Why is Marcum such a
favorite on his first start? Also don't
think the Mets should ever be this much of a favorite unless Harvey
pitches. I think this Pettibone has good
stuff.
Haren is due. The opening line should not have had Haren as
the favorite, especially after his outing earlier this season in
Cincinnati. The Reds are struggling to
produce hits and runs right now. They
must be tired from the series in Chicago.
Tigers are the better
team and they are playing at home. This
line should have opened higher due to a Porcello Start.
0
Musicmatt1 49-24-3
+1795$
PHI Phillies ML
+117
WAS Nationals ML -106
DET Tigers ML -105
Why is Marcum such a
favorite on his first start? Also don't
think the Mets should ever be this much of a favorite unless Harvey
pitches. I think this Pettibone has good
stuff.
Haren is due. The opening line should not have had Haren as
the favorite, especially after his outing earlier this season in
Cincinnati. The Reds are struggling to
produce hits and runs right now. They
must be tired from the series in Chicago.
Tigers are the better
team and they are playing at home. This
line should have opened higher due to a Porcello Start.
the average total of mike leake's games this season has been around 14, with dan haren on the mound today I don't really see that changing today.Reds have totalled 2 hits in the last 2 games, that won't continue, their offense is too talented for that, and the nationals bats seem to be heating up again.I see at least 9 runs being scored today.
0
greengiants 27-35 -852$
Over 8 WAS Nationals - CIN Reds -110
the average total of mike leake's games this season has been around 14, with dan haren on the mound today I don't really see that changing today.Reds have totalled 2 hits in the last 2 games, that won't continue, their offense is too talented for that, and the nationals bats seem to be heating up again.I see at least 9 runs being scored today.
Apropo the recent discussions about line movement, I've been following lines a bit more closely in the past couple of weeks. The Twins / Rangers game today is in line with a few games I've noticed earlier in the season. Despite a huge public majority on Texas, the line has moved in favor of the Twins. This suggests the Twins are the play.
Minnesota has lost two one-run games in this series despite poor hitting (16 hits in two games). If they can get their bats going they should be due for a win. Hernandez has pitched well recently, although it's all been in relief. He's well rested, missing a couple of starts with all of the Twins rainouts. There's good value in this line, as this game seems like more of a pick. I'll fade the public and take the value.
0
washhead 6-8-2 -230$
MIN Twins ML +130
Apropo the recent discussions about line movement, I've been following lines a bit more closely in the past couple of weeks. The Twins / Rangers game today is in line with a few games I've noticed earlier in the season. Despite a huge public majority on Texas, the line has moved in favor of the Twins. This suggests the Twins are the play.
Minnesota has lost two one-run games in this series despite poor hitting (16 hits in two games). If they can get their bats going they should be due for a win. Hernandez has pitched well recently, although it's all been in relief. He's well rested, missing a couple of starts with all of the Twins rainouts. There's good value in this line, as this game seems like more of a pick. I'll fade the public and take the value.
Apropo the recent discussions about line movement, I've been following lines a bit more closely in the past couple of weeks. The Twins / Rangers game today is in line with a few games I've noticed earlier in the season. Despite a huge public majority on Texas, the line has moved in favor of the Twins. This suggests the Twins are the play.
Minnesota has lost two one-run games in this series despite poor hitting (16 hits in two games). If they can get their bats going they should be due for a win. Hernandez has pitched well recently, although it's all been in relief. He's well rested, missing a couple of starts with all of the Twins rainouts. There's good value in this line, as this game seems like more of a pick. I'll fade the public and take the value.
0
Quote Originally Posted by washhead:
washhead 6-8-2 -230$
MIN Twins ML +130
Apropo the recent discussions about line movement, I've been following lines a bit more closely in the past couple of weeks. The Twins / Rangers game today is in line with a few games I've noticed earlier in the season. Despite a huge public majority on Texas, the line has moved in favor of the Twins. This suggests the Twins are the play.
Minnesota has lost two one-run games in this series despite poor hitting (16 hits in two games). If they can get their bats going they should be due for a win. Hernandez has pitched well recently, although it's all been in relief. He's well rested, missing a couple of starts with all of the Twins rainouts. There's good value in this line, as this game seems like more of a pick. I'll fade the public and take the value.
