Mega, great write ups so far. With the storm moving through starting late Thursday there are some games that it may impact, such as Texas Tech vs Texas. I like the Red Raiders but does rain change your thinking any?
Mega, great write ups so far. With the storm moving through starting late Thursday there are some games that it may impact, such as Texas Tech vs Texas. I like the Red Raiders but does rain change your thinking any?
Flexit. Excellent point. I thought about it. I am hoping because of their short passes and good running game it will not be much of a factor. Honestly. Just have a gut feel that emotion and focus might be the difference. They better get em now because I expect big improvement from Texas next year just a gut feel. Plus it's more fun when they are good. Even more great B12 games. GL bud.
Playdahouse
Flexit. Excellent point. I thought about it. I am hoping because of their short passes and good running game it will not be much of a factor. Honestly. Just have a gut feel that emotion and focus might be the difference. They better get em now because I expect big improvement from Texas next year just a gut feel. Plus it's more fun when they are good. Even more great B12 games. GL bud.
Flexit. Excellent point. I thought about it. I am hoping because of their short passes and good running game it will not be much of a factor. Honestly. Just have a gut feel that emotion and focus might be the difference. They better get em now because I expect big improvement from Texas next year just a gut feel. Plus it's more fun when they are good. Even more great B12 games. GL bud.
Playdahouse
Flexit. Excellent point. I thought about it. I am hoping because of their short passes and good running game it will not be much of a factor. Honestly. Just have a gut feel that emotion and focus might be the difference. They better get em now because I expect big improvement from Texas next year just a gut feel. Plus it's more fun when they are good. Even more great B12 games. GL bud.
Hey mega roughly 3/4 of the money going on TTU right now and the opening line of +1 is now +1.5.. Does this make you less confident in that play or would you still recommend taking TTU?
Hey mega roughly 3/4 of the money going on TTU right now and the opening line of +1 is now +1.5.. Does this make you less confident in that play or would you still recommend taking TTU?
Thanks Mega. Probably will play Tech. Also looking at Memphis -20 SMU, SMiss +6 LA Tech, Indiana -6 Purdue. Games that could be affected by rain. Still researching.
Thanks Mega. Probably will play Tech. Also looking at Memphis -20 SMU, SMiss +6 LA Tech, Indiana -6 Purdue. Games that could be affected by rain. Still researching.
Haha okay thanks. I tend to get nervous when that happens but I already put in a play on TTU +1.5 so screw it. Even bought the half point because your thread was my determining factor and i said to myself if they lose by 1 and i push on a winning pick im gonna be furious
Haha okay thanks. I tend to get nervous when that happens but I already put in a play on TTU +1.5 so screw it. Even bought the half point because your thread was my determining factor and i said to myself if they lose by 1 and i push on a winning pick im gonna be furious
DO NOT expose yourself to losing both bets - the REVERSE MIDDLE. (for ex: Ball +21.5 BG -23.5...it lands on 23 you lose both)
I think this can save people their betting careers. From experience those lose both/reverse middles will absolutely destroy you and they will happen. Awesome advice ur giving Mega!!
DO NOT expose yourself to losing both bets - the REVERSE MIDDLE. (for ex: Ball +21.5 BG -23.5...it lands on 23 you lose both)
I think this can save people their betting careers. From experience those lose both/reverse middles will absolutely destroy you and they will happen. Awesome advice ur giving Mega!!
That's the spirit slomotion (and mean that sincerely, not sarcastically). Most of us on here have a great amount to be thankful for. Was watching the news last week re that terrorist attack in Mali, and kept on thinking "What a God forsaken place to live." Meanwhile, my big "stressor" right now is whether I should wait for TTU to (possibly) go to 2.5 or 3.
Best wishes.
That's the spirit slomotion (and mean that sincerely, not sarcastically). Most of us on here have a great amount to be thankful for. Was watching the news last week re that terrorist attack in Mali, and kept on thinking "What a God forsaken place to live." Meanwhile, my big "stressor" right now is whether I should wait for TTU to (possibly) go to 2.5 or 3.
