Posted:
#101
Seattle...43 errors in 41 games...worst fielding percentage in the league...
Boston could still win this game...might be worth a live action wager...
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Runn Differential League Snapshot... 4-27-19...
Posted:
#106
The system went 8-3 today...
Overall now 69-41 after 14 days....
...
...Borderlines went 3-2...take those out and you would have gone 5-1...still very nice...
My personal likes went 4-0...but unfortunately I didn't play them in the the parlay selections which went 0-2...got to start paying playing my stuff more...lol...
...
...This system seems to be legit...and getting better as the season progresses...
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Posted:
#107
Day 15 of the RDS (Run Differential System) dawns upon us gentlemen and the system is once again poised to smash the books...
Every day I tell myself it can't go on like this...and then it does...jeez...
Having a hard time believing this can go on producing above 60% for the season...
Still a long, long way to go of course but looking back at the numbers for last year, it appears the system is progressing just as it did last year...
Here we GOOOOOOOO!!!!
LA Angels (+3) at Baltimore (-79)
Boston (+18) vs Seattle (-5)
NYM (-15) vs Miami (-91)
T.B. Devil Rays (+63) vs NYY (+30)
Minnesota (+53) vs Detroit (-51)
Houston (+59) vs Texas (+7)
St. Louis (+24) vs Pittsburgh (-39)
Philadelphia (+34) at K.C. (-15)
Cincinnati (+31) at S.F. (-37)
LA Dodgers (+47) vs Washington (-19)
Chicago Cubs (+51) vs Milwaukee (+8)
Borderline games are...
LA Angels
NYM
Cincinnati
Boston
Personal favorites...
Texas/Houston OVER 10
Philadelphia/K.C. OVER 9.5
Atlanta/Arizona OVER 9.5
Minnesota
St. Louis
Chicago Cubs
Time to rake in some 
....
....Am I hyping this too much?...lol...
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Posted:
#110
Thank you, gentlemen!...hope to keep it up today...
Skoonr, I have thought about tracking it but as I do regularly post it's daily record and have so many other things to track...I think it is very clear to anyone following that the record minus the borderlines is MUCH better than the regular system record...it could be up near 75%...
It's fun to have a little mystery...
I kind of look at it as just a little bonus to those who are following closely......
...
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$Mack, keep up the great capping!!!
Posted:
#113
Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:
Seattle...43 errors in 41 games...worst fielding percentage in the league...
Boston could still win this game...might be worth a live action wager...
Oh wait....another Seattle error leading to runs?....Did I post this yesterday>?
It must be Groundhog day...
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Posted:
#115
Quote Originally Posted by haymo:
Hey smack new to your thread, are those 11 your system plays and do you play them all! Thanks
Hey smack new to your thread, are those 11 your system plays and do you play them all! Thanks
Post #110 talks about how the "borderline plays" modify the system to a more profitable state...
It would be worth reading the entire thread to get the progression of the system and how it came to be what it is today...but I can understand that might be a bit of a chore...
Basically, playing the system plays and eliminating the borderline plays has produced the most profitable returns...I don't play all of the system plays blindly...I do play most of the system plays MINUS the borderline plays...
Best of luck!
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Posted:
#117
A very rare average day for the system going 5-5...of course, it does this after I bring the hype train...predictable..
Overall now 74-46 after 15 days...
Borderline plays went 1-2 so if you had NOT played them, you would have gone 4-3...yet again, better than the main system record as it is almost every day...
My personal faves went a pedestrian 3-3...
...
...As some might have noted, I don't track the system units won/lost...and the system obviously usually gives favorites preference...this is another reason for the borderline plays..an effort to weed out some of the favorites like the LA Angels -160 and Cincinnati -116 today...
On to tomorrow!...
PM for the skinny on the down low
Posted:
#119
Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:
System plays for day 16...NYY (+36) vs Baltimore (-75)Philly (+39) vs Milwaukee (+5)Houston (+69) at Detroit (-49)Minnesota (+51) vs LA Angels (-1)Arizona (+13) vs Pittsburgh (-35)Borderline plays are...NYYHoustonBest of luck today gentlemen!
