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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Mlb Picks and Why

    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
    monkeebooger
    TheBuddah
    KeyElement
    Mangowoman
    umgmu
    ...
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    Views: 11220
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    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
     
    monkeebooger
    monkeebooger
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    Posted: May. 26, 2023 - 1:56 PM ET #101

    @TheBuddah

     

     Hey bud, curious your thoughts on Yankees game today?

     

    Yankees 2-2 as home underdogs this year.

     

    L on 4/23. Schmidt versus Gausman

    W on 5/3. Schmidt versus Bieber

    W on 5/13. Cortes versus McClanahan

    L on 5/14. Schmidt versus Eflin

     

    its hilarious 3 of the 4 times they’ve been home underdogs it’s been Schmidt pitching. And 3 of the 4 instances, it’s against the opposing team’s ace pitcher.

     

    Today it’s Musgrove whom hasn’t been their ace this year thus far (1-2 with 6era) against a Triple A call up (due to German getting suspended). Lots of respect Vegas is giving the 23-27 Padres today….

     

     

    Reply

    @TheBuddah

     

     Hey bud, curious your thoughts on Yankees game today?

     

    Yankees 2-2 as home underdogs this year.

     

    L on 4/23. Schmidt versus Gausman

    W on 5/3. Schmidt versus Bieber

    W on 5/13. Cortes versus McClanahan

    L on 5/14. Schmidt versus Eflin

     

    its hilarious 3 of the 4 times they’ve been home underdogs it’s been Schmidt pitching. And 3 of the 4 instances, it’s against the opposing team’s ace pitcher.

     

    Today it’s Musgrove whom hasn’t been their ace this year thus far (1-2 with 6era) against a Triple A call up (due to German getting suspended). Lots of respect Vegas is giving the 23-27 Padres today….

     

     

     
    TheBuddah
    TheBuddah
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    Posted: May. 26, 2023 - 2:20 PM ET #102

    @monkeebooger

     I’ve been out running around, I’ll look at it in a bit and respond to ya. 

    musgrove hasn’t been stellar this year since that Sunday he pitched against the dodgers.   A great website that lists matchups is statfox.com click mlb and the matchups - great info. Regarding Yanks starter , I find triple A data is not a good indicator of a first time starter, however, looking at spring numbers and look at strikeouts and I.p and hits helps - your trying to see if he has low hits and more strikeouts than I. P. 

    I’ll come back with my exact thoughts once I get home.  Waiting for wifey went in for one item, sure she is picking up several:)

    hope all is well with you. 

    Reply

    @monkeebooger

     I’ve been out running around, I’ll look at it in a bit and respond to ya. 

    musgrove hasn’t been stellar this year since that Sunday he pitched against the dodgers.   A great website that lists matchups is statfox.com click mlb and the matchups - great info. Regarding Yanks starter , I find triple A data is not a good indicator of a first time starter, however, looking at spring numbers and look at strikeouts and I.p and hits helps - your trying to see if he has low hits and more strikeouts than I. P. 

    I’ll come back with my exact thoughts once I get home.  Waiting for wifey went in for one item, sure she is picking up several:)

    hope all is well with you. 

     
    KeyElement
    KeyElement
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    Posted: May. 26, 2023 - 2:41 PM ET #103

    @monkeebooger

    "its hilarious 3 of the 4 times they’ve been home underdogs it’s been Schmidt pitching. And 3 of the 4 instances, it’s against the opposing team’s ace pitcher."

    Deservedly so, Schmidt sux. Lost 2 of the 3. an_light peace

    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply

    @monkeebooger

    "its hilarious 3 of the 4 times they’ve been home underdogs it’s been Schmidt pitching. And 3 of the 4 instances, it’s against the opposing team’s ace pitcher."

    Deservedly so, Schmidt sux. Lost 2 of the 3. an_light peace

     
    TheBuddah
    TheBuddah
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    Posted: May. 26, 2023 - 4:30 PM ET #104

    @monkeebooger

     Let's look at some numbers:

     

    -125  Musgrove   126   

            Vasquez       FS (first time starter)     During the spring he  pitched 7 I.p   gave up 10 hits, 4 runs and 4 walks, 2 HRs.   