Thanks Mega, for all the analysis, and hard work. I was mistaken about Longhorns final game being against Baylor, not the traditional Aggie final, now that they are in SEC. You are absolutely correct, in your thought that Texas has no shot beating Baylor. Makes your Tech pick make more sense. I get it. Thanks for entire thread not throwing me under the bus. Better get on the Red Raider wagon, lose a little juice and play it at +1.5. Much appreciated.
Thanks Mega, for all the analysis, and hard work. I was mistaken about Longhorns final game being against Baylor, not the traditional Aggie final, now that they are in SEC. You are absolutely correct, in your thought that Texas has no shot beating Baylor. Makes your Tech pick make more sense. I get it. Thanks for entire thread not throwing me under the bus. Better get on the Red Raider wagon, lose a little juice and play it at +1.5. Much appreciated.
Mega! What up, brother? Snagged Stanford 200/1 and UNC 75/1 last week to win the National Championship. Just curious on your thoughts if you think either have a shot based on their upcoming schedules and teams they need to pass to get into the Final 4. Keep up the great work!
Mega! What up, brother? Snagged Stanford 200/1 and UNC 75/1 last week to win the National Championship. Just curious on your thoughts if you think either have a shot based on their upcoming schedules and teams they need to pass to get into the Final 4. Keep up the great work!
Mega you are absolutely the greatest handicapper I have ever come across. I love reading your posts. They make my day!!! I have a question for you. I hope you can help me. Notre Dame vs Stanford? I truly hope this game ends up being one of your plays for the week. I am in love with Stanford to win big over Notre Dame but I am not going to bet it unless you are on them! So please tell me you are on them... Any kind of advice on this game would be greatly appreciated. Happy Thanksgiving to you and your family!
Mega you are absolutely the greatest handicapper I have ever come across. I love reading your posts. They make my day!!! I have a question for you. I hope you can help me. Notre Dame vs Stanford? I truly hope this game ends up being one of your plays for the week. I am in love with Stanford to win big over Notre Dame but I am not going to bet it unless you are on them! So please tell me you are on them... Any kind of advice on this game would be greatly appreciated. Happy Thanksgiving to you and your family!
Seems like a less-than ideal matchup for Miami....Kaaayaayaaaa has been very good lately for Miami at QB but there are two obvious problems we see; 1.Miami is struggling running the ball #116; Pitt is good vs the run #25.....That is going to make Miami one dimensional and without the threat of a running QB do not think Miami will be able to sustain drives consistently....2) Miami run D is baaaaaaaaaaad #111 and the Pitt rushing attack is underrated RB Ollison has over 1000Y already.......And when your boy "Jake" Peterman is not MATRICULATING in the passing game (only 4 int all year) and finding rare magic carpets in Tibet - he scrambles around enough to make you very annoyed.
Miami thrives on turnovers. Do not see a well coached a disciplined team giving this one away.
Rain is expected although not substantial.
Summary. Lean to Pitt at -6 or better. Slight chance it makes final card but not sure yet. Lean over 56 or better. The UNC game kinda freaked us out thought that would fly over. Miami might not see the ball much in this game so gonna pass on total for now.
mega
FRIDAY ACC
Pitt 6 Miami (56)
Megalocks line 6
Sagarin 7.5
Seems like a less-than ideal matchup for Miami....Kaaayaayaaaa has been very good lately for Miami at QB but there are two obvious problems we see; 1.Miami is struggling running the ball #116; Pitt is good vs the run #25.....That is going to make Miami one dimensional and without the threat of a running QB do not think Miami will be able to sustain drives consistently....2) Miami run D is baaaaaaaaaaad #111 and the Pitt rushing attack is underrated RB Ollison has over 1000Y already.......And when your boy "Jake" Peterman is not MATRICULATING in the passing game (only 4 int all year) and finding rare magic carpets in Tibet - he scrambles around enough to make you very annoyed.
Miami thrives on turnovers. Do not see a well coached a disciplined team giving this one away.
Rain is expected although not substantial.
Summary. Lean to Pitt at -6 or better. Slight chance it makes final card but not sure yet. Lean over 56 or better. The UNC game kinda freaked us out thought that would fly over. Miami might not see the ball much in this game so gonna pass on total for now.
