🔥🥳 185 - 117 ... +1034.40u .....+68 more wins than losses!

Orioles won 11 - 2

SUPER-HEAVY FAVS?

-300 and up, since May 01:

 

Away:  0 - 1  -300

Home:  7 - 5  (+700 in wins) vs (-1610 in losses)

 

HEAVY FAVS     (May 01 to date)

...if one wisely avoided dreadful -300 chalk bets . . .

 

Roadies:   33 - 28   -20.17u

Homies:  108 - 39   +24.41u  (24 wins by 1 run)

 

 

Now here is what a wise and savvy sports bettor might ask himself: 

will the HOT RETURNS betting HEAVY HOME FAVS continue, or is regression looming?

And another HOT STREAK came to an abrupt end, including a 5 - 0 defeat.

 The -163 moneyline Tigers couldn't score a run in support of FLAHERTY who had a "BAD" outing anyway by allowing 7 hits - 3 of them homeruns - and 5 earned runs in just 5.2 ip...

@guyhopestowin

Hi and thank you!

 

When I post a bet it will be here in this "information based" thread.

BUT......... I am being extremely cautious now and very, VERY selective!  My selection/bet MUST have a very high chance of winning or I won't risk it *because* I expect regression is looming like a summer heat wave in Vegas   I don't want my picks (either directly or indirectly) to contribute to other's losing at a time when I am expecting regression. 

So I'm just waiting it out looking for those "rare golden gems" with extreme high chance of a win but with a low downside on juice.

 

I enjoy baseball and the challenge of handicapping sports, but I don't NEED to have action. So it's easy for me to lay off, particularly when my personal capping history indicates that right about NOW the probability of regression (mounting losses) is likely very high, following an incredible 6 week run.

BoL to you this weekend with all your bets!!

 

There are no "HOT STREAK" alerts to be concerned about today!

Let's go Fubah! 

@fubah2

 Appreciate the explanation! 

Bad beat

@fubah2

 re#130, thank you respectfully, appreciated, spoken like a true gentleman, professional. be watching for your great stuff, SIR!

@winners1941

Made my day! Thank you! Nice of you to say. Mutual respect.

BoL with your bets this weekend!

June 09 through Thursday, June 27 (past 19 days)

Home Team HEAVY FAVS  (ie, -170 and up)  have been on FIRE!!!

  41 - 7    +26.14u   (9 of those home wins by just 1 run)

*But if dismissing the -300 SUPER HEAVY FAV (loser) that is always ill-advised anyway, then 41 - 6  +29.14

 

FOUR on tap Friday: Phillies,  Rays,  Braves,  and Dbacks

Now here is what a wise and savvy sports bettor might ask himself: 

will the HOT RETURNS betting HEAVY HOME FAVS continue, or is regression looming?

Meanwhile 3 of the 4 aforementioned HEAVY HOME FAVS have already won tonight, with the DBACKS pending...

Outstanding!

If we only knew how long this will last 

Twins got screwed last night with no call in runner being in grass!!! Very very very concerning with 6 one run losses in a row!!! That needs to stop!!! As always they win today/tomorrow and take series then should be ok with home stand beating Detroit/houston with 5-1 homestand!!!! Just keep being twins all season long and you will make $$$

Saturday, June 29 ...

WARNING:  STREAKER alert! 

 

        This STARTER is riding a tenuous 8-game  HOT STREAK,

                    WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!

      ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!   

 

                       RAGANS,  Royals

WARNING:  STREAKER alert! 

 

 

        This STARTER is riding a tenuous 13-game  HOT STREAK,

                    WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!!!

      ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!   

 

                      HOUCK,  BoSox

 

In fact, this dude has started 16 games and only had one bonafide "BAD outing" which was 13 games ago.

This is really pushing the boundaries of good fortunes........beware!!

June 09 through Thursday, June 28 (past 20 days)

 

Home Team HEAVY FAVS  (ie, -170 and up)

  44 - 7    +30.38*u (9 of those home wins by just 1 run)

            *Dismissing all -300 SUPER HEAVY FAVS;  always an ill-advised risk anyway

 

On tap Saturday:   Cards,  Phillies,   and  Dbacks

 

  Now here is what a wise and savvy sports bettor might ask himself: 

     will the HOT RETURNS betting HEAVY HOME FAVS continue, or is regression looming?

Regression always happens just after ASB 

@sherriffics

That's always been my experience 

@fubah2

 

June 09 - June 29 (past 3 weeks)

 

Home Team HEAVY FAVS  (ie, -170 and up)

  45 - 9    +26.92*u (9 of those home wins by just 1 run)

               *Dismissing all -300 SUPER HEAVY FAVS;  always an ill-advised risk anyway

 

Likely Sunday:  Braves, Phillies, Rays, CWS,  Dbacks... possibly Brewers

 

  1 - 2 Saturday. So here is what a wise and savvy sports bettor might ask himself: 

         will the HOT RETURNS betting HEAVY HOME FAVS continue, or is regression looming?

Boom!  Good fortune ended!

In only 4.1 ip, Houck allows 9 hits (3 homers) and 7 earned runs

 

Glad many of you saw the above warning and laid off BoSox.

 

I may have another one today...

San Diego PADRES?

 

On their recent 3 series (9 games) have scored a whopping 68 runs!  7.5 rpg

8 - 1 during this streak! (Brewers, Nats, BoSox)

All 9 games went OVER the total.

Face a righthanded  relief pitcher today!

               Lead the league in BA vs. righties

               Lead the league in OBP vs righties

              Top 3 in both SLG and OPS vs righties

 

Only slight negative to this hot streak is Padres have allowed 42 runs against in 9 games.... 4.5 rpg against.....but that's a mean from the 9 games......Just @BoSox, Padres have outscored them 20 - 3  in just two games, and BoSox are putting up a righty reliever to face the hot Padres bats - who lead the league vs righties.