     

    The line opened at 125 currently - 108 .    I give Musgrove a rating of 126 - that's not stellar.  With this being Vasq. first start and during the spring he had an equal amount of s/o to I.p that doesn't excite me.   He gave up 10  hits.    I have one identical rating where it's 126-Fs, however, the home team was favored 245 - that's not the case here.  As you can see from my Cubs pick - an identical rating doesn't always give you the same result (your looking for substantial data - similar or identical) .   In this case I don't have a play.     My lean would be to take the Over and the Yanks.   

    BOL to ya.

     

    @KeyElement

     If you lined up all the pitchers in the AL there are 37 pitchers who have at least pitched 50 innings or more and Schmidt ranks 36 (2nd to last) - Manoah's 37(last).   Based on that criteria he sucks.  However, he does have one thing going for him - he's one of 18 of those pitchers who have more strikeouts than I.p - which isn't an indicator he will win his next start, however, based on the right match up there's hope.    That's why you gotta love baseball. 

    You mentioned your taking a break - in one of your threads.  Always enjoy reading your insights  BOL to ya.      

     

    Reply

    @monkeebooger

     Let's look at some numbers:

     

    -125  Musgrove   126   

            Vasquez       FS (first time starter)     During the spring he  pitched 7 I.p   gave up 10 hits, 4 runs and 4 walks, 2 HRs.   

     

    The line opened at 125 currently - 108 .    I give Musgrove a rating of 126 - that's not stellar.  With this being Vasq. first start and during the spring he had an equal amount of s/o to I.p that doesn't excite me.   He gave up 10  hits.    I have one identical rating where it's 126-Fs, however, the home team was favored 245 - that's not the case here.  As you can see from my Cubs pick - an identical rating doesn't always give you the same result (your looking for substantial data - similar or identical) .   In this case I don't have a play.     My lean would be to take the Over and the Yanks.   

    BOL to ya.

     

    @KeyElement

     If you lined up all the pitchers in the AL there are 37 pitchers who have at least pitched 50 innings or more and Schmidt ranks 36 (2nd to last) - Manoah's 37(last).   Based on that criteria he sucks.  However, he does have one thing going for him - he's one of 18 of those pitchers who have more strikeouts than I.p - which isn't an indicator he will win his next start, however, based on the right match up there's hope.    That's why you gotta love baseball. 

    You mentioned your taking a break - in one of your threads.  Always enjoy reading your insights  BOL to ya.      

     

     
    monkeebooger
    monkeebooger
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    Posted: May. 26, 2023 - 4:51 PM ET #105

    @TheBuddah

     Thanks bud peace_5

    Reply

    @TheBuddah

     Thanks bud peace_5

     
    TheBuddah
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    Posted: May. 26, 2023 - 6:11 PM ET #106

    Wish i would have avoided the Cubs game - gotta move on: 

    2.  Detroit +137  

    3. Cws/Detr under 8.5  

    4. LAD   +114   

    5. Phi/Atla Under 10  

    6. Atl - 1  -119   

    7. Balt/Tex Under 9 

     

    Good luck all

     

    Reply

    Wish i would have avoided the Cubs game - gotta move on: 

    2.  Detroit +137  

    3. Cws/Detr under 8.5  

    4. LAD   +114   

    5. Phi/Atla Under 10  

    6. Atl - 1  -119   

    7. Balt/Tex Under 9 

     

    Good luck all

     

     
    Mangowoman
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    Posted: May. 26, 2023 - 6:33 PM ET #107

    @TheBuddah

     an_cheers

    Reply

    @TheBuddah

     an_cheers

     
    KeyElement
    KeyElement
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    Posted: May. 26, 2023 - 6:57 PM ET #108

    @TheBuddah

     There is so little worthwhile reading on Covers I enjoy yours also. Back soon, hopefully Monday or Tuesday, things are going well.

    peace clover

     

    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply

    @TheBuddah

     There is so little worthwhile reading on Covers I enjoy yours also. Back soon, hopefully Monday or Tuesday, things are going well.

    peace clover

     

     
    TheBuddah
    TheBuddah
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    Posted: May. 26, 2023 - 7:59 PM ET #109

    @KeyElement

     Glad to hear.   Thanks and back at ya.

