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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Runn Differential League Snapshot... 4-27-19...

    «First Previous 123 ... 192021
    BarneysDad
    Bigten51
    thekoreanmang
    smacksmiter
    WISEGUY36
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 36947
    Posts: 523
    «First Previous 123 ... 192021
     
    BarneysDad
    BarneysDad
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    Posted: Jun. 16, 2019 - 1:42 AM ET #501

    Good job Smack 
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    Good job Smack 
     
    Bigten51
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    Posted: Jun. 16, 2019 - 1:49 AM ET #502

    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    That is obviously a typo where I typed "perfect 8 team money line parlay"...should have been a perfect 7 team money line parlay...

     

    Ok how about a parlay for tomorrow an_wink

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    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    That is obviously a typo where I typed "perfect 8 team money line parlay"...should have been a perfect 7 team money line parlay...

     

    Ok how about a parlay for tomorrow an_wink

     
    thekoreanmang
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    Posted: Jun. 16, 2019 - 9:05 AM ET #503

    Betting on the -1.5 runline would've been 6-2 too. IDK what avg prices would've been for those but still seems like it'd be profitable.

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    Betting on the -1.5 runline would've been 6-2 too. IDK what avg prices would've been for those but still seems like it'd be profitable.

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Jun. 16, 2019 - 9:40 AM ET #504

    Koreanmang, it absolutely would have been profitable as the money line would have been profitable...based on previous checking, that 7 teamer probably would have been in the range of $100 makes $1,500 or so...the RL would have been much better...

    Day 47 of the RDS is here!...12 selections... ...

    Boston (+47) at Baltimore (-149)
    T.B. Devil Rays (+96) vs LA Angels (-2)
    Cleveland (+1) at Detroit (-124)
    St. Louis (+11) at NYM (-18)
    Arizona (+68) at Washington (-9)
    NYY (+65) at CW Sox (-50)
    Houston (+114) vs Toronto (-91)
    Minnesota (+118) vs K.C. (-71)
    Colorado (+13) vs S.D. (-39)
    Milwaukee (+10) at S.F. (-80)
    Oakland (+25) vs Seattle (-71)
    LA Dodgers (+110) vs Cubs (+62)

    Borderlines....remove the ...

    Boston...John Means is a bad man...
    Cleveland ...Spencer Turnbull solid this year...
    St. Louis...Hudson/Vargas is at least a push...
    Arizona...Anibal Sanchez better today..
    Milwaukee...Samardzidja much better at home...
    Oakland...Don't trust Tanner Anderson yet...

    Thus...the POD's...

    T.B. Devil Rays
    NYY
    Houston
    Minnesota
    Colorado
    LA Dodgers

    Looking over the card, don't see any posted (-180) or higher lines up yet...3 games not showing on my site yet though so thinking they will probably be high lines...

    LAA/T.B. Devil Rays
    Philly/Atlanta
    Arizona/Washington

    Will list them if they qualify later...


    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Koreanmang, it absolutely would have been profitable as the money line would have been profitable...based on previous checking, that 7 teamer probably would have been in the range of $100 makes $1,500 or so...the RL would have been much better...

    Day 47 of the RDS is here!...12 selections... ...

    Boston (+47) at Baltimore (-149)
    T.B. Devil Rays (+96) vs LA Angels (-2)
    Cleveland (+1) at Detroit (-124)
    St. Louis (+11) at NYM (-18)
    Arizona (+68) at Washington (-9)
    NYY (+65) at CW Sox (-50)
    Houston (+114) vs Toronto (-91)
    Minnesota (+118) vs K.C. (-71)
    Colorado (+13) vs S.D. (-39)
    Milwaukee (+10) at S.F. (-80)
    Oakland (+25) vs Seattle (-71)
    LA Dodgers (+110) vs Cubs (+62)

    Borderlines....remove the ...

    Boston...John Means is a bad man...
    Cleveland ...Spencer Turnbull solid this year...
    St. Louis...Hudson/Vargas is at least a push...
    Arizona...Anibal Sanchez better today..
    Milwaukee...Samardzidja much better at home...
    Oakland...Don't trust Tanner Anderson yet...

    Thus...the POD's...

    T.B. Devil Rays
    NYY
    Houston
    Minnesota
    Colorado
    LA Dodgers

    Looking over the card, don't see any posted (-180) or higher lines up yet...3 games not showing on my site yet though so thinking they will probably be high lines...

    LAA/T.B. Devil Rays
    Philly/Atlanta
    Arizona/Washington

    Will list them if they qualify later...


     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Jun. 16, 2019 - 9:46 AM ET #505

    Well...I sit corrected...two -180s are up and at em...

    Houston -215
    Minnesota -187

    Pretty good foundation for a parlay I would say...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Well...I sit corrected...two -180s are up and at em...

    Houston -215
    Minnesota -187

    Pretty good foundation for a parlay I would say...

