull

    But the SRS advantage is so big, I am taking Oakland out of the borderline category...

    Hope that helps...

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