WARNING: STREAKER alert!
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 12-game HOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!!!
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! 
HOUCK, BoSox
In fact, this dude has started 15 games and only had one bonafide "BAD outing" which was 13 games ago.
This is really pushing the boundaries of good fortunes........beware.
Garrett Crochet had put together 9 consecutive starts without a bad outing until Wednesday......Wednesday outing wasn't horrible....3 earned runs is mediocre/borderline.....buit in such a case I look at the WHIP as a tie-breaker and it needs to be no worse than 1.33. His was a close call but 1.50 WHIP with 3 earned runs just makes the cut into my "BAD outing" category....barely......
Your results may vary.
@Ramanujan
Good point. I tried explaining this before but it's a good time to repeat 
Calling out a consecutive game HOT STREAK is based on my personal data collection over the years.
I've found that pitchers (obviously GOOD ones!) will often sustain a HOT STREAK for awhile - usually up to 7 games....then the bottom drops out from under most of them. My chart & graph showing consecutive starts WITHOUT a BAD outing looks pretty much what most people would figure logically. Obviously a whole bunch of GOOD pitchers will enjoy 2 consecutive starts WITHOUT a BAD outing...and this will repeat itself multiple times a season. Then as you would expect, a whole bunch of times pitchers will enjoy 3 consecutive starts without a bad outing - BUT THIS OCCURS A LITTLE LESS OFTEN.....And the same for 4 consecutive.....then 5 consecutive ....then 6 consecutive, always with fewer occurances thru the season...and finally 7 consecutive starts without a bad outing. And that point is where the numbers really drop off. There still are occurances of 8, 9, 10+ consecutive games without a BAD outing but they are very few indeed. Hence the warning. Because the probability of a BAD outing occuring increases with each successive outing and right around 7 is where the numbers indicate it's a wise idea to PASS on those games where a starters has been fortunate enough to escape a BAD outing after so many starts. In short, when a GOOD pitcher first starts a streak, the probability of maintaining his norm and pitching well (or no worse than mediocre - is HIGH. At the beginning. By game 7 of a hot streak, my numbers indicate the probability has crossed the line into unfavorable odds and has flipped the other way.
BUT - that does not mean his team will lose. If he has great run support, even with a BAD outing but a good bullpen, many teams will survive and still win!
Correct. And I'm using my own personal data collection from over the years - following the same protocol for how I judge if it is a good, mediocre, or bad outing. In effect, a GOOD pitcher will enjoy a lot of outings without a bad one, but from time to time he will indeed have a bad day. After 7 consecutive starts without a BAD outing - my stats show the number of times it continues on to 8 or 9 or 10 drops off BIG TIME. In short, yes, he is "due" - though with good luck he may extend it another game or 2, but this doesn't happen too often.
Keep in mind as I said above: he may have a bad outing (marginally perhaps; not a full blown implosion!) but that does not guarantee a team loss!! They can still win despite that. Usually not of course...
fair enough and thanks for the reply
Home Team HEAVY FAVS (ie, -170 and up) have been on FIRE!!!
35 - 5 +25.12u 
(9 of those home wins by just 1 run)
yowee ! astros and royals tonite ?!
yowee ! astros and royals tonite ?!
Will be interesting to see how long this trend of home teams with heavy juice continue to win. I have my doubts.
Nevertheless, I am leaning ROYALS...
im biting on that one got the royals for -187 
im biting on that one got the royals for -187
I think that's the best play on the board today. BoL 
Of course, in baseball anything can happen...
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