    @monkeebooger

     No problem.    Rookie is hanging in there last i checked.  

    @Mangowoman   

    Thanks and back at ya.

     

    Detroit and Dodgers aint looking good.    The rest of my plays. 

     

    8. Nym -2 runs -113

    9. Milw - 1 run  +107

    10. Mia F5 +120  

    11.  Mia/LAA under 8.5

    12. Bos -120  

    13. Bos/Az  under 9  

    14. Bos/Az F5 under 4.5  

     

    I know it's a lot of plays - there's data behind it - that's just how i do it.   Good luck all.

     

     

     

     

     

    Reply

    @KeyElement

     Glad to hear.   Thanks and back at ya.

    @monkeebooger

     No problem.    Rookie is hanging in there last i checked.  

    @Mangowoman   

    Thanks and back at ya.

     

    Detroit and Dodgers aint looking good.    The rest of my plays. 

     

    8. Nym -2 runs -113

    9. Milw - 1 run  +107

    10. Mia F5 +120  

    11.  Mia/LAA under 8.5

    12. Bos -120  

    13. Bos/Az  under 9  

    14. Bos/Az F5 under 4.5  

     

    I know it's a lot of plays - there's data behind it - that's just how i do it.   Good luck all.

     

     

     

     

     

     
    TheBuddah
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    Posted: May. 27, 2023 - 12:46 PM ET #110

    Record stands at 46-48 - Early was rough turned it around latenight.    Glad I still kept my day job:)  

     

    My Plays for today so far:

    1. Nyy - 1  -113   

    2. Detroit  -110    

     

    Good luck all

    Reply

    Record stands at 46-48 - Early was rough turned it around latenight.    Glad I still kept my day job:)  

     

    My Plays for today so far:

    1. Nyy - 1  -113   

    2. Detroit  -110    

     

    Good luck all

     
    umgmu
    umgmu
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    Posted: May. 27, 2023 - 2:37 PM ET #111

    Bol today and enjoy the weekend.

    Going to mgm later ...put more on heat game tonight.

    Reply

    Bol today and enjoy the weekend.

    Going to mgm later ...put more on heat game tonight.

     
    TheBuddah
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    Posted: May. 27, 2023 - 3:33 PM ET #112

    @umgmu

     Thanks and have fun over there. 

    my plays for the 4pm games:

    3. philly + 112

    4. Texas  -102 

    5. sf/mil under 7.5 

    Reply

    @umgmu

     Thanks and have fun over there. 

    my plays for the 4pm games:

    3. philly + 112

    4. Texas  -102 

    5. sf/mil under 7.5 

     
    TheBuddah
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    Posted: May. 27, 2023 - 6:53 PM ET #113

    i'm re-thinking about quitting the day - job - i just might do that:)   

     

    Tonite:

    6. Stlouis - 107

    7. Bos/Cubs  small Parlay   

    8. Bos/Az   gmov 9.5  

     

    Good luck all

    Reply

    i'm re-thinking about quitting the day - job - i just might do that:)   

     

    Tonite:

    6. Stlouis - 107

    7. Bos/Cubs  small Parlay   

    8. Bos/Az   gmov 9.5  

     

    Good luck all

     
    TheBuddah
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    Posted: May. 27, 2023 - 7:27 PM ET #114

    Plays   9.   Nym/Col   Under 6   F5

             10.  Miami   +1.5   - 113   

             11.  Parlay   Nym/Col   under 11.5 to Miami  +180    

     

    Good luck all

    Reply

    Plays   9.   Nym/Col   Under 6   F5

             10.  Miami   +1.5   - 113   

             11.  Parlay   Nym/Col   under 11.5 to Miami  +180    

     