System plays for day 16...NYY (+36) vs Baltimore (-75)Philly (+39) vs Milwaukee (+5)Houston (+69) at Detroit (-49)Minnesota (+51) vs LA Angels (-1)Arizona (+13) vs Pittsburgh (-35)Borderline plays are...NYYHoustonBest of luck today gentlemen!
Arizona could be a borderline too. All my leans looked the same except I had the Buckos in that game. Then I capped it down to a no play. Capped the Yanks down to a know play and switched Houston down to an under lean. Philly and Minnesota are going in as RLs, Houston will play into a parlay somehow. Also have a lean on Tribe/ChiSox under. All of my unders are always F5.
I haven't followed your plays but I think the theory behind your system is sound. It doesn't account for Ace pitchers, are pitchers in the midst of an ace like stretch, but hey, how many of those are even left? I'm curious to see if you plan on "dropping off" older data as the season progresses. Baseball is a sport of streaks and it's a long season. And a hot may could skew your numbers in, let's say, July. Or August. BOL today.
R.I.P. #94 MARSHAWN KNEELAND - DC4L
Posted:
#120
Quote Originally Posted by StumpTownStu:
Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:
System plays for day 16...NYY (+36) vs Baltimore (-75)Philly (+39) vs Milwaukee (+5)Houston (+69) at Detroit (-49)Minnesota (+51) vs LA Angels (-1)Arizona (+13) vs Pittsburgh (-35)Borderline plays are...NYYHoustonBest of luck today gentlemen!
Arizona could be a borderline too. All my leans looked the same except I had the Buckos in that game. Then I capped it down to a no play. Capped the Yanks down to a know play and switched Houston down to an under lean. Philly and Minnesota are going in as RLs, Houston will play into a parlay somehow. Also have a lean on Tribe/ChiSox under. All of my unders are always F5. I haven't followed your plays but I think the theory behind your system is sound. It doesn't account for Ace pitchers, are pitchers in the midst of an ace like stretch, but hey, how many of those are even left? I'm curious to see if you plan on "dropping off" older data as the season progresses. Baseball is a sport of streaks and it's a long season. And a hot may could skew your numbers in, let's say, July. Or August. BOL today.System plays for day 16...NYY (+36) vs Baltimore (-75)Philly (+39) vs Milwaukee (+5)Houston (+69) at Detroit (-49)Minnesota (+51) vs LA Angels (-1)Arizona (+13) vs Pittsburgh (-35)Borderline plays are...NYYHoustonBest of luck today gentlemen!
Discount what I said about the Buckos. The Snakes are probably the right side based on Kingham being such a gas can but every other of my paraneters goes against them so i'm laying off.
R.I.P. #94 MARSHAWN KNEELAND - DC4L
Posted:
#122
Quote Originally Posted by StumpTownStu:
Arizona could be a borderline too. All my leans looked the same except I had the Buckos in that game. Then I capped it down to a no play. Capped the Yanks down to a know play and switched Houston down to an under lean. Philly and Minnesota are going in as RLs, Houston will play into a parlay somehow. Also have a lean on Tribe/ChiSox under. All of my unders are always F5.
I haven't followed your plays but I think the theory behind your system is sound. It doesn't account for Ace pitchers, are pitchers in the midst of an ace like stretch, but hey, how many of those are even left? I'm curious to see if you plan on "dropping off" older data as the season progresses. Baseball is a sport of streaks and it's a long season. And a hot may could skew your numbers in, let's say, July. Or August. BOL today.
Basically, the borderline play list is a pitchers analysis...who is the better pitcher...if the worse run differential team has the better pitcher then I list the system selection as borderline...
Agreed on the streak aspect...may look at this as the season progresses...
Good luck and thanks for the input!...
PM for the skinny on the down low
Posted:
#125
Hey Smack.... it was due, and its not like it went 2-8, there was a few bpen implosions yest (STLou wowww etc...almost made me want to backtrack how this did First5 if I had the time)...obviously most plays
will be juicy....it would be insane daily for you to put these plays out daily and track juice.....common sense / how I play em is -1/-1.5/or 2Team parlays if there's a couple doozys -200ish....you're providing a tool, its up to us how to figure out how to minimize juice risk...
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