Texas Tech 12.5 Iowa St (74.5)
Megalocks line 13
Sagarin 7.5 
At first glance this looked like a FREE SQUARE for you degenerates out there....But once again - we are left asking ourselves - is Iowa St good or bad? Probably somewhere in between but this team drives us nuts every year on paper just do not do much for us yet always come up with a wtf game or two to keep you on your toes....They lost in OT on the road to a very good Toledo team and played Iowa toe to toe for 3Q....did what they needed against N Iowa and Kansas....We see the Sagarin ratings and as you know - just use them as a frame of reference and when they are way off from the spread and/or our PR we take a deeper look.....Here is what we found take it or leave it.......
While our gut tells us ....and They Are Gonna Kill Em Guy....must be thinking is that high powered offense will shred them up....well check out the last 5 games between these 2 teams
34-31 at iowa st - win by 3
42-35 H iowa st - win by 7
24-13 at iowa st - win by 11
7-41 H iowa st - lose by 34
38-52 at iowa st - lose by 14
Now these are different teams, different players .....we are in a different oil price environment....etc.....but this we do not see a Tex Tech monster win in there and maybe just maybe HC Rhoads has TT figured out a bit? Plus TT off losses to Baylor and TCU - already 2 conf losses now get iowa St. Letdown city.
TT offense #3 but D #124 and iowa st finding a run game- M Warren 18-175 2 td rushing last wk.
Summary - lean Iowa St would want 14 or better; Might just get that on gameday or maybe earlier.
mega
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MEGALOCKS - "Giving until it hurts"
Notre Dame 14 Navy (55.5)
Megalocks line 11
Sagarin 11
Looks like the typical ND / Navy line - fair value + a tiny bit of ND premium to sit on a key number.....Don't look now - but if Navy can somehow win this - it would be really really interesting to see this team finish out only 2 tough games left at Memphis and at Houston who knows how high Navy could go which would be great for fans of Navy - their QB - and NCAA football in general 
....Cannot get ahead of ourselves tho - ND is very very good this year and almost pulled it off at Clemson.
We do lean to the dog. Not sure if we will officially pull the trigger...Navy 24-9 ATS L33 as road dogs and even after Air Force you know they will be up for this one....they take care of the football - convert on 3rd down - and keep the ball away from the opposition.....ND also in a letdown/sandwich spot with USC on deck....and they can still do some damage this yr if they run the table will have wins over usc and Stanford and wins all over the card other than a 2 pt loss at Clemson so lots at stake....The one thing we will say is that N Dame shut down Ga Tech option - was 30-7 late in that game and GT scored in garbage time.
Summary. Strong lean to Navy. Missed the 16 that was up there then 14.5 at BOL on Sunday and therefore will not chase this one down b/c that is what we do - LAME I know. Will look at it again if it somehow rises again.
mega
Thread Summary
Picks
Tulsa -7
Miami +8.5 
Wyoming +25 
Virginia Tech TT under 24.5
Table of Contents for Write-Ups
Tulsa / ULM
Miami / Florida St
Thursday / Friday games and Wyoming / Air Force
Big 12
UP NEXT
Cal / Utah + Navy / Notre Dame + Army / Duke (REQUESTS)
Big 10
keep up the good buddy,
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MEGALOCKS - "Hurting until it gives"
Notre Dame 14 Navy (55.5)
Megalocks line 11
Sagarin 11
Looks like the typical ND / Navy line - fair value + a tiny bit of ND premium to sit on a key number.....Don't look now - but if Navy can somehow win this - it would be really really interesting to see this team finish out only 2 tough games left at Memphis and at Houston who knows how high Navy could go which would be great for fans of Navy - their QB - and NCAA football in general ....Cannot get ahead of ourselves tho - ND is very very good this year and almost pulled it off at Clemson.
We do lean to the dog. Not sure if we will officially pull the trigger...Navy 24-9 ATS L33 as road dogs and even after Air Force you know they will be up for this one....they take care of the football - convert on 3rd down - and keep the ball away from the opposition.....ND also in a letdown/sandwich spot with USC on deck....and they can still do some damage this yr if they run the table will have wins over usc and Stanford and wins all over the card other than a 2 pt loss at Clemson so lots at stake....The one thing we will say is that N Dame shut down Ga Tech option - was 30-7 late in that game and GT scored in garbage time.
Summary. Strong lean to Navy. Missed the 16 that was up there then 14.5 at BOL on Sunday and therefore will not chase this one down b/c that is what we do - LAME I know. Will look at it again if it somehow rises again.
mega
mega I posted this in another spot. What are your thoughts on this or anyone else
I did 2 - 13 point teasers with LSU in them at -.5. I had seattle under in one and seattle +3 in the other one. So I covered on portion of it. Its a 4 teamer. I just looked and the bet is cancelled. Should this happen? Also if Detroit scored and I didn't cover Monday would I have taken it in the behind and lost that bet? Any help would be appreciated on this.