    Good luck all

     
    TheBuddah
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    Posted: May. 28, 2023 - 12:38 PM ET #115

    We went 6-4 yesterday over all record is 52-52.     Let's see if we can get them today:

     

    My Plays:  

     

    1. Sdg/Nyy  over 7.5

    2. Nyy -126

    3. Clev +126  

    4. Detr + 102

    5. Balt -140  

    6.  A small small play on a draw Stlouis/Clev  +887  

     

    Good luck all

     

    Reply

    We went 6-4 yesterday over all record is 52-52.     Let's see if we can get them today:

     

    My Plays:  

     

    1. Sdg/Nyy  over 7.5

    2. Nyy -126

    3. Clev +126  

    4. Detr + 102

    5. Balt -140  

    6.  A small small play on a draw Stlouis/Clev  +887  

     

    Good luck all

     

     
    umgmu
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    Posted: May. 28, 2023 - 12:42 PM ET #116

    Bol buddah

    Reply

    Bol buddah

     
    TheBuddah
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    Posted: May. 28, 2023 - 12:49 PM ET #117

    @umgmu

     Thanks bud.    When Bos scored that insane basket at the end - i was wondering if you had mline or spread - hopefully spread.   

    Reply

    @umgmu

     Thanks bud.    When Bos scored that insane basket at the end - i was wondering if you had mline or spread - hopefully spread.   

     
    TheBuddah
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    Joined: Jun, 2009
    Posts: 4167
    Posted: May. 28, 2023 - 1:23 PM ET #118

    2 Pm games:     7. Tor -107

                            8. Mil +112

                            9.  Cubs -1.5  +127

     

    Good luck all

    Reply

    2 Pm games:     7. Tor -107

                            8. Mil +112

                            9.  Cubs -1.5  +127

     

    Good luck all

     
    TheBuddah
    TheBuddah
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2009
    Posts: 4167
    Posted: May. 28, 2023 - 2:40 PM ET #119

    Looking good early - wish detroit could push a few over.   

    10.  Bos +112

     

    Good luck all

    Reply

    Looking good early - wish detroit could push a few over.   

    10.  Bos +112

     

    Good luck all

     
    umgmu
    umgmu
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2005
    Posts: 47719
    Posted: May. 28, 2023 - 2:45 PM ET #120

    @TheBuddah

     I had miami ml and spread...so 1-1.

     

    Reply

    @TheBuddah

     I had miami ml and spread...so 1-1.

     

     
    umgmu
    umgmu
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2005
    Posts: 47719
    Posted: May. 28, 2023 - 2:47 PM ET #121

    @TheBuddah

     Baddoo...grand slam...he's from silver spring md.

    Reply

    @TheBuddah

     Baddoo...grand slam...he's from silver spring md.

     
    LuckyGuy
    LuckyGuy
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2008
    Posts: 63939
    Posted: May. 28, 2023 - 2:50 PM ET #122

    @TheBuddah

    Blue Jays and Red Sox  peace_5

    Sharing is Caring
    Reply

    @TheBuddah

    Blue Jays and Red Sox  peace_5

     
    TheBuddah
    TheBuddah
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2009
    Posts: 4167
    Posted: May. 28, 2023 - 3:04 PM ET #123

    @umgmu

     I just saw that .     Was there last night - favorite Tex Mex - Mi Ranchos over there 

    @LuckyGuy

     Back at ya .   I hope these teams can do it 

    Reply

    @umgmu

     I just saw that .     Was there last night - favorite Tex Mex - Mi Ranchos over there 

    @LuckyGuy

     Back at ya .   I hope these teams can do it 

     
    TheBuddah
    TheBuddah
    Veteran
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    Posts: 4167
    Posted: May. 28, 2023 - 4:19 PM ET #124

    Clev!!!!!!

    Reply

    Clev!!!!!!

     
     
    TheBuddah
    TheBuddah
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2009
    Posts: 4167
    Posted: May. 28, 2023 - 4:50 PM ET #125

    come on Detroit!!!!!

    Reply

    come on Detroit!!!!!

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