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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Blue's Baseball System

    «First Previous 12345 Next Last»
    MLKing
    blues2112
    philschnaars
    Islandsnow
    WolfJaw
    ...
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    MLKing
    MLKing
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2008 - 11:32 AM ET #51

    I like that you avg. it out to 64 Units...its a very realistic goal for every season.
     
    The investing begins Apr. 18....
     
    Cheers
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    I like that you avg. it out to 64 Units...its a very realistic goal for every season.
     
    The investing begins Apr. 18....
     
    Cheers
     
    blues2112
    blues2112
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2008 - 10:12 PM ET #52

    Shameless plug to get me back on the board......or else I'd have post all this crap again!!!
     
    FYI, Kent State screwed my whole bracket up:-)
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    Shameless plug to get me back on the board......or else I'd have post all this crap again!!!
     
    FYI, Kent State screwed my whole bracket up:-)
     
    philschnaars
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2008 - 11:07 PM ET #53

    if kent state screwed your whole bracket up in the 1st round then i'm thinking you should stick to dogs in baseball and not in college hoops....because a statement like yours means you must've had them over kansas too
    Freedom road was a one-way street
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    if kent state screwed your whole bracket up in the 1st round then i'm thinking you should stick to dogs in baseball and not in college hoops....because a statement like yours means you must've had them over kansas too
     
    blues2112
    blues2112
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2008 - 11:38 PM ET #54

    LOL..not at all....I was going for a perfect bracket..and my 1st loser was Kent State..my Alma mater.......4 years ago we went to the great 8..and we were not supposed to get out of the 1st round.....so I took them out of the 1st round..then to lose.....there goes 5 million from Yahoo....way to go Golden Falshes:-)
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    LOL..not at all....I was going for a perfect bracket..and my 1st loser was Kent State..my Alma mater.......4 years ago we went to the great 8..and we were not supposed to get out of the 1st round.....so I took them out of the 1st round..then to lose.....there goes 5 million from Yahoo....way to go Golden Falshes:-)
     
    Islandsnow
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2008 - 11:50 PM ET #55

    Looking forward towards your plays in md-April. Hope your plays will be as successful as your previous years.
     
     
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    Looking forward towards your plays in md-April. Hope your plays will be as successful as your previous years.
     
     
     
    blues2112
    blues2112
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    Posted: Mar. 21, 2008 - 10:06 PM ET #56

    Same system..so I have no reason to believe othewise.....
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    Same system..so I have no reason to believe othewise.....
     
    WolfJaw
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    Posted: Mar. 22, 2008 - 1:41 PM ET #57

    Quote Originally Posted by blues2112:

    Hey guys, tried to get this a full chart format - it will not let me post a spread sheet, gives me an error about 7800 character limit...so I had to do it like this..as you can see, there is much to be discerned from the historical results below.

     

    <!--[if !supportLists]-->1.)    <!--[endif]-->April is the worst month – mainly, my only losing year(2004) - it was all done in April, over 5 grand…..spent the rest of the year clawing back to a $701 loser……Of that month, it was almost all due to the 1st few weeks…

    <!--[if !supportLists]-->2.)    <!--[endif]-->April has lost 5 years, won 6 years…so it proves I have to let the public and the lines makers get into a groove before this kicks in.

    <!--[if !supportLists]-->3.)    <!--[endif]-->May, June, July and Aug are the best months …..

    <!--[if !supportLists]-->4.)    <!--[endif]-->Please note there are only 2 years when I did not have a losing month sometime during the season, 2002 & 2003.

    <!--[if !supportLists]-->5.)    <!--[endif]-->I suggest a $2,000 bankroll for every $100 bet – that should be enough to weather the downturns and profit from the upswings. Average return for a $100 better would be $6,406 + the initial $2,000 bankroll – so early Oct you’d have $8,406 on average.