Going back to your earlier post Green Giant.. you should definitely look into 7 inning and 5 inning bets.. my brother bets 5 innings all the time because of the fact that relievers come in and blow saves lol.. probably going to happen all year to 1 or 2 games a day.. but loved the rest of the write up.. have been noticing your starting pitcher calls, what goes up must come down they say, and vise versa.. not everyone sucks and not everyone dominates.. why your bounceback theory works and i believe in it
0
Going back to your earlier post Green Giant.. you should definitely look into 7 inning and 5 inning bets.. my brother bets 5 innings all the time because of the fact that relievers come in and blow saves lol.. probably going to happen all year to 1 or 2 games a day.. but loved the rest of the write up.. have been noticing your starting pitcher calls, what goes up must come down they say, and vise versa.. not everyone sucks and not everyone dominates.. why your bounceback theory works and i believe in it
the marlins are 1-8 vs lefties this year.. in this ballpark vs wood who has been throwing quite well this year, he should be able to handle this offense to 2 runs or less.. pray bullpen holds cause i don't see marlins scoring more than 3.. and not even sure cubs will win the game as if it wasn't for rizzo's 2 hr's they wouldnt of scored much.. counting on cubs not hitting either and making the game a 3-2 3-1 kind of game.
under 7 in chicago because floyd has good lifetime #'s vs tampa so he should be able to hold his own.. and is it just me? or do the rays struggle when they visit chicago? can't get past mark buehrle throwing a pg vs them.. and this is matt moores year, he's going to be a stud 90% of the time he enters the playing field.. moore throws 7ip 2er or less and floyd hangs keeping this total under.
good luck to all! and MUSICMATT! nice early morning calls buddy! especially the phi/nym, no idea why marcum was a favorite their either.
0
AshyLarryMP 36-37-4 -$619
Under 7.5 MIA Marlins - CHC Cubs -105
Under 7 CHI WhiteSox - TB Rays +105
MIA Marlins TT Under 3.5 -125
the marlins are 1-8 vs lefties this year.. in this ballpark vs wood who has been throwing quite well this year, he should be able to handle this offense to 2 runs or less.. pray bullpen holds cause i don't see marlins scoring more than 3.. and not even sure cubs will win the game as if it wasn't for rizzo's 2 hr's they wouldnt of scored much.. counting on cubs not hitting either and making the game a 3-2 3-1 kind of game.
under 7 in chicago because floyd has good lifetime #'s vs tampa so he should be able to hold his own.. and is it just me? or do the rays struggle when they visit chicago? can't get past mark buehrle throwing a pg vs them.. and this is matt moores year, he's going to be a stud 90% of the time he enters the playing field.. moore throws 7ip 2er or less and floyd hangs keeping this total under.
good luck to all! and MUSICMATT! nice early morning calls buddy! especially the phi/nym, no idea why marcum was a favorite their either.
As I said yesterday about ML's within 20... If Nats and Tigers go Under. I'd feel safe playing Unders in:
Marlins/Cubs
Padres/Giants
Cardinals/Pirates
White Sox/Rays
It was 3-0 yesterday. Probably the safer plays but given the teams hitting capabilities in Washington and Detroit, I stayed away.
my trends support your unders in 3 of these games!! all but padres-giants game.. i bet on 2 of them and decided to leave pit-stl off.. i do think the game goes under.. BUT have u seen westbrooks #'s vs pitt in his career.. OUCH.. our trends indicate he'll throw well today though.. we'll see, i know i can count on burnett though, but i'm on mia-chc and tb-chw
0
Quote Originally Posted by Musicmatt1:
As I said yesterday about ML's within 20... If Nats and Tigers go Under. I'd feel safe playing Unders in:
Marlins/Cubs
Padres/Giants
Cardinals/Pirates
White Sox/Rays
It was 3-0 yesterday. Probably the safer plays but given the teams hitting capabilities in Washington and Detroit, I stayed away.
my trends support your unders in 3 of these games!! all but padres-giants game.. i bet on 2 of them and decided to leave pit-stl off.. i do think the game goes under.. BUT have u seen westbrooks #'s vs pitt in his career.. OUCH.. our trends indicate he'll throw well today though.. we'll see, i know i can count on burnett though, but i'm on mia-chc and tb-chw
I have westbrook regressing today, he has a lifetime ERA in the 4.s and his ERA is 1.25 as of now.We will see a regression to his usual #'s soon.I have the over and pittsburgh winning this game.And it is raining which can help the over because errors are likely to occur when the field and ball are wet, well in my opinion at least.Might be safe to play a 5 inning or 7 inning play since it could be called because of rain, Lord knows I have had my share of cancelled winning bets because of games being suspended or called in the 7th inning.
