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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    If you are looking for a reason to bet the Marlins

    123 Next Last»
    smellybunty
    Catwins
    Freddy666
    bigred84
    football_007
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    123 Next Last»
     
    smellybunty
    smellybunty
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 7:57 AM ET #1

    Past 2 years Sunday Night Baseball home teams who play Monday on the road are 0-9 on the RL  -1.5 and 1-8 SU

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Past 2 years Sunday Night Baseball home teams who play Monday on the road are 0-9 on the RL  -1.5 and 1-8 SU

     
    Catwins
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 8:08 AM ET #2

    Phillies with Wheeler aren’t losing to the Marlins Wheeler lost his last outing he will bounce back tonight.

    Reply

    Phillies with Wheeler aren’t losing to the Marlins Wheeler lost his last outing he will bounce back tonight.

     
    smellybunty
    smellybunty
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 8:12 AM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by Catwins:

    Phillies with Wheeler aren’t losing to the Marlins Wheeler lost his last outing he will bounce back tonight.

    They dont have to lose.

    Besides losing 2 in a row is nothing happens to better pitchers. All that being said a super cold or super hit teams can lose or beat even good spots so we shall see

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Catwins:

    Phillies with Wheeler aren’t losing to the Marlins Wheeler lost his last outing he will bounce back tonight.

    They dont have to lose.

    Besides losing 2 in a row is nothing happens to better pitchers. All that being said a super cold or super hit teams can lose or beat even good spots so we shall see

     
    Freddy666
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 8:21 AM ET #4

    Quote Originally Posted by smellybunty:

    Past 2 years Sunday Night Baseball home teams who play Monday on the road are 0-9 on the RL  -1.5 and 1-8 SU
       Wheeler is 14-4 against the Marlins with a 2.59era and 6-1 on the road with 1.78era which makes me think Marlins don't have a chance in this one.. peace_5

    CHOP YOUR BOOKIES HEAD-OFF
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by smellybunty:

    Past 2 years Sunday Night Baseball home teams who play Monday on the road are 0-9 on the RL  -1.5 and 1-8 SU
       Wheeler is 14-4 against the Marlins with a 2.59era and 6-1 on the road with 1.78era which makes me think Marlins don't have a chance in this one.. peace_5

     
    bigred84
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 8:25 AM ET #5

    an_wink

    Reply

    an_wink

     
    football_007
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 9:08 AM ET #6

    I know someone will find a reason to catch a fallen knife or jump into a crash train to try to stop it...an_roll_laugh

    I thought about it but heck no.

    Phi is 8-1-1 F5 and 7-2 FG on the road this season when Z Wheeler start. The 2 loses are at La Dodgers J Wrobleski and Tor D Cease. If you think Mia T Phillips is in the same class of those 2 then you have a chance, or else just stay the fk out...If it's M Myers pitching your chance is better. Just my 2¢.

    He already pitched at Mia early this season against E Perez and beat them 6-5 with the line at even $. So think carefully before jumping on that Mia train...an_wink

    Reply

    I know someone will find a reason to catch a fallen knife or jump into a crash train to try to stop it...an_roll_laugh

    I thought about it but heck no.

    Phi is 8-1-1 F5 and 7-2 FG on the road this season when Z Wheeler start. The 2 loses are at La Dodgers J Wrobleski and Tor D Cease. If you think Mia T Phillips is in the same class of those 2 then you have a chance, or else just stay the fk out...If it's M Myers pitching your chance is better. Just my 2¢.

    He already pitched at Mia early this season against E Perez and beat them 6-5 with the line at even $. So think carefully before jumping on that Mia train...an_wink

     
    football_007
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 9:14 AM ET #7

    And here are games when he pitched at Mia:

     

    Z Wheeler game at Mia F5/FG
    W 2-0. W 4-2 Nym 7/30/2013
    T 0-0. L 0-1 Nym 5/7/2014
    W 1-0. W 1-0 Nym 6/19/2014
    L 4-5. L 6-9 Nym 9/1/2014
    L 0-1. W 4-1 Nym 4/11/2018
    W 1-0. W 6-2 Nym 8/10/2018
    L 1-7. L 3-11 Phi 4/17/2022
    L 0-3. W 4-3 Phi 7/7/2023
    W 2-0. L 8-9 Phi 8/2/2023
    L 3-6. L 6-7 Phi 5/12/2024
    W 10-1. W 16-2 Phi 9/6/2024
    W 2-1. W 6-5 Phi 5/1/2026
     
    F5 6-5-1. FG 7-5
    Reply

    And here are games when he pitched at Mia:

     