Hard to imagine that this could be the last time we mention our old friend QB Veal Licata who has provided us with mostly good memories an underrated QB and he needs to lead his team to victory in this one to even have a shot at a bowl game....Our MAC INSIDERS tell us that even a Buffalo win to get them to 6-6 may not guarantee anything but they have to win first - then worry about it - and say what you want about a billion bowl games - it leads to some exposure and bowl practices and if you are a football player - especially a senior - why not wanna play again? Either way - Licata will retire as UB all time leading passer. MEGALOCKS TIDBIT - a win here and a win in a bowl game would be only the Bulls 3RD winning season in FBS.
What worries us about Buffalo is that their D seems to be falling apart a bit - held BG to their season low back in Oct - but injuries have not helped that is for sure - and the last 2 games they gave up 999Y and 83 points.....just not playing their best football right now. Of course UMass is a hot mess once again - but have had some decent moments this yr - losing to Temple by 2....led Toledo at one point by DD.....lost to a decent Akron team by 4.....That last game tho what in the SAM HILL was going on - lost at home to Miami Ohio by 7 we just do not know what to think....They have a bunch of injuries in the DB area too this week. Just not familiar enough with these guys - have only seen them play once. I would like to think that SNR QB Frohnapfel and SNR stud WR Sharpe - 2 great seasons back to back over 1200Y....would want to finish on a strong note - but as you guys know - it is a team effort and if the team just mails it in ????
MEGALOCKS WEATHER unit has indicated that it is supposed to be very rainy and 15-25 mph winds for this one; Keep an eye on that. Seems like if that is the case - under might be the way to go. Keep a watch on your odds services to see if this bad boy starts plummeting into the 40s then you will know why.
Summary. Think this spread is too high. Sagarin disagrees. I think those ratings are more indicative of the Buffalo team earlier in the year. We lean UMass at +7 or better for those who need to bet or have their head explode. Would also lean under 51 or better given the weather - again - just for those who are beyond help and need action.
mega
FRIDAY MACtion
Buffalo 6.5 UMass (51.5)
Megalocks line 5
Sagarin 11.5
Hard to imagine that this could be the last time we mention our old friend QB Veal Licata who has provided us with mostly good memories an underrated QB and he needs to lead his team to victory in this one to even have a shot at a bowl game....Our MAC INSIDERS tell us that even a Buffalo win to get them to 6-6 may not guarantee anything but they have to win first - then worry about it - and say what you want about a billion bowl games - it leads to some exposure and bowl practices and if you are a football player - especially a senior - why not wanna play again? Either way - Licata will retire as UB all time leading passer. MEGALOCKS TIDBIT - a win here and a win in a bowl game would be only the Bulls 3RD winning season in FBS.
What worries us about Buffalo is that their D seems to be falling apart a bit - held BG to their season low back in Oct - but injuries have not helped that is for sure - and the last 2 games they gave up 999Y and 83 points.....just not playing their best football right now. Of course UMass is a hot mess once again - but have had some decent moments this yr - losing to Temple by 2....led Toledo at one point by DD.....lost to a decent Akron team by 4.....That last game tho what in the SAM HILL was going on - lost at home to Miami Ohio by 7 we just do not know what to think....They have a bunch of injuries in the DB area too this week. Just not familiar enough with these guys - have only seen them play once. I would like to think that SNR QB Frohnapfel and SNR stud WR Sharpe - 2 great seasons back to back over 1200Y....would want to finish on a strong note - but as you guys know - it is a team effort and if the team just mails it in ????
MEGALOCKS WEATHER unit has indicated that it is supposed to be very rainy and 15-25 mph winds for this one; Keep an eye on that. Seems like if that is the case - under might be the way to go. Keep a watch on your odds services to see if this bad boy starts plummeting into the 40s then you will know why.
Summary. Think this spread is too high. Sagarin disagrees. I think those ratings are more indicative of the Buffalo team earlier in the year. We lean UMass at +7 or better for those who need to bet or have their head explode. Would also lean under 51 or better given the weather - again - just for those who are beyond help and need action.
You might want to revisit the Toledo/Western Michigan game that you have previously reviewed with the Northern Illinois loss last night to Ohio providing Toledo the opportunity to play for the MAC Championship with a win over WM.
