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Runn Differential League Snapshot... 4-27-19...

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Posted: #451
IBACKU - too funny, lmao!! You put alot of time into this.  

Smitty, would you like me to give him a good kidney punch for you? 

So Gosh Damn Funny !! 
 
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Posted: #452

and I'm not a "hater"-hell-I've been following his picks

 
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Posted: #453
Quote Originally Posted by Trumpinator2020:

IBACKU - too funny, lmao!! You put alot of time into this.  

Smitty, would you like me to give him a good kidney punch for you? 

So Gosh Damn Funny !! 
 
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Posted: #454

we're not talking about Keys thread.Do you comprehend mathamatics ?

 
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Posted: #455

Quote Originally Posted by ibacku:

Quote Originally Posted by Contrarian:

ibacku-look at the hard numbers. Smack stated that the average line for PODS was -175. At the percentage that he's hitting Key stated that -157 is the break even point. What don't you understand ? Key has probably been gambling for longer than most of you have been alive (except me ).I don't think he's being negative-just realistic.As I said before the purpose of any forum should be to help people make some money
  and he is negative- 2100 dollars or -7 units his record what does that tell you!!

39-48 his record that's 44% you telling me that is better than 261-164 or 114-68

 
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Posted: #456

mathematics

 
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Posted: #457

have you read the previous posts about the break even point ?

 
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Posted: #458

I'm done here-no hope

 
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Posted: #459

Quote Originally Posted by Contrarian:

mathematics

sound like Why Trickle Down Economic Works in Theory But Not in Fact

 
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Posted: #460

Quote Originally Posted by Contrarian:

I'm done here-no hope
Some have hope and understand help when they get it. For others you are right; wasted effort. Covers does not offer a course in basic gambling mathematics so it will never change. Not a bad deal though when you think about it. People that don't know diddly-squat about either baseball or gambling mathematics supply the funds for the books to pay others with.

peace

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #461
Wow...go to work for a day and all HELL breaks out!......

Let me get these picks out and I will read through this soap opera asap!......

Day 44 continued....

T.B. Devil Rays +95) vs LA Angels (-1)
K.C. (-72) vs Detroit (-109)
NYY (+70) at CW Sox (-55)
Colorado (+8) vs S.D. (-34)
LA Dodgers (+105) vs Cubs (+67)

Borderlines in this group...

K.C.
Colorado

Remaining PODs then are...

T.B. Devil Rays
NYY
LA Dodgers..

PM for the skinny on the down low
 
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Posted: #462

Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

Quote Originally Posted by Contrarian:

I'm done here-no hope
Some have hope and understand help when they get it. For others you are right; wasted effort. Covers does not offer a course in basic gambling mathematics so it will never change. Not a bad deal though when you think about it. People that don't know diddly-squat about either baseball or gambling mathematics supply the funds for the books to pay others with.

yea u know it -2100 dollars!! seems like a winner to me atleast he gives correct picks and not at

44%

 
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Posted: #463
Appreciate the support and all of the constructive criticism......

Sounds like some clarification is in order...I have a decent grasp of the concepts of return on investment (ROI) and wagering with odds...It is quite clear that this system most often produces favorites within the -130 to -200 range...it seems to be averaging around -150 to -170 on any given day...

This is why I have made it clear that I am using it selectively...I don't wager on every game or even every POD the system produces...sometimes, I am very sad about that as it can POP a perfect 6-0...7-0..pretty regularly...

I usually use the PODs to fill in a parlay spot here and there and I use them to verify other cappers selections at other times...

This is not a system to blindly follow...at this point...and it may never be...it is not anywhere near it's final form...it is early in the process of gathering data and possibly at some point this year another critical variable will be added to the system ...ONE at a time...and then more data collected with that variable added.

This may very well be something that will not be "finished" in 1 or 2 or even 3 years...this does not mean it does not have value right now...

I certainly want everyone here to beat the books just as I want to win more often than not...if anything about this is confusing, please let me know...

If this is detrimental to the Covers community, I will shut it down right now and just do it privately...

PM for the skinny on the down low
 
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Posted: #464

well said no need to shut it down..... just the people....  that's I am going  to say about that 

 
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Posted: #465

It is not detriment smack. As you yourself say it is "under construction", but it does need a lot of refinement and ROI can not be ignored. I know you don't, but it seems many of your followers think winning games and winning money are the same thing. They most assuredly are not and you and the wiser heads around here realize that. At some point you will have to incorporate a money management and wagering system, otherwise you will never really know whether you are achieving your goals or not. Guesstimates regarding lines will not refine the system. I sincerely wish you

Best Of Luck 

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #466

Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

It is not detriment smack. As you yourself say it is "under construction", but it does need a lot of refinement and ROI can not be ignored. I know you don't, but it seems many of your followers think winning games and winning money are the same thing. They most assuredly are not and you and the wiser heads around here realize that. At some point you will have to incorporate a money management and wagering system, otherwise you will never really know whether you are achieving your goals or not. Guesstimates regarding lines will not refine the system. I sincerely wish you Best Of Luck
 

then the know it all returns great in theory but not fact!

 
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Posted: #467

as I stated previously-no hope/ reading comprehension

 
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Posted: #468

Quote Originally Posted by Contrarian:

as I stated previous

ly-no hope/ reading comprehension

if the roi (return on investment) is so important than how can you explain being -2100 dollars in the hole and have a record of 44% percent picking winner why would anyone follow that?? I would rather have winner svp ( scott van pelt) 

 
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Posted: #469

smack- I still check in every day. Keep doing what you do,I appreciate it.BOL

 
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Posted: #470

As I said before-this is not Keys thread or picks.Focus on THIS thread

 
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Posted: #471

Quote Originally Posted by Contrarian:

As I said before-this is not Keys thread or picks.Focus on THIS thread[/Quote
Quote Originally Posted by Contrarian:

As I said before-this is not Keys thread or picks.Focus on THIS thread

but you agree with him so...…….. and you dont have any picks and neither so what are you complaining about except complaining  about this thread and how smitty system doesnt work for you or him

WELL ITS WORKING PRETTY WELL FOR SMITTY ME AND OTHER SO STAY OUT OF THE THREAD IF YOU DONT LIKE THE CONTENT!!!

 
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Posted: #472

ibacku- read post # 451 maybe 20 x and maybe you'll understand what I'm talking about. I SUPPORT smack and what he's doing. I virtually never reply until I read drivel written by idiots like you

 
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Posted: #473

Quote Originally Posted by Contrarian:

Quote Originally Posted by Contrarian:

As I said before-this is not Keys thread or picks.Focus on THIS thread[/Quote
Quote Originally Posted by Contrarian:

As I said before-this is not Keys thread or picks.Focus on THIS thread
but you agree with him so...…….. and you dont have any picks and neither so what are you complaining about except complaining  about this thread and how smitty system doesnt work for you or him WELL ITS WORKING PRETTY WELL FOR SMITTY ME AND OTHER SO STAY OUT OF THE THREAD IF YOU DONT LIKE THE CONTENT!!!ibacku- read post # 451 maybe 20 x and maybe you'll understand what I'm talking about. I SUPPORT smack and what he's doing. I virtually never reply until I read drivel written by idiots like you
 

and again that post is from keys part of this thread and again coming from someone giving advice that is -2100 in the whole and 1/3 of the way into the season 

 
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Posted: #474
ibacku 
 
 
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Posted: #475
Day 44 completed...

The main system went 5-2...overall now 271-172...

The PODs went 3-2...overall now 120-73...

Borderlines went 2-0...

Working on day 45 now..

PM for the skinny on the down low
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