Posted:
#1
OMER with news...getting closer to filing BLA
Looking for a nice push now into earnings it's been slow but it's coming and overdue!
1st half 19 thread
Posted:
#4
Sold SPRWF bought a few more OMER will flip again over 14.50
Added to HEAR at 16.50,bought a bit early as 16.20s were the lows..I didnt expect this to drop.Still believe we see a nice pop come earnings.The numbers look good with this stock,will have to keep this on my flipping list now.
ABR has made a nice recovery,wish I had bought in the 10s instead of high 11s but that fine..if it keeps this up dividend will increase again before year end.
Waiting for a direction in crude..couldve rode DWT over the weekend and sold this am for 2% gain.Would love a test of 55.50 or lower..
Posted:
#5
Guess I shouldve kept PYX..been up a dollar plus everyday this month it seems like, I didnt have much in it but still.
Forgot to mention I hopped back in CTRC the other day,not many shares got just over $1500 in it.Still no volume,worth a small risk let's see what happens come earnings.As I'm typing this one just shot up .30 cents!!
Still waiting for crude,I dont wanna go long at this level and I cant short here either,any thought or opinions on where this goes from here are welcome and appreciated 
Posted:
#6
Damn HEAR getting pounded!!Not worried but not adding either..will let that trade sit for now.
OMER named 721 and shes up a bit today..hope it can keep some momo into earnings.I told you all again to buy at/under $13.This is gonna be $18+ once audited revs come in.Once they file that BLA we start trending back toward ATHs prices again.Not too late to buy folks
Once filing BLA is done 6 months to approval..2019 could be the year still,I need it too or my options are toast!!
I'm starting to feel like the guy that had the MNKD thread LOL
Posted:
#7
I want a push from SIRI so I can load more into HEAR but I dont think I can wait and get these prices much longer..these guys are gonna beat earnings,undervalued compared to their sector peers,guidance should be more than solid..this seems like an easy pick here.Console sales have lagged but accessories and software sales are still on the rise,both up over 11%.
Cant believe its even down this far after looking over everything.Buying more tomorrow.
Crude weekly chart looks good to me..want a test of 55 still,dont think it can break below 55.80/70 though.
Posted:
#8
I closed Siri trade added to HEAR, a few in RNKLF as well as OMER today.Looking for news from both O and R this coming week.O reporting 4 qtr and R with more drill assays at least and maybe pre #s on 4th qtr.
The weekly and monthly charts for OMER look good to me..STOCHS,RSI,CCI,MACD,DMI whatever indicators you wanna use says buy IMO,monthly actually started to turn around in December and last month it continued..my recent purchases will soon be up for sale over 20!
Any comments welcome...first page gonna be an echo chamber
Posted:
#10
Goose I didnt want to wait it out is all...I didnt go in with much to begin with so my profit there wouldve been small unless it doubles from here.
Trump on Twitter taking down oil..I love it!!
Started a position in UWT at $14.45..would like to see it fight back above 55.50 to close.Will look to add if oil breaks lower
..heres comes a 5%+ day
Posted:
#13
Oil back to 60 from here?See how it acts up in the 58s but not much resistance from here to there.Up 10% in UWT and this could spark another mini run IMO..
Gamble you could smash the returns you get especially if you're only collecting dividends.You could trade just seasonal swings,ride ng down every year into Feb and ride oil up into summer.I know it wont always be just that easy but surely you could get min 20%!?
We knew almost $5 NG and $42 oil werent going to hold very long,the returns trading just those setups alone top the returns % wise most look for in a year...and you can trade 3x ETFs to boot!!
DGAZ from $50 up to $110
UWT from $8 to $15.(UWT still going 16+ coming but the low was around xmas) That's not the bottom or top of the ranges for either and that's only holding those for at most 2 months.
Posted:
#15
Just saying the highs in NG every December dont last..$5 NG is def not normal but it's always over $4...then eventually settles mid $2 range.
Oil had almost the same exact low last 42 in July..had a low just over 26 in Feb 16..and looking over the charts theres two chances a yr for longer range swing trades.Just an idea if you're not happy with current returns.
Cant say oil is as predictable as NG but oil typically starts trending higher into summer.We will have to see what the new range is I guess as it was pretty common for oil to be $100+ a barrel just a few yrs ago.It kinda seems as though the days might be gone forever.