     
    WISEGUY36
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    Posted: Jun. 16, 2019 - 9:50 AM ET #506

    Smack ,     
    Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
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    Smack ,     
     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Jun. 16, 2019 - 10:48 AM ET #507

    Wiseguy......

    Unclebenelli......

    Good luck today gentlemen!...

    Looks like the complete list of (-180) or greater faves is out...

    Houston -214
    Minnesota -186
    NYY -240

    As usual, the books have cooked a little extra for the Yankees......

    Run lines on these little jewels...

    Houston -1.5........ -112
    Minnesota -1.5...  +103
    NYY -1.5.............. -139

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Wiseguy......

    Unclebenelli......

    Good luck today gentlemen!...

    Looks like the complete list of (-180) or greater faves is out...

    Houston -214
    Minnesota -186
    NYY -240

    As usual, the books have cooked a little extra for the Yankees......

    Run lines on these little jewels...

    Houston -1.5........ -112
    Minnesota -1.5...  +103
    NYY -1.5.............. -139

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Jun. 16, 2019 - 11:09 AM ET #508

    Little bit of movement here as we go into the last hour before the games start on the -180s...

    Houston -224
    Minnesota -175
    NYY -225

    The Twins have now actually moved out of the -180 category...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Little bit of movement here as we go into the last hour before the games start on the -180s...

    Houston -224
    Minnesota -175
    NYY -225

    The Twins have now actually moved out of the -180 category...

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Jun. 16, 2019 - 11:31 AM ET #509

    Ok gentlemen...playing the lottery...er...parlay today!......

    I'm taking a shot with this RL parlay...all of these teams have a decent shot to win by 2 or more imo...

    Colorado
    Minnesota
    Houston
    NYY

    $100 pays 1353...

    If you do a ML parlay with them... $100 pays $451...

    I like $1353 more than $451 personally......
    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Ok gentlemen...playing the lottery...er...parlay today!......

    I'm taking a shot with this RL parlay...all of these teams have a decent shot to win by 2 or more imo...

    Colorado
    Minnesota
    Houston
    NYY

    $100 pays 1353...

    If you do a ML parlay with them... $100 pays $451...

    I like $1353 more than $451 personally......
     
    tinfoils
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    Posted: Jun. 16, 2019 - 12:51 PM ET #510

    Good luck smack! an_cheers

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    Good luck smack! an_cheers

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Jun. 16, 2019 - 5:10 PM ET #511

    Quote Originally Posted by tinfoils:

    Good luck smack! an_cheers


    Thanks Tin!... ...

    The Twins just got through leaving the bases full for the 3rd time today ...

    Absolutely brutal...

    And Houston...jeeeez louise....

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Quote Originally Posted by tinfoils:

    Good luck smack! an_cheers


    Thanks Tin!... ...

    The Twins just got through leaving the bases full for the 3rd time today ...

    Absolutely brutal...

    And Houston...jeeeez louise....

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Jun. 16, 2019 - 10:18 PM ET #512

    Day 47 is complete...

    The main system went 7-5...overall now 282-186...

    The PODs went 3-3...overall now 133-80...

    The borderlines went 4-2...

    The (-180) faves or higher went either 1-2 or 1-1 depending on where Minnesota started/finished as it was up/down off -180 quite a bit...

    Quite the "meh" day...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Day 47 is complete...

    The main system went 7-5...overall now 282-186...

    The PODs went 3-3...overall now 133-80...

    The borderlines went 4-2...

    The (-180) faves or higher went either 1-2 or 1-1 depending on where Minnesota started/finished as it was up/down off -180 quite a bit...

    Quite the "meh" day...

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Jun. 16, 2019 - 11:32 PM ET #513

    Over/Unders for today...

    10-3-2 for full game...
    Last 6 days for full game... 53-24-7... ...63.1%...

    F5 ... 10-5...
    Last 6 days for the F5... 63-36-4......61.2%...

    Full game for the month of June to date...

    109-94-11...

    The first 10 days of June the UNDERS were crushing at a 56-70-4 pace...then Overs started pounding hard and passed...now 15 games ahead as of today...

    Books responded pretty quickly to raise the lines during this 6 day run the OVERs have had... possible that they over corrected a bit when that 10 day run of unders happened......




    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Over/Unders for today...

    10-3-2 for full game...
    Last 6 days for full game... 53-24-7... ...63.1%...

    F5 ... 10-5...
    Last 6 days for the F5... 63-36-4......61.2%...

    Full game for the month of June to date...

    109-94-11...

    The first 10 days of June the UNDERS were crushing at a 56-70-4 pace...then Overs started pounding hard and passed...now 15 games ahead as of today...

    Books responded pretty quickly to raise the lines during this 6 day run the OVERs have had... possible that they over corrected a bit when that 10 day run of unders happened......




     
    nucksfan12
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    Posted: Jun. 16, 2019 - 11:42 PM ET #514

    I think your plays are probably losing overall since the juice is so high.   I think if you took RL for all your plays you would be in the positive.  Without actually checking I’d say 85% of the time your play wins they win by 2 or more.  