    If you want to bet $500 a unit…I suggest a $10,000 bankroll…projected profit of $32,033 early Oct, plus the $10,000 bankroll you never lost = $42,033

     

    <!--[if !supportLists]-->6.)    <!--[endif]-->Remember this is a system based on fundamental indicators derived from stats….it is designed to make money over time….think long term strategy…most betters think very short term….like how much do I have to pay at the end of the week, or how much do I get paid? 

     

    GL to all with your plays 

     

    This may seem like a stupid ????are u goin'to post plays each day??????
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    Quote Originally Posted by blues2112:

    Hey guys, tried to get this a full chart format - it will not let me post a spread sheet, gives me an error about 7800 character limit...so I had to do it like this..as you can see, there is much to be discerned from the historical results below.

     

    <!--[if !supportLists]-->1.)    <!--[endif]-->April is the worst month – mainly, my only losing year(2004) - it was all done in April, over 5 grand…..spent the rest of the year clawing back to a $701 loser……Of that month, it was almost all due to the 1st few weeks…

    <!--[if !supportLists]-->2.)    <!--[endif]-->April has lost 5 years, won 6 years…so it proves I have to let the public and the lines makers get into a groove before this kicks in.

    <!--[if !supportLists]-->3.)    <!--[endif]-->May, June, July and Aug are the best months …..

    <!--[if !supportLists]-->4.)    <!--[endif]-->Please note there are only 2 years when I did not have a losing month sometime during the season, 2002 & 2003.

    <!--[if !supportLists]-->5.)    <!--[endif]-->I suggest a $2,000 bankroll for every $100 bet – that should be enough to weather the downturns and profit from the upswings. Average return for a $100 better would be $6,406 + the initial $2,000 bankroll – so early Oct you’d have $8,406 on average.

    If you want to bet $500 a unit…I suggest a $10,000 bankroll…projected profit of $32,033 early Oct, plus the $10,000 bankroll you never lost = $42,033

     

    <!--[if !supportLists]-->6.)    <!--[endif]-->Remember this is a system based on fundamental indicators derived from stats….it is designed to make money over time….think long term strategy…most betters think very short term….like how much do I have to pay at the end of the week, or how much do I get paid? 

     

    GL to all with your plays 

     

    This may seem like a stupid ????are u goin'to post plays each day??????
     
    blues2112
    blues2112
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    Posted: Mar. 22, 2008 - 8:33 PM ET #58

    Wolf JAw....Yep. I'll be posting each day that the system shows some opportunity to make profits....starting Friday April 18th..some days there will be no picks......sometimes it can be 4 or 5 days in a row with no picks.....however, I think there willl be at least 500 picks per season, or that is what has been what as shown up in the past (see post for #2) ....it could be as many as 700 this season...
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    Wolf JAw....Yep. I'll be posting each day that the system shows some opportunity to make profits....starting Friday April 18th..some days there will be no picks......sometimes it can be 4 or 5 days in a row with no picks.....however, I think there willl be at least 500 picks per season, or that is what has been what as shown up in the past (see post for #2) ....it could be as many as 700 this season...
     
    DANI17
    DANI17
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2008 - 12:00 AM ET #59

     I LIKE TO HABLAR WITH YOU......................REACH ME ......assedape@cantv.net
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     I LIKE TO HABLAR WITH YOU......................REACH ME ......assedape@cantv.net
     
    nccashman
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2008 - 3:03 PM ET #60

    hablar? dominican league baseball?
     
     
    looking forward to watching you work...
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    hablar? dominican league baseball?
     
     
    looking forward to watching you work...
     
    blues2112
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    Posted: Apr. 4, 2008 - 2:25 PM ET #61

    Just a note to let everyone remember this system kicks in Friday April 18th...

    GL with your plays until then.......
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    Just a note to let everyone remember this system kicks in Friday April 18th...

    GL with your plays until then.......
     