I will def pay closer attention this fall and track NG wait for what I feel is the high and just sit in DGAZ..decay is a factor but it should matter if the price of NG is close to its peak.The 3x gains in Dgaz make it possible for nearly a double up.
Even more money could be made with less risk going the option route.
Wall you worked for a brokerage right?What would be the best way to capitalize off the seasonal swings in these?
Posted:
#17
Buck. I do not own any OMER and I never buy or sell stocks just based just on reading the chart. That said, based on chart analysis alone, the $10-$14 and change range it currently trades in has been a pretty reliable buy followed by a sell around 20 or 20+. I know the last 5 years has been very profitable for you making this trade. It looks like clockwork and while it has been a trend to bank on, I have yet to pull the trigger. Get back to 11-12 and I think I could make a case for getting involved in this game of trading the range.
One thing I have said many times in other threads in regard to my investment opinions, is that I prefer to invest in companies making positive earnings. I like to bet on reliable sales, reliable profits, and reliable and predictable earnings. OMER is not that. With a 5 year low of $7.34 or so, I would prefer an entry point closer to $12 as opposed to pushing $15. Just for fun, I am getting in if it somehow takes a 15% hit or so.
Gamble for entertainment, invest for wealth!
Posted:
#18
Look to the numbers about to be released Friday morning.On pace to make 100 mill off Omidria for 2019 and it was gaining nearly 18% qtr over qtr in sales with under 10% of market penetration before passthrough snafu.With cash burn they are prob some time away from being profitable though.The wildcard for this is approval and they have a few shots at it.
The charts arent the be all end all but finding buy and sell prices and knowing where support resistance is never hurts.Then you have fibonacci to play with..
For example..Omer weekly time frame pull fib retracement.Today was the 1st close over the .236 FIB line since Nov..next price to look for near $17..50% level upper $18s...618 level nearly $21.
The HEAR chart also a beauty..higher lows since late Dec,lot of indicators right where you want em,held the trend line on the drop a few days ago,smaller float..
I give em credit, they duped me into buying early with that spike but I can see what's coming.I did lower my avg and I'm pretty confident I sell this with pretty good profit soon.
Look over the numbers when you got a min and let me know what you think here with HEAR 
Posted:
#19
Ahhhh. I see what you are doing here Buck. I analyze OMER and tell you I don't like companies that lose money. I like companies with earnings and earnings growth. So you give me HEAR? What's not to like? We go from losing money to nearly 3000% growth in just one year! Excellent! That's what I like! What don't I like? Over that same time period I am left on the dock, missing the boat to the tune of an 8x one year return. I didn't look too deep, so I have no idea what the fundamentals were like when the stock was 80 bucks in 2013. Until today, I have never heard of this company.
Obviously, 3000% earnings growth is unsustainable and leaves me uninspired. Predicting the forward P/E on this holding will be a challenge. A reversal of earnings....?.....we both know what happens then.
But alas, back to OMER. I believe you showed me the example of HEAR as you see the same happening with OMER....and with OMER the boat has not left the dock. As I said, on a regression into any 12 handle, I'm in for kicks and giggles....perhaps 500 shares to see if I can trade the range.
Gamble for entertainment, invest for wealth!
Posted:
#20
Buck,
You know the way to play those commodities and it depends on what you want to do....so anything from futures to ETFs to stock specific to options. All have different risk profiles and approaches.
Good luck tomorrow, I have not purchased any OMER, just something isnt ringing right to me, the way it has been trading since we started talking about it makes me think the market is skeptical and maybe the upside isnt as great as you think even if things go exactly the way they want.
Posted:
#21
OMER has traded funky and carried a ton of shorts with it since I found it...so I get what you're saying but I've traded this so much it's all house money now.
Wall can you look over HEAR and tell me what you think?
I saw some numbers today that were kinda crazy..70% of the float is short..new shorts are paying 100-120% fees on this bad boy.
They beat earnings again and I think we see a squeeze like last year.It may not run up to $30 again but mid $20s totally doable!!
They beat earnings again and I think we see a squeeze like last year.It may not run up to $30 again but mid $20s totally doable!!
Posted:
#24
Closed UWT will see if crude slides back to 55.60 area.Can still hold the line there on chart.Thought about DWT but that's not much of a profit window.Locking in profits and see where it's at Sunday night.
I scalped a little OMER money to buy a few HEAR.
Company needs to announce a date for EC so the price can stabilize..
11 earnings beats in a row give the date for #12 and let's make some $!!
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