Runn Differential League Snapshot... 4-27-19...
This month of May 2019 is the best ever for favorites in 15 years (more than 67 win%). So, things will slow down and the borderline plays will then be more than useful, coupled with clever money management (big juice involved sometimes)
This month of May 2019 is the best ever for favorites in 15 years (more than 67 win%). So, things will slow down and the borderline plays will then be more than useful, coupled with clever money management (big juice involved sometimes)
Stop looking backwards, look to potential instead.
All it tells me when I see +40 or whatever is that they probably had a game with 17 runs lately, that's happening a lot. Even though it's happening a lot in the league right now I'd be a fool to make a bet that counts on it happening again.
Bet with a "will probably win by 2 with a chance of winning by 15" mindset and not a "are expected to win by 5 every game because stats" mindset. Don't let the odd 15 run game inflate your expectations too much, it's not the norm.
Stop looking backwards, look to potential instead.
All it tells me when I see +40 or whatever is that they probably had a game with 17 runs lately, that's happening a lot. Even though it's happening a lot in the league right now I'd be a fool to make a bet that counts on it happening again.
Bet with a "will probably win by 2 with a chance of winning by 15" mindset and not a "are expected to win by 5 every game because stats" mindset. Don't let the odd 15 run game inflate your expectations too much, it's not the norm.
Could it explain the system, does the highest differential equal the picks?
Could it explain the system, does the highest differential equal the picks?
We are fairly aligned, except for the Houston game. I think one could make a better car for your Houston pick over My Boston pick.
Good luck. Hoping you hit all but one, is that fair lol. Get em smack
We are fairly aligned, except for the Houston game. I think one could make a better car for your Houston pick over My Boston pick.
Good luck. Hoping you hit all but one, is that fair lol. Get em smack
Outstanding work , smack
Outstanding work , smack
Maybe we should fade the borderline plays ![]()
Maybe we should fade the borderline plays ![]()
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