    Z Wheeler game at Mia F5/FG
    W 2-0. W 4-2 Nym 7/30/2013
    T 0-0. L 0-1 Nym 5/7/2014
    W 1-0. W 1-0 Nym 6/19/2014
    L 4-5. L 6-9 Nym 9/1/2014
    L 0-1. W 4-1 Nym 4/11/2018
    W 1-0. W 6-2 Nym 8/10/2018
    L 1-7. L 3-11 Phi 4/17/2022
    L 0-3. W 4-3 Phi 7/7/2023
    W 2-0. L 8-9 Phi 8/2/2023
    L 3-6. L 6-7 Phi 5/12/2024
    W 10-1. W 16-2 Phi 9/6/2024
    W 2-1. W 6-5 Phi 5/1/2026
     
    F5 6-5-1. FG 7-5
     
    weeble5672
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 9:34 AM ET #8

    Is there a missing paramater that you didn't mention? Monday road teams who just played at home on Sunday night are 3-5 on the ML and RL since 2024.

    May 27, 2024: Cards 1-3 vs Reds
    June 10, 2024: Yankees 4-2 vs Royals
    June 17, 2024: Red Sox 7-3 vs Jays
    June 24, 2024: Cubs 4-5 vs Giants
    Sept 1, 2025: Phillies 10-8 vs Brewers
    Apr 6, 2026: Tighers 3-7 vs Twins
    Apr 20, 2026: Phillies 1-5 vs Cubs
    June 22, 2026: Phillies 1-4 vs Nats

    Again, perhaps I'm missing something. peace_5

    Reply

    Is there a missing paramater that you didn't mention? Monday road teams who just played at home on Sunday night are 3-5 on the ML and RL since 2024.

    May 27, 2024: Cards 1-3 vs Reds
    June 10, 2024: Yankees 4-2 vs Royals
    June 17, 2024: Red Sox 7-3 vs Jays
    June 24, 2024: Cubs 4-5 vs Giants
    Sept 1, 2025: Phillies 10-8 vs Brewers
    Apr 6, 2026: Tighers 3-7 vs Twins
    Apr 20, 2026: Phillies 1-5 vs Cubs
    June 22, 2026: Phillies 1-4 vs Nats

    Again, perhaps I'm missing something. peace_5

     
    RayRayK
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 9:36 AM ET #9

    Good post , it’s what this forum is all about. peace_5

    Reply

    Good post , it’s what this forum is all about. peace_5

     
    weeble5672
    weeble5672
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 9:48 AM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672:

    Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672: Is there a missing paramater that you didn't mention? Monday road teams who just played at home on Sunday night are 3-5 on the ML and RL since 2024.May 27, 2024: Cards 1-3 vs RedsJune 10, 2024: Yankees 4-2 vs RoyalsJune 17, 2024: Red Sox 7-3 vs JaysJune 24, 2024: Cubs 4-5 vs GiantsSept 1, 2025: Phillies 10-8 vs BrewersApr 6, 2026: Tighers 3-7 vs TwinsApr 20, 2026: Phillies 1-5 vs CubsJune 22, 2026: Phillies 1-4 vs NatsAgain, perhaps I'm missing something.
    And now I've found my two problems. 

    Monday road teams on any kind of rest in regular season only who played at home in the SNB game are definitely 0-8 ML and RL since last year. bigsmile

    Good find. peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672:

    Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672: Is there a missing paramater that you didn't mention? Monday road teams who just played at home on Sunday night are 3-5 on the ML and RL since 2024.May 27, 2024: Cards 1-3 vs RedsJune 10, 2024: Yankees 4-2 vs RoyalsJune 17, 2024: Red Sox 7-3 vs JaysJune 24, 2024: Cubs 4-5 vs GiantsSept 1, 2025: Phillies 10-8 vs BrewersApr 6, 2026: Tighers 3-7 vs TwinsApr 20, 2026: Phillies 1-5 vs CubsJune 22, 2026: Phillies 1-4 vs NatsAgain, perhaps I'm missing something.
    And now I've found my two problems. 

    Monday road teams on any kind of rest in regular season only who played at home in the SNB game are definitely 0-8 ML and RL since last year. bigsmile

    Good find. peace_5

     
    Way2Good
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 10:13 AM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by RayRayK:

    Good post , it’s what this forum is all about.


    like a secret society of gamblers and degenerates.

    Even a broken clock is right twice a day.
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by RayRayK:

    Good post , it’s what this forum is all about.


    like a secret society of gamblers and degenerates.

     
    Way2Good
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 10:25 AM ET #12

    @smellybunty

     Marlins at +150ML is not worth the juice against Wheeler. If they put it at +280 or more I'd probably think twice. 

    Even a broken clock is right twice a day.
    Reply

    @smellybunty

     Marlins at +150ML is not worth the juice against Wheeler. If they put it at +280 or more I'd probably think twice. 

