Posted:
#301
Mac drops in to pay homage to his fellow Ontarian on a Profitable
weekend
weekend
What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
NCAA week 10
Posted:
#304
Quote Originally Posted by Nickel-Bets:
I was clever enough to grab Arky at +10.5 when it started dropping on BOL.... so that it could open at +11 everywhere else and stay there all week 
Still on the key number, so who cares... but it lands on 11..... 
, etc.
, etc.GL today, champ
been there before, hard not to gauge some of them wrong, you did the right thing if it was dropping.
Posted:
#311
REQEUST line ....and the next pick
Cincinnati +9
Megalocks line 6
Sagarin 11
1. Cincy is playing very well right now; and really when you look back at their schedule have not done much wrong especially considering they were missing their starting QB for while.....Well has been great since returning from injury 15/15 last game
and they have another hall of famer on the bench should they need it....Lost to Memphis on the road by 7.....then beat Miami.....tough trip to byu....then pistol-whipped UConn and UCF. ...Overall they have played a tougher schedule than Houston (#92 vs #124) and should not be catching DD; Which is not to say Houston cannot blow them out - but we like the dog here.
2. Cincy has a very balanced offense - #1 in the conf, #1 passing and #4 rushing....They have run the ball 343 times and passed 325 times excellent balance and they have more weapons than an NFL locker room.....They are ranked #11 in the NCAA in 3rd down conversions. The BIG issue is turnovers. Ranked #116 in turnover margin while Houston is #1. They are playing much safer football right now but we expect more than one bonehead turnover but think that 9 points is fair compensation. Now while Houston D is ranked #2 in the conference - Cincy is ranked #4....They do not get much pressure - but have athletes who can run like the wind and TACKLE IN SPACE and believe or not are ranked #4 in the NCAA in 3rd down D. Houston has a big edge on D - but this offense is so diverse and gets the ball out of the QBs hands quickly (most of the time) it is going to take some of the aggressiveness out of their players IMO.
3. Houston has a fantastic OL coach - but they are really hurting. They have started 6 different OL combos and last week had to start 3 freshmen and gave up a lot of TFL. The last 3 weeks Houston has played Tulane UCF and Vandy offenses - which are all basically a bucket of crap. Now they get Cincy. Their D is good but for real like for real - they are gonna be challenged.
4. Houston facing bad offenses: gave up 14 7 10 0....Houston facing good offenses gave up 24 31 24 28. We see Cincy easily getting in the 20s so Houston will need to score a lot of points to cover. Possible. Cincy will never be out of it.
5. Intangibles. Pressure is all on Houston. Crowd Will Be Rocking Guy surely remembers the home field beatdowns last year alone....losing by 20 to UTSA and losing to Tulane late in the season as 17 point favs.......Last 2 yrs games have been decided by 7 points each.....Finally - Houston has failed to cover once this year.....and that was barely.....They are well well over +100 points ATS so when you wonder why the line is "high" - or IF you do - When teams outperform the spread wk after wk after wk - the lines add a bit more cushion and this week we feel there are too many points up for grabs and will try it.
Ward is an amazing athlete and developing into a real star. Hopefully Cincy can stop him from going completely nuts.
Best of luck - as always play safe.
mega
Posted:
#312
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:
REQEUST line ....and the next pick
Cincinnati +9
Megalocks line 6
Sagarin 11
1. Cincy is playing very well right now; and really when you look back at their schedule have not done much wrong especially considering they were missing their starting QB for while.....Well has been great since returning from injury 15/15 last game and they have another hall of famer on the bench should they need it....Lost to Memphis on the road by 7.....then beat Miami.....tough trip to byu....then pistol-whipped UConn and UCF. ...Overall they have played a tougher schedule than Houston (#92 vs #124) and should not be catching DD; Which is not to say Houston cannot blow them out - but we like the dog here.
2. Cincy has a very balanced offense - #1 in the conf, #1 passing and #4 rushing....They have run the ball 343 times and passed 325 times excellent balance and they have more weapons than an NFL locker room.....They are ranked #11 in the NCAA in 3rd down conversions. The BIG issue is turnovers. Ranked #116 in turnover margin while Houston is #1. They are playing much safer football right now but we expect more than one bonehead turnover but think that 9 points is fair compensation. Now while Houston D is ranked #2 in the conference - Cincy is ranked #4....They do not get much pressure - but have athletes who can run like the wind and TACKLE IN SPACE and believe or not are ranked #4 in the NCAA in 3rd down D. Houston has a big edge on D - but this offense is so diverse and gets the ball out of the QBs hands quickly (most of the time) it is going to take some of the aggressiveness out of their players IMO.