0
Quote Originally Posted by ashylarrymp:
I have westbrook regressing today, he has a lifetime ERA in the 4.s and his ERA is 1.25 as of now.We will see a regression to his usual #'s soon.I have the over and pittsburgh winning this game.And it is raining which can help the over because errors are likely to occur when the field and ball are wet, well in my opinion at least.Might be safe to play a 5 inning or 7 inning play since it could be called because of rain, Lord knows I have had my share of cancelled winning bets because of games being suspended or called in the 7th inning.
I have westbrook regressing today, he has a lifetime ERA in the 4.s and his ERA is 1.25 as of now.We will see a regression to his usual #'s soon.I have the over and pittsburgh winning this game.And it is raining which can help the over because errors are likely to occur when the field and ball are wet, well in my opinion at least.Might be safe to play a 5 inning or 7 inning play since it could be called because of rain, Lord knows I have had my share of cancelled winning bets because of games being suspended or called in the 7th inning.
Then the bet should be Pirates ML...
My suggestion (small play to track) on Under also stated that 1 pitcher normally loses it. You just told me which one! Burnett on a bounce back too.
0
Quote Originally Posted by greengiants:
I have westbrook regressing today, he has a lifetime ERA in the 4.s and his ERA is 1.25 as of now.We will see a regression to his usual #'s soon.I have the over and pittsburgh winning this game.And it is raining which can help the over because errors are likely to occur when the field and ball are wet, well in my opinion at least.Might be safe to play a 5 inning or 7 inning play since it could be called because of rain, Lord knows I have had my share of cancelled winning bets because of games being suspended or called in the 7th inning.
Then the bet should be Pirates ML...
My suggestion (small play to track) on Under also stated that 1 pitcher normally loses it. You just told me which one! Burnett on a bounce back too.
Fading Kazmir and backing the hot Santana. Kansas City can hit the lefty and Kazmir is subpar at best nowadays. Edge to KC bullpen so I will take the run line value.
TB Rays ML -119
Moore is a dominant pitcher against a lineup that is batting .198 over the past week. TB bats have awoken and should give him the lead early vs Floyd.
HOU Astros TT over 3.5 -115
Like this lineup in this park to get some hits off the lefty. They have been hitting well lately, just their staff is anemic.
0
natalieportman9 36-37 -57$
KC Royals -1.5 +120
Fading Kazmir and backing the hot Santana. Kansas City can hit the lefty and Kazmir is subpar at best nowadays. Edge to KC bullpen so I will take the run line value.
TB Rays ML -119
Moore is a dominant pitcher against a lineup that is batting .198 over the past week. TB bats have awoken and should give him the lead early vs Floyd.
HOU Astros TT over 3.5 -115
Like this lineup in this park to get some hits off the lefty. They have been hitting well lately, just their staff is anemic.
Why is Marcum such a
favorite on his first start? Also don't
think the Mets should ever be this much of a favorite unless Harvey
pitches. I think this Pettibone has good
stuff.
Haren is due. The opening line should not have had Haren as
the favorite, especially after his outing earlier this season in
Cincinnati. The Reds are struggling to
produce hits and runs right now. They
must be tired from the series in Chicago.
Tigers are the better
team and they are playing at home. This
line should have opened higher due to a Porcello Start.
How good do you feel MM?!?!?! I have been tailing you for weeks! Just wanted to give you a thank you for all the posts!
0
Quote Originally Posted by Musicmatt1:
Musicmatt1 49-24-3
+1795$
PHI Phillies ML
+117
WAS Nationals ML -106
DET Tigers ML -105
Why is Marcum such a
favorite on his first start? Also don't
think the Mets should ever be this much of a favorite unless Harvey
pitches. I think this Pettibone has good
stuff.
Haren is due. The opening line should not have had Haren as
the favorite, especially after his outing earlier this season in
Cincinnati. The Reds are struggling to
produce hits and runs right now. They
must be tired from the series in Chicago.
Tigers are the better
team and they are playing at home. This
line should have opened higher due to a Porcello Start.
How good do you feel MM?!?!?! I have been tailing you for weeks! Just wanted to give you a thank you for all the posts!
Mavin, I know nothing about baseball but am a NBA junkie. My buddy and I have a total system that works for baseball as well but since I know nothing I would not be able to give reasoning for my picks. Could I still post with out giving reasoning? I feel like I should contribute to this thread to keep it alive since I use it for basically all my baseball ML picks.
0
Mavin, I know nothing about baseball but am a NBA junkie. My buddy and I have a total system that works for baseball as well but since I know nothing I would not be able to give reasoning for my picks. Could I still post with out giving reasoning? I feel like I should contribute to this thread to keep it alive since I use it for basically all my baseball ML picks.
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