    OLSH
    OLSH
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    Posted: Apr. 4, 2008 - 2:38 PM ET #62

    Blues
           Not doubting you just wondering why you didn't post last year which was a very successful year for you.  and if you did post there should be nobody that can doubt the strenght of your system
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    Blues
           Not doubting you just wondering why you didn't post last year which was a very successful year for you.  and if you did post there should be nobody that can doubt the strenght of your system
     
    king08
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    Posted: Apr. 4, 2008 - 2:46 PM ET #63

    blues2112,  how much do recommend betting? 2-3% of bankroll
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    blues2112,  how much do recommend betting? 2-3% of bankroll
     
    blues2112
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    Posted: Apr. 4, 2008 - 3:59 PM ET #64

    OLSH - I didn't post last year because I didn't even know this forum existed..I signed up on Wagerline Feb 2007 to checkout lines and throw a few at Survivor when it was worth $100,000 - didn't even know there was a Covers forum attached to it until maybe 3-4 months ago.....don't worry about doubting this system...until it proves itself everyone will be doubting....but Like I said before..If I'm full of shit you guys will figure it out real quick...
     
    king08- I suggest a $2,000 bankroll for every $100 bet – that should be enough to weather the downturns and profit from the upswings. Average return for a $100 better would be $6,406 + the initial $2,000 bankroll – so early Oct you’d have $8,406 on average using the last 11 years...
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    OLSH - I didn't post last year because I didn't even know this forum existed..I signed up on Wagerline Feb 2007 to checkout lines and throw a few at Survivor when it was worth $100,000 - didn't even know there was a Covers forum attached to it until maybe 3-4 months ago.....don't worry about doubting this system...until it proves itself everyone will be doubting....but Like I said before..If I'm full of shit you guys will figure it out real quick...
     
    king08- I suggest a $2,000 bankroll for every $100 bet – that should be enough to weather the downturns and profit from the upswings. Average return for a $100 better would be $6,406 + the initial $2,000 bankroll – so early Oct you’d have $8,406 on average using the last 11 years...
     
    joemw74
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    Posted: Apr. 12, 2008 - 8:46 PM ET #65

    starts friday the 18th!!! at least its not the 13th
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    starts friday the 18th!!! at least its not the 13th
     
    Superfigg
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    Posted: Apr. 12, 2008 - 9:01 PM ET #66

    I started my season today ,  Im starting with one less week of data,,
     
    On a side note, do you use any programs to keep track of results.
    I used to use a program called statking , by conjelco , but it leaves alot to be desired when it comes to sports (its mostly a poker tracking program).
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    I started my season today ,  Im starting with one less week of data,,
     
    On a side note, do you use any programs to keep track of results.
    I used to use a program called statking , by conjelco , but it leaves alot to be desired when it comes to sports (its mostly a poker tracking program).
     
    gjl02
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    Posted: Apr. 12, 2008 - 10:31 PM ET #67

    excited for your picks blues good luck to ya
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    excited for your picks blues good luck to ya
     
    sportsrecords
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2008 - 12:02 AM ET #68

    First reply for me here To blues2112 I live in Las vegas I also have a very good system in basketball.  Public perception is very much a key.  I count on strictly numbers to start to ball rolling  then other factors from there You would be amaze how Lakers Raiders is worth 2 to 3 points higher as a fav because of California money Like you I moved here 25 yrs ago to take on sports betting and to study money management (Young Gamblers) blues2112 knows what he talks about. This game is a grind and patence is needed . My ?  Are you going to place ur picks in this forum for the the whole season it would be senseless to follow you if u quit mid season. Second I would be interested in exchangeing systems or at least exchangeing ideas.  One last thing for all you fellow systems anaylist. Not all systems are perfect blue statement is right it is gambling. All we coud ask for is an edge.  blue2112 seems to know what he is talking about. I am looking forward to your picks. This would be a great forum for u. Looking forward april 18 th
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    First reply for me here To blues2112 I live in Las vegas I also have a very good system in basketball.  Public perception is very much a key.  I count on strictly numbers to start to ball rolling  then other factors from there You would be amaze how Lakers Raiders is worth 2 to 3 points higher as a fav because of California money Like you I moved here 25 yrs ago to take on sports betting and to study money management (Young Gamblers) blues2112 knows what he talks about. This game is a grind and patence is needed . My ?  Are you going to place ur picks in this forum for the the whole season it would be senseless to follow you if u quit mid season. Second I would be interested in exchangeing systems or at least exchangeing ideas.  One last thing for all you fellow systems anaylist. Not all systems are perfect blue statement is right it is gambling. All we coud ask for is an edge.  blue2112 seems to know what he is talking about. I am looking forward to your picks. This would be a great forum for u. Looking forward april 18 th
     