3. Houston has a fantastic OL coach - but they are really hurting. They have started 6 different OL combos and last week had to start 3 freshmen and gave up a lot of TFL. The last 3 weeks Houston has played Tulane UCF and Vandy offenses - which are all basically a bucket of crap. Now they get Cincy. Their D is good but for real like for real - they are gonna be challenged.
4. Houston facing bad offenses: gave up 14 7 10 0....Houston facing good offenses gave up 24 31 24 28. We see Cincy easily getting in the 20s so Houston will need to score a lot of points to cover. Possible. Cincy will never be out of it.
5. Intangibles. Pressure is all on Houston. Crowd Will Be Rocking Guy surely remembers the home field beatdowns last year alone....losing by 20 to UTSA and losing to Tulane late in the season as 17 point favs.......Last 2 yrs games have been decided by 7 points each.....Finally - Houston has failed to cover once this year.....and that was barely.....They are well well over +100 points ATS so when you wonder why the line is "high" - or IF you do - When teams outperform the spread wk after wk after wk - the lines add a bit more cushion and this week we feel there are too many points up for grabs and will try it.
Ward is an amazing athlete and developing into a real star. Hopefully Cincy can stop him from going completely nuts.
Best of luck - as always play safe.
mega
Feel so proud of myself when my request line lean turns into a megalocks pick 
BOL brother lets stack some paper today. Best week of college football yet.
Put that UGA sweatshirt on today brother we need a loss to KY to officially get Mark Richt out the door. Its been a good ride Mark but it's time to "move on"
Posted:
#313
REQUEST line - the final chapter for this week
thanks to everyone !
UNC 7.5 Duke (59)
Megalocks line 6
Sagarin 6.5
Lost in the insane last play loss 
to Miami last week is the fact that Duke has built a rock solid ACC football program well coached and some nice talent including the QB who we think is fantastic.....Our biggest worry - actually 2 - while originally we really wanted to play Duke 1) how much do they have in the tank mentally after the bazillion-OT game vs VT on the road followed by the DEBACLE in DURHAM last week ?? 2) UNC is playing their best football of maybe the entire Fedora era and we really really do not like fading teams that are white hot unless getting tons of line value......Now UNC leads the division with 0 losses and Duke and Pitt are a game back - if UNC wins - they would really be in great shape to make the champ game notwithstanding some tough games left....Duke has UNC and Pitt back to back so they are looking good as well with a win today....even after that loss at Miami
Summary. Will not add it to the card - but public dog or not - still lean Duke at over a TD if you need a last game to throw in your degenerate 23 game parlay tickets. Sirk vs Williams should be a treat even tho Duke lost to Miami last week.
mega
Posted:
#314
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:
REQEUST line ....and the next pick
Cincinnati +9
Megalocks line 6
Sagarin 11
1. Cincy is playing very well right now; and really when you look back at their schedule have not done much wrong especially considering they were missing their starting QB for while.....Well has been great since returning from injury 15/15 last game and they have another hall of famer on the bench should they need it....Lost to Memphis on the road by 7.....then beat Miami.....tough trip to byu....then pistol-whipped UConn and UCF. ...Overall they have played a tougher schedule than Houston (#92 vs #124) and should not be catching DD; Which is not to say Houston cannot blow them out - but we like the dog here.
2. Cincy has a very balanced offense - #1 in the conf, #1 passing and #4 rushing....They have run the ball 343 times and passed 325 times excellent balance and they have more weapons than an NFL locker room.....They are ranked #11 in the NCAA in 3rd down conversions. The BIG issue is turnovers. Ranked #116 in turnover margin while Houston is #1. They are playing much safer football right now but we expect more than one bonehead turnover but think that 9 points is fair compensation. Now while Houston D is ranked #2 in the conference - Cincy is ranked #4....They do not get much pressure - but have athletes who can run like the wind and TACKLE IN SPACE and believe or not are ranked #4 in the NCAA in 3rd down D. Houston has a big edge on D - but this offense is so diverse and gets the ball out of the QBs hands quickly (most of the time) it is going to take some of the aggressiveness out of their players IMO.
3. Houston has a fantastic OL coach - but they are really hurting. They have started 6 different OL combos and last week had to start 3 freshmen and gave up a lot of TFL. The last 3 weeks Houston has played Tulane UCF and Vandy offenses - which are all basically a bucket of crap. Now they get Cincy. Their D is good but for real like for real - they are gonna be challenged.
