Mlb Picks and Why

First post with plays this season.    Hope everyone is having a great season thus far.     I was worried about this season as Sagarin initially decided not to post rankings this year as his contract with USA Today was not extended but back in early May I noticed he was back doing it at his site sagarin.com .   Not sure but hope he got a contract from somewhere or someone.   In addition, Madduxsports.com had stopped posting opening baseball lines back in July 2021 - they started consistently doing it again for the last week.   All is well when those sites are posting numbers so let's look at some:

        Pitt Ortiz              66

120  Detr Lorenz.         67  

The line opened at 120 for Detr. currently -123.    I give Ortiz a rating of 66   and  Lorenzen 67.   Lower the number often the better pitcher.   When I look at previous games played since 2009 and i find an opening line of 120 and ratings similar or identical to the above - my data/history is suggest taking the home team.    My plays for tonight (always listed pitchers):

1. Detroit   -123

2. Milw    + 163

3. Texas - 104  

4. Hous -1 -122

5.  Cws +109 

6.  Parlay  NYY/Tor Over 8   to  Ari/Oak Under 9.5      

Good luck all

We got the first one….. let’s go !!!!!!

@TheBuddah

@Mangowoman

 Thanks and back at ya 

@TheBuddah

 Remarkable, tailed every play, can't thank you enough!

@dayknight

 No problem …. Glad it worked out for us.   Hopefully oak and az don’t score much 

We had a pretty good day yesterday let's see if we can keep it rolling.    Still analyzing the other games but let's go with the following:

1. Pitt/Detroit  under 7.5   

Good luck all

@Fuse

 Thanks and back at ya bud.  

Here are a few more games i'm playing today:

2.  Col -107

3. Sf +103 

4. Oak +129

5. Under 11.5  col/cincy

@TheBuddah

 still think Rokies will win?

yes, live them asap it's 5-5

Buddha is on fire rn

@silvermul83

 Yes I do:)  i don't do a lot of live betting  - i didn't see your post until now - hopefully you listened to dayknight. 

@dayknight

 Not sure about on fire but trying.  

The rest of my card  is as follows:

6. Laa +142 

7. Laa/Balti over 8.5    the line in this game opened at 9.5 at madduxsports.com and 9 at sportsmemo.com    it dropped to 8.5 i like the over.

8. Tor +103

9. Bos -125

10. Nym -122 

11. Mia/CWS   parlay 

That's it for me today.    Good luck all.

@TheBuddah

  stay hot!

@TheBuddah

 Don’t quit ur day job 

@Biggiefry

 Get a job

@Mangowoman

 Yesterday I was…..today kinda  treading water… but we shall see. 

@Biggiefry

 I understand we all have insecurities and if it makes you feel better about yourself with your statement - no problem.  I would only suggest try to live your life by the words Einstein said … don’t seek to be successful … seek to be valuable .  You got a lot of smart people in this forum who post plays based on a variety of handicapping methods ….they share their plays, yes partially ego but it’s their passion and they try to bring others up as well with their knowledge .  That’s being valuable and that’s what myself and many others in here are trying to do.  Making comments is easy, putting the time and effort to research these games is not an easy process for many of us . I simply suggest follow Einsteins words of wisdom. 

8 thru 11 

@TheBuddah

 I won some money tonight with your picks. Appreciate you sharing them.

@dayknight

We ended on a great note - wow what a game with the Mets and Toronto

@lopez021130

 Thanks bud.

@skinwalker

no problem - glad it worked out for us.   

We ended the day strong yesterday - let's try it again.    Small card today but we got some opportunities.    My plays for May 18:

1. Wash  +139

2. Clev +130

3. Lad/Stl under 9 

4. Parlay Lad -147 to Toronto -138  

Good luck all       Back to my day job:)   

Thanks for the picks. Any leans on the first game, Angels/O's. Best of luck!

@Pho-20

 Thanks and back at ya

@mlesnet

Thanks.   These are leans - I wouldn't surprised to see the Angels pull this one out.    On paper Wells is clearly the best pitcher but in these situations - sometimes these worst pitchers have their day - often in a day game.   I think the Mets may pull it out as well.    BOL in your decisions.    

Thanks for your info. Yeah, I really like the o's and line movement with it, but also like the under. May just take the angels tt under at even money. We'll see. Best of luck