Toledo in my opinion is the much better team, and now they have a lot of incentive, so I have added them to my plays for the week.
SNITCHES end up being bitches, or end up with stitches, and in ditches! #REALITY
Good Morning MEGALOCKS!
You might want to revisit the Toledo/Western Michigan game that you have previously reviewed with the Northern Illinois loss last night to Ohio providing Toledo the opportunity to play for the MAC Championship with a win over WM.
Toledo in my opinion is the much better team, and now they have a lot of incentive, so I have added them to my plays for the week.
playdahouse ....yes reverse middles are the worst and they can happen.....I learned my lesson in NCAA hoops trying for middles and line goes the wrong way - you reverse middle yourself and say "Ah - the game will NEVER land on exactly 121".....OOOOOPS.
slomotion happy holidays bro !
Bison
Buck
CsCollege - not sure about Aub TT yet
worthbob no worries; hey - we always say go with YOUR gut so if you like Texas - do not let me talk you out of it; They DO have the Raiders number. GL !
Papa those were good value bets; Stanford needs a ton of help - read somewhere need so much to happen the biggie being Florida beating Bama in the SEC title game and no SEC team making final 4.....UNC i think has a shot and at those odds why not? if they make it to the final 4 there is a good opp to hedge and lock in some profit. Of course beating Clemson is super tough - but you never know - I think if they win out - they are in. GL
Hawgz
Reebok - thanks a lot man ! I do like Stanford in that game right now. i wish i could have scooped -3 not sure if i am gonna jump in yet. GL !!
dukies
playdahouse ....yes reverse middles are the worst and they can happen.....I learned my lesson in NCAA hoops trying for middles and line goes the wrong way - you reverse middle yourself and say "Ah - the game will NEVER land on exactly 121".....OOOOOPS.
slomotion happy holidays bro !
Bison
Buck
CsCollege - not sure about Aub TT yet
worthbob no worries; hey - we always say go with YOUR gut so if you like Texas - do not let me talk you out of it; They DO have the Raiders number. GL !
Papa those were good value bets; Stanford needs a ton of help - read somewhere need so much to happen the biggie being Florida beating Bama in the SEC title game and no SEC team making final 4.....UNC i think has a shot and at those odds why not? if they make it to the final 4 there is a good opp to hedge and lock in some profit. Of course beating Clemson is super tough - but you never know - I think if they win out - they are in. GL
Hawgz
Reebok - thanks a lot man ! I do like Stanford in that game right now. i wish i could have scooped -3 not sure if i am gonna jump in yet. GL !!
You might want to revisit the Toledo/Western Michigan game that you have previously reviewed with the Northern Illinois loss last night to Ohio providing Toledo the opportunity to play for the MAC Championship with a win over WM.
Toledo in my opinion is the much better team, and now they have a lot of incentive, so I have added them to my plays for the week.
makes sense buddy....If Toledo can keep the turnovers to 1 or fewer they should roll em up - GL !
Quote Originally Posted by Urbanwildlife:
Good Morning MEGALOCKS!
You might want to revisit the Toledo/Western Michigan game that you have previously reviewed with the Northern Illinois loss last night to Ohio providing Toledo the opportunity to play for the MAC Championship with a win over WM.
Toledo in my opinion is the much better team, and now they have a lot of incentive, so I have added them to my plays for the week.
makes sense buddy....If Toledo can keep the turnovers to 1 or fewer they should roll em up - GL !
FYI trying a BETTE MIDDLER on Buff/Mass under - grabbed under 51.5. Bad weather - hopefully the perception of that at some point will get the line down to 49 or so then go over.
Just a small action play boys - 1/4 or 1/3 of what you normally play.
We have a detailed post - around #90 - talking about what to do if we screw up again and the line moves UP.
just giving some insight on what we do from time to time during the season.
FYI trying a BETTE MIDDLER on Buff/Mass under - grabbed under 51.5. Bad weather - hopefully the perception of that at some point will get the line down to 49 or so then go over.
Just a small action play boys - 1/4 or 1/3 of what you normally play.
We have a detailed post - around #90 - talking about what to do if we screw up again and the line moves UP.
just giving some insight on what we do from time to time during the season.