     
    PUSSYGALORE333
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 10:46 AM ET #13

    thebaseball       an_fight

    goldfinger 1964
    Reply

    thebaseball       an_fight

     
    RebelTell2
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 11:32 AM ET #14

    Folks are overlooking the most obvious stat: 0-12. Why would any bettor want to fade that stat? There's plenty of teams on the card tonight playing better baseball than a team in an 0-12 slump. Why bet on a cold team like the Marlins? 

    Reply

    Folks are overlooking the most obvious stat: 0-12. Why would any bettor want to fade that stat? There's plenty of teams on the card tonight playing better baseball than a team in an 0-12 slump. Why bet on a cold team like the Marlins? 

     
    chicubs09
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 1:31 PM ET #15

    Zack Wheeler is 11-0 since August 2025 as a favorite of at least -125

    Reply

    Zack Wheeler is 11-0 since August 2025 as a favorite of at least -125

     
    smgambler
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 1:53 PM ET #16

    We will then take the Cubs on Monday, 8/3, since the Dodgers arrive to town after playing against the Red Sox at home on SNB.

    Reply

    We will then take the Cubs on Monday, 8/3, since the Dodgers arrive to town after playing against the Red Sox at home on SNB.

     
    pa2918
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 2:21 PM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by RebelTell2:

    Folks are overlooking the most obvious stat: 0-12. Why would any bettor want to fade that stat? There's plenty of teams on the card tonight playing better baseball than a team in an 0-12 slump. Why bet on a cold team like the Marlins?

    People do it constantly. They look to try to be "sharp" and be the one to say look i guessed when the win/loss streak would end instead of keeping it simple and keep backing the streak

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by RebelTell2:

    Folks are overlooking the most obvious stat: 0-12. Why would any bettor want to fade that stat? There's plenty of teams on the card tonight playing better baseball than a team in an 0-12 slump. Why bet on a cold team like the Marlins?

    People do it constantly. They look to try to be "sharp" and be the one to say look i guessed when the win/loss streak would end instead of keeping it simple and keep backing the streak

     
    River_fish
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 5:14 PM ET #18

    I have bet baseball for three years now. Studied my ass off. What I've learned is if it makes sense, you are wrong. If you think something is for sure, it's not. It would not surprise me one bit for the Marlins to win tonight against maybe the hottest pitcher in baseball because that is baseball. Marlins are 0-12 since the all-star break. To me...this means that they are due.

    I really like the under here.

    Reply

    I have bet baseball for three years now. Studied my ass off. What I've learned is if it makes sense, you are wrong. If you think something is for sure, it's not. It would not surprise me one bit for the Marlins to win tonight against maybe the hottest pitcher in baseball because that is baseball. Marlins are 0-12 since the all-star break. To me...this means that they are due.

    I really like the under here.

     
    howan168
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 6:38 PM ET #19

    @smellybunty

     FYI your record is wrong, don’t need to look far

    last Sun July 19th Oakland athletics @ home CE nationals lost 5-2

    last Mon July 20th Oakland athletics away vs DBacks won 5-2

    dont need 2 years to proof this BS lol

    Reply

    @smellybunty

     FYI your record is wrong, don’t need to look far

    last Sun July 19th Oakland athletics @ home CE nationals lost 5-2

    last Mon July 20th Oakland athletics away vs DBacks won 5-2

    dont need 2 years to proof this BS lol

     
    smgambler
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 7:25 PM ET #20

    @howan168

    The A’s did not play on SNB, LAD vs NYY, did. 

    Reply

    @howan168

    The A’s did not play on SNB, LAD vs NYY, did. 

     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 7:37 PM ET #21

    Post #19 is embarrassing. It’s not good form to lol at someone while simultaneously being wrong.

    Reply

    Post #19 is embarrassing. It’s not good form to lol at someone while simultaneously being wrong.

     
    MrBator
    MrBator
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2004
    Posts: 53438
    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 7:38 PM ET #22

    I won’t forget about Post #16 a week from today. I’ll be all over that.

    Reply

    I won’t forget about Post #16 a week from today. I’ll be all over that.

     
    kidd22
    kidd22
    MVP
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2015
    Posts: 16927
    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 8:37 PM ET #23

    Philly 6-5 bottom 6

    Reply

    Philly 6-5 bottom 6

     
    MrBator
    MrBator
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2004
    Posts: 53438
    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 8:58 PM ET #24

    No more baserunners for the Marlins. They’re unlikely to recover from what happened in the top of the 6th. Thirteen losses in a row.

    Reply

    No more baserunners for the Marlins. They’re unlikely to recover from what happened in the top of the 6th. Thirteen losses in a row.

     
     
    howan168
    howan168
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2012
    Posts: 334
    Posted: Jul. 27, 2026 - 9:18 PM ET #25

    @smgambler

     Only SNB? Damn good I missed that otherwise might be all over marlie

    Reply

    @smgambler

     Only SNB? Damn good I missed that otherwise might be all over marlie

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