Mlb Picks and Why

@mlesnet

 the game opened at -135 then jumped to currently 160.    I give Anderson a 138 rating and Wells -3      Lower the better  most often.    Why a line of 135 in this situation to open vice higher  - causes me to pause.    I don't have data indicating do this vice that but going on my experience - i'd becareful going crazy with the O's .   The over under - i got a small play on the under.    We shall see.

For sure, thank you. Thinking angels tt under because if the angels are able to win, I feel it would be lower scoring, with Baltimore having one of the best bullpens in the league as well. I just hope the game starts low and wells does his thing. 

We hit Clev and that was about it.  We are still on the positive side, so let's look at some numbers:

       Cubs  Stroman    16

130  Philly Suarez      108

Line opened at 130 for Philly and then dropped to 117 but has gone back to 123. currently.     On paper Stroman has a rating of 16 a very solid pitcher, he has dropped off from his great start; he no longer has more strikeouts than i.Pitched and he has lost his last 2 starts.    We have Suarez who is making his second start and has a rating of 108.  He got a Ndecision but the team won is start.    He pitched 4 innings and had 4 strikeouts not bad for your first start.    Based on the numbers and the opening line - i'm taking Philly.   My plays for tonite May 19:

1. Philly - 120 

2. Balti  +141 

3. Min - 119

4. Parlay Az-103 to Nyy  -1.5 -113    

Good luck all

@lopez021130

 Thanks and back at ya.     

Clarification on the parlay Az is on the run line -1.5 -103

Anything for today?

@silvermul83

 I was still licking my wounds from the Philly and Minn yesterday - that's baseball.   Moving on.    

Record stands at 13-13 - We can do better - let's get it today.

My plays today:

1. Toronto -128

2. Mia/Sf  Under  7.5

3. Mil/Tam Under 8.5 

4. Mi/Tam F5 under 4.5

5. Detroit +104

6. Mia +152

7. Nyy/Cincy over 10.5   

Good luck  Silvermul83 and all

Bol buddah-

Aren't you from the DMV?

@umgmu

 Thanks - I am.   and back at ya.

@TheBuddah

 You ever go to the book at mgm or at Verizon center

@umgmu

 I go to Mgm play poker mainly and baccarat and craps their juice is too high at the sportsbook.      

How do you feel about cubs/Phillies today? That was the main game I was looking at initially, but curious of your opinion. Best of luck today!

@TheBuddah

 Definitely better lines online.

I bet my futures with them 

For some reason better lines there for that type of wager.

@mlesnet

 Thanks - Sorry had to errands.    Feeling wise i took philly on the run line small - but didn't have data supporting it - thus didn't post it.  Nola is a good pitcher - usually at this time of year he has more strikeouts than I.P - but like many of the notable guys -they don't.    I think the pitch clock has caused them to lose their rhythm -not sure just what i've seen thus far. 

I find often the games i like the nite before that don't do it - they seem to do it the next day.   LA and under thursday nite - losers but came thru Friday nite.    

@umgmu

 I've noticed that with some futures as well.    One thing you want to be cautious of  - they basically give you action on all your plays - and some of those clerks have no idea what you mean by listed pitchers. 

@TheBuddah

 Yes- one of the clerks gave me anorioles ticket for the next day early this season vs Houston at plus money.

I wanted it for that day in game a Thursday.

They ended up winning both days but when I went there thurs night to collect, she said, ' I thought you wanted it for fri' but it worked out 

@umgmu

 Doesn't surprise me.    A few weeks ago when Kershaw was pitching against Musgrove initially and they made a change to Darvish - that was around 12 pm when they  officially made the change.   They had it listed as Musgrove until 7:45 pm - until i told them - a bit clueless over there.   

My plays tonite:

8.  LA/Stlouis over 9

9. Minn +109

Good luck all  

@TheBuddah

 The manager Reggie is solid,  the other manager the white haired woman is a piece of work.

They've lost about 5 good ticket writers in the past 8 months....Cam, Kevin, another manager 

@umgmu

 I don't know them by name but Reggie is the guy i beleive I talked to - he did seem to have a clue and called Nj to get it corrected.    My point is we aint dealing with Vegas yet.    I hope your az pick comes thru - i get them tied up with Miami.

@TheBuddah

 It had to be Reggie.

He goes the extra mile.

Az winner

Thanks for the info. Glad I ended up on the Phillies. Like some of the late night games as well, will see what you are on later. Best of luck!

@umgmu

Az …. Oh yeah .  

@mlesnet

 Glad they came thru finally .   

And the over in the yanks game 

Leaning under on the redsox game and twins game. Any opinion? Thanks!

@mlesnet

 I don’t have data supporting neither o/ under in those two games.   However, with the sd game Sale pitched a great game the last time out and was set for the win until Kenley …. Blew the save and he got a no decision.   Sometimes that can affect a pitcher in their next start, especially when you give up only 1 run.   I got sd for a small play but nothing on the over under .   Bol in your decisions. 

Thanks! At the moment I was leaning Redsox/Padres under 1st 5. I feel both of their eras are a little inflated so far, but we'll see.