4. Houston facing bad offenses: gave up 14 7 10 0....Houston facing good offenses gave up 24 31 24 28. We see Cincy easily getting in the 20s so Houston will need to score a lot of points to cover. Possible. Cincy will never be out of it.
5. Intangibles. Pressure is all on Houston. Crowd Will Be Rocking Guy surely remembers the home field beatdowns last year alone....losing by 20 to UTSA and losing to Tulane late in the season as 17 point favs.......Last 2 yrs games have been decided by 7 points each.....Finally - Houston has failed to cover once this year.....and that was barely.....They are well well over +100 points ATS so when you wonder why the line is "high" - or IF you do - When teams outperform the spread wk after wk after wk - the lines add a bit more cushion and this week we feel there are too many points up for grabs and will try it.
Ward is an amazing athlete and developing into a real star. Hopefully Cincy can stop him from going completely nuts.
Best of luck - as always play safe.
mega
Feel so proud of myself when my request line lean turns into a megalocks pick
BOL brother lets stack some paper today. Best week of college football yet.
Put that UGA sweatshirt on today brother we need a loss to KY to officially get Mark Richt out the door. Its been a good ride Mark but it's time to "move on"
Posted:
#315
THREAD SUMMARY
picks (might have ONE more to add will be a late game)
NC St -2 (would play up to -3; half size at -3.5 or -4 max)
Arkansas +11 (would play down to 10)
Georgia / Kentucky under 58.5 (would play down to 58)
Cincinnati +9 (would play down to 8)
ORDER of appearance for write-ups
NC State / BC (post 38)
Arkanasas / Ole Miss (post 55)
Tuesday - NIU / Toledo (post 65)
Wednesday - BG / Ohio (post 66)
Thursday - Buffalo / Kent (post 72) ; W Mich / Ball (post 88)
Thursday - Baylor / K St (post 92) ; App St / Ark St (post 98)
Thursday - Mizz / Miss St (post 99) / Fresno / Nevada (post 111)
Friday - UTEP/Rice (post 125) Temple/SMU (post 126)
Friday - BYU / SJ St (post 134)
Big 10 - Mich / Rutgers (post 159) Ohio St / Minn (post 160)
Request line - FIU / Charlotte (post 170)
Big 10 - Mich St / Neb (188) Wisc / Mary (193) Penn / NW (195)
Big 10 - Purdue / Illinois (197) Iowa / Indiana (199)
SEC - Ga / Kentucky (215) Fla / Vandy (219)
SEC - SC / Tenn (233) Aub / TAM (258) Bama / LSU (259)
Request line - MTSU / Marshall (273)
Request line - Memphis / Navy (285)
Request line - TCU / Okie St (290) WV / T Tech (291)
Request line - Houston / Cincy (311)
Request line - UNC Duke (313)
WHEW !!!!! thanks to everyone for their contributions and comments and kind words this week. Play safe. Hope the picks work out but you never know. PLAY SAFE.
mega
Posted:
#318
MAC GL buddy !
jose 
Nickel / Wahoo
sageren
vorvan / Break 
sunbrn44 - thanks man ! GL this wk
Pecador - GL with your card esp that Tulsa TT - looks good to me
DD - GL with your teaser pal 
UGA 
....You love the negative power of my Georgia hooded sweat Will not be wearing it today it is in the wash my man so GA wins 67-2. And Richt moves another QB to punter - a LB to PK - and a OL coach to WR.
Posted:
#322
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:
REQUEST line - the final chapter for this week
thanks to everyone !
UNC 7.5 Duke (59)
Megalocks line 6
Sagarin 6.5
Lost in the insane last play loss to Miami last week is the fact that Duke has built a rock solid ACC football program well coached and some nice talent including the QB who we think is fantastic.....Our biggest worry - actually 2 - while originally we really wanted to play Duke 1) how much do they have in the tank mentally after the bazillion-OT game vs VT on the road followed by the DEBACLE in DURHAM last week ?? 2) UNC is playing their best football of maybe the entire Fedora era and we really really do not like fading teams that are white hot unless getting tons of line value......Now UNC leads the division with 0 losses and Duke and Pitt are a game back - if UNC wins - they would really be in great shape to make the champ game notwithstanding some tough games left....Duke has UNC and Pitt back to back so they are looking good as well with a win today....even after that loss at Miami
Summary. Will not add it to the card - but public dog or not - still lean Duke at over a TD if you need a last game to throw in your degenerate 23 game parlay tickets. Sirk vs Williams should be a treat even tho Duke lost to Miami last week.
mega
Thanks MEGA!
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