    GWarner27
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2008 - 12:45 AM ET #69

    i hope this will fill all of our pockets this season...
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    i hope this will fill all of our pockets this season...
     
    Cool_Money
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2008 - 1:14 AM ET #70

    Good to see you're gonna post your picks in advance. I blew $2k last year on www.baseballformula.com. You're not charging anything and have a longer more profitable track record (assuming your data is legit) so its a win win situation for me if I follow your picks.

    Just curious - In the time you've been using your system, what has been your biggest drawdown in terms of units?

    btw my prediction: Blue's system is a big success and he leaves the forum and starts capping professionally, charging $500/mo for picks.
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    Good to see you're gonna post your picks in advance. I blew $2k last year on www.baseballformula.com. You're not charging anything and have a longer more profitable track record (assuming your data is legit) so its a win win situation for me if I follow your picks.

    Just curious - In the time you've been using your system, what has been your biggest drawdown in terms of units?

    btw my prediction: Blue's system is a big success and he leaves the forum and starts capping professionally, charging $500/mo for picks.
     
    PaperChaser23
    PaperChaser23
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2008 - 2:22 AM ET #71

    Love the time spent and your write-ups Blues.  Looking forward to your system. 
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    Love the time spent and your write-ups Blues.  Looking forward to your system. 
     
    brendanb438
    brendanb438
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2008 - 2:38 AM ET #72

    So you recommend a $100 player to have a $2000 BR?  So are the units being played $100 giving them a whole 20 unit bankroll?

    Odds of busto during the first week if you are making 8 or 9 plays that are single unit plays is huge.  If multiple units then odds of busto is good enough that I will take bets against this system taking off before going broke on a 20 unit roll.
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    So you recommend a $100 player to have a $2000 BR?  So are the units being played $100 giving them a whole 20 unit bankroll?

    Odds of busto during the first week if you are making 8 or 9 plays that are single unit plays is huge.  If multiple units then odds of busto is good enough that I will take bets against this system taking off before going broke on a 20 unit roll.
     
    Lonnie82
    Lonnie82
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2008 - 2:42 AM ET #73

    fade in april, then start tailing in may
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    fade in april, then start tailing in may
     
    brendanb438
    brendanb438
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2008 - 2:44 AM ET #74

    I want to add I think your all "system" is completely sound in theory but your bankroll management is bad.  How many of those years would you have went broke since April is a bad month for you on a 20 unit bankroll?

    This type of system needs more like 50 or 100 units to really have the chance to break a season open.  Use fully Kelly once you start going not flat betting.
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    I want to add I think your all "system" is completely sound in theory but your bankroll management is bad.  How many of those years would you have went broke since April is a bad month for you on a 20 unit bankroll?

    This type of system needs more like 50 or 100 units to really have the chance to break a season open.  Use fully Kelly once you start going not flat betting.
     
     
    brendanb438
    brendanb438
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2008 - 2:46 AM ET #75

    Wow, long night and getting late.  Full Kelly or half Kelly.

    If you start off having just a couple bad days your bankroll is fucked and you won't have enough units to continue making full unit bets without redepositing right?
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    Wow, long night and getting late.  Full Kelly or half Kelly.

    If you start off having just a couple bad days your bankroll is fucked and you won't have enough units to continue making full unit bets without redepositing right?
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