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    I think your plays are probably losing overall since the juice is so high.   I think if you took RL for all your plays you would be in the positive.  Without actually checking I’d say 85% of the time your play wins they win by 2 or more.  

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2019 - 1:23 AM ET #515

    Quote Originally Posted by nucksfan12:

    I think your plays are probably losing overall since the juice is so high.   I think if you took RL for all your plays you would be in the positive.  Without actually checking I’d say 85% of the time your play wins they win by 2 or more.  


    I realize this is a very long thread and most will not read through it...I never recommend playing all of the selections as they are usually favorites and usually in the -150 to -170 average range for the 6-8 games that end up being PODs...

    I use them to fill in parlays and will play them on a RL now and then but never just play the full card straight up ML...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Quote Originally Posted by nucksfan12:

    I think your plays are probably losing overall since the juice is so high.   I think if you took RL for all your plays you would be in the positive.  Without actually checking I’d say 85% of the time your play wins they win by 2 or more.  


    I realize this is a very long thread and most will not read through it...I never recommend playing all of the selections as they are usually favorites and usually in the -150 to -170 average range for the 6-8 games that end up being PODs...

    I use them to fill in parlays and will play them on a RL now and then but never just play the full card straight up ML...

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2019 - 6:42 PM ET #516

    Day 47 of the RDS...

    T.B. Devil Rays (+97) at NYY (+72)
    LA Angels (-3) at Toronto (-79)
    Houston (+102) at Cincy (+38)
    Atlanta (+39) vs NYM (-19)
    Texas (+34) vs Cleveland (+9)
    Minnesota (+116) vs Boston (+49)
    St. Louis (+12) vs Miami (-76)
    LA Dodgers (+111) vs S.F. (-82)
    Oakland (+22) vs Baltimore (-151)
    Milwaukee (+12) at S.D. (-38

    Borderlines...

    T.B. Devil Rays
    Houston
    Atlanta
    Texas

    Thus, the PODs...

    St. Louis
    LA Dodgers
    Oakland
    Milwaukee
    LA Angels
    Minnesota

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Day 47 of the RDS...

    T.B. Devil Rays (+97) at NYY (+72)
    LA Angels (-3) at Toronto (-79)
    Houston (+102) at Cincy (+38)
    Atlanta (+39) vs NYM (-19)
    Texas (+34) vs Cleveland (+9)
    Minnesota (+116) vs Boston (+49)
    St. Louis (+12) vs Miami (-76)
    LA Dodgers (+111) vs S.F. (-82)
    Oakland (+22) vs Baltimore (-151)
    Milwaukee (+12) at S.D. (-38

    Borderlines...

    T.B. Devil Rays
    Houston
    Atlanta
    Texas

    Thus, the PODs...

    St. Louis
    LA Dodgers
    Oakland
    Milwaukee
    LA Angels
    Minnesota

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2019 - 6:49 PM ET #517

    As of tonight, I am playing the entire board of games OVER to win 3 units on each game...

    I don't think this OVER trend is a short term fad...the books are/will adjust but right now I believe they are a bit behind the curve...

    Guess we will see...

    Full game overs are 53-24-7 to date in the month of June...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    As of tonight, I am playing the entire board of games OVER to win 3 units on each game...

    I don't think this OVER trend is a short term fad...the books are/will adjust but right now I believe they are a bit behind the curve...

    Guess we will see...

    Full game overs are 53-24-7 to date in the month of June...

     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2019 - 6:51 PM ET #518

    Correction...

    That 53-24-7 is for the last 6 days of June...not the full month...

    The full month is 109-94-11...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Correction...

    That 53-24-7 is for the last 6 days of June...not the full month...

    The full month is 109-94-11...

     
    WISEGUY36
    WISEGUY36
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    Posts: 34171
    Posted: Jun. 17, 2019 - 6:54 PM ET #519

    GL tonight , smack  
    Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
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    GL tonight , smack  
     
    tinfoils
    tinfoils
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2019 - 7:02 PM ET #520

    Good luck smack!
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    Good luck smack!
     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2019 - 9:55 AM ET #521

    Day 47 is in the books...another "ugh" day...

    The system went 5-5 and is now 297-191 overall...

    The PODs went 3-3 and are now 136-83 overall...

    O/Us went 3-8...not a good day to take the overs for the board......


    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Day 47 is in the books...another "ugh" day...

    The system went 5-5 and is now 297-191 overall...

    The PODs went 3-3 and are now 136-83 overall...

    O/Us went 3-8...not a good day to take the overs for the board......


     
    KRAL
    KRAL
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    Posted: Jun. 19, 2019 - 2:38 PM ET #522

    Anything for today?
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    Anything for today?
     
     
    WISEGUY36
    WISEGUY36
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    Posted: Jun. 19, 2019 - 2:42 PM ET #523

    GL Today , smack 
    Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
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    GL Today , smack 
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