ALL REQUEST LINE - Megalocks - "Voice of the People"
Duke 12.5 Army (48)
Megalocks line 10
Sagarin 18.5
Well if you trust Sagarin - who is approximately 1,789 times smarter than us when it comes to power ratings - Duke looks like #lockcityUSA in this one....We are gonna take a pass however....Duke offense after 2 early creampuff games has really been struggling - 327Y vs NW in a loss - yes a good D....the were outgained 316-279 vs GTECH - managed a win but that was not a very good performance by the offense - then last week were outgained again 305-228 - BC has a good D - but here we are - last 2 games Duke has barely 500Y total offense and while the Army D is obviously a big step down - This does not seem like the team you want to lay 2 TD with - especially in a non-conf tilt on the road....Army has caught us by surprise this yr - they are 4-0 ATS in their FBS games this yr and last week went on the road and almost SHOCKED the WORLD losing to Penn St by 6 on the road...They only needed to attempt one pass all game (completed for 30Y lol) and they are really being stubborn on offense - 7th in 3rd down conversions while last year they were only 61st....Army 4-8, 4-8, 5-7 ATS last 3 yrs this yr undefeated and could be one of those seasons where they do not win a lot of games but cover 8-9 times.
Summary. No leanage.
mega
ALL REQUEST LINE - Megalocks - "Voice of the People"
Duke 12.5 Army (48)
Megalocks line 10
Sagarin 18.5
Well if you trust Sagarin - who is approximately 1,789 times smarter than us when it comes to power ratings - Duke looks like #lockcityUSA in this one....We are gonna take a pass however....Duke offense after 2 early creampuff games has really been struggling - 327Y vs NW in a loss - yes a good D....the were outgained 316-279 vs GTECH - managed a win but that was not a very good performance by the offense - then last week were outgained again 305-228 - BC has a good D - but here we are - last 2 games Duke has barely 500Y total offense and while the Army D is obviously a big step down - This does not seem like the team you want to lay 2 TD with - especially in a non-conf tilt on the road....Army has caught us by surprise this yr - they are 4-0 ATS in their FBS games this yr and last week went on the road and almost SHOCKED the WORLD losing to Penn St by 6 on the road...They only needed to attempt one pass all game (completed for 30Y lol) and they are really being stubborn on offense - 7th in 3rd down conversions while last year they were only 61st....Army 4-8, 4-8, 5-7 ATS last 3 yrs this yr undefeated and could be one of those seasons where they do not win a lot of games but cover 8-9 times.
Summary. No leanage.
mega
OV818 - not playing the games tonight. Lots of great cappers have thoughts on those ones browse around you will find the info you need - GL......(the table of contents in my thread should help you find what you need as far as what we think) GL
Chad77 - yes I lean to the game total under BUT one of our NATIONWIDE ASSOCIATES has a 258962340582345830 star selection on the OVER so we are a bit on the fence - just a slight lean....Would prefer VT TT under any number 24 or better just our 2 cents GL buddy !
Damon go right ahead ! GL
sportschat think you are 100 correct - thanks for stepping up...GL
Wahoo - let's get some Miami cash (is that even POSSIBLE??) We are going to need some serious cold beverages handy to submit ourselves to that game....GL man
Train, BYU
boomer thanks brother 
nunong
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Utah 7 California (61)
Megalocks line 10
Sagarin 9.5
We do see some perceived value at this number in taking Utah....But we do understand why the spread is where it is at....Both teams are undefeated and Cal has arguably the best QB in the NCAA - we won't argue with Covers Talent Evaluator Guy but let's just say he is "excellent" and leave it at that.....70% 15 TD to 4 INT this yr - a 50-11 ratio dating back to last yr....Cal can also run enough to keep Ds on their toes....and like Utah are very good in turnover margin creating even more chances for their offense....Utah also relies on creating turnovers just do not think you can expect Cal to give the game away in that manner....Cal's D has also looked decent outside of the Texas game where the ghost of Vince Young showed up......Now what we will say is that Utah has played a much tougher schedule (#17 vs #94 for Cal) so take these numbers with a grain of salt .....
Cal Offense 10......rush 68 pass 9
Utah offense 76.....rush 32 pass 98
Cal Defense 71....run 42 pass EFF D 47
Utah Defense 61 run 41 pass EFF D 65
Stats pretty comparable; As having the Heisman calibre QB is a bonus....Utah counters with what we think is an underrated duo both guys are playyyaaaas.
Final thought. Last yr Utah was #1 in NCAA in sacks/game. #6 in TFL/game.....Lots of PENETRATION 
...This yr so far they are only #55 in sacks/game and #108 in TFL/game.....That does concern us but the flipside is that Cal OL has shown the ability to GET PENETRATED ......So we still like Utah to cause some disruption......How about this ? Cal is #1 in sacks/game in the Pac12 so far waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaat?? and #4 in pac12 in TFL.......We could have double penetration in this game not seen since the Lunch Wagon Women Trilogy.
Summary. Betting against Utah is usually dumb. So well coached. Great special teams. HC 15-5 SU off a bye.....The flipside is that this is a huge game for both teams and Cal should be in the game for 60 min because they do not turn it over and have a great QB and underrated F7.
Gotta take a pass. To us the line looks perfect.
mega
Thread Summary
Picks
Tulsa -7
Miami +8.5
Wyoming +25
Virginia Tech TT under 24.5
Table of Contents for Write-Ups; Look for what you need
Tulsa / ULM
Miami / Florida St
Thursday / Friday games and Wyoming / Air Force
Big 12
ND / Navy (request)
Duke / Army (request)
Cal / Utah (request)
UP NEXT
Big 10
Boise / Colorado St (request)
mega
good to hear from you. Generally speaking Miami nowhere close to Fla St or Clemson but think this game comes at the right time. Assuming Cook is fine still think its a one score game but who knows. Thx gL !
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