NCAA FOOTBALL. 151

Tulsa still has a QB? if I'm not mistaken but even if starter is back, wonder how effective he will be ...

@BoatRace

 well from what i read they said he was out last week, and with this being a short week in was unlikely he would play, i played tulsa last week counting on their defense which did not look real good vs arkansas, N Texas has a very good offense, if this was on a sunny day i would take N Texas anyway, just not sure about Tulsa but like i said many more games to look at and if this is a rainy day i most likely will pass on this, as i seen this line has dropped now to -1  -1.5 heavy rain will take away the passing game for sure, 

@Last2thirst

 i really like this team also, was on them 2 weeks ago when they played Kansas , i think as a small dog  but they are good, they played texas am really well too, just turnovers cost them, they moved the ball really well at Texas AM ...moneyline id really like 

yea i cashed out my N Texas play they are calling for thunderstorms on thursday   going to wait till before game to see what i do if anything.....see a lot of people on Pitt,+4 line has already dropped a little to 3.5 or 3 i thought same thing, Pitt +4 but it seemed a bit easy, almost like Ole Miss was at +3.5 vs Florida  i still have to look more, i know that stadium can get crazy during a night game, if i was going to Play Pitt i wouldnt worry about the line move because i think i would feel that Pitt would win outright, but i do not but i have not looked into this yet  just thinking out loud..lol

@RUM151

 Covers had an article today where they are pretty sure he is playing this week - fwiw. 

well there it is   so this line should shoot up to -3.5 since the starting qb is healthy and back, BUT???  it has not moved  why?   starting qb's are usually worth a couple of points maybe 3  but for some reason the money has went 1 way    interesting 

Williams will not be Tulsa's starting quarterback Thursday against North Texas, Pete Thamel of ESPN reports.

As expected, Baylor Hayes (knee) is available, so he will be Tulsa's starting quarterback Week 5. During his two-game recovery, Williams logged 34 completions for 340 yards and 3-0 TD-INT. However, at Arkansas the previous week, he recorded more turnovers (one fumble) than TDs.

Hey Rum,

Do you think the weather will play any role in the Tulsa game as far as the Under goes?  Currently at 57.5......Thanks for your time.

well they are expecting really bad weather  even thunderstorms which could mean lightning delays  id wait till morning of game to see

adding a early parlay  and teaser  U Mass now -6.5  now i worry a little i had that as a game i was liking when it was 4.5 and now its 6.5  that worries me a little ...again was liking N Texas and UTSA but both are suppose to have bad weather  

3 team 6 pt teaser  U Mass pk/Texas st +1.5/N Western +8.5  +140 

Parlay moved lines  Ga st ML/Arizona st ML/Florida ML/Fla st +6.5  +466  

gl 

Well the games I marked down Monday or Tuesday the early ones have bad weather coming....couple of others lines moved before I could get what. I liked. I liked n.texas and utsa both. Have rain and thunderstorms....u mass I had marked maybe should have just bet them right. Away but u mass now 6.5  so maybe stay away  seems everyone likes them now...do like Florida at -5 missouri is horrible vs ranked team and bad vs top 10 or top 5...do like arizona st at 4 or less....texas st has jumped up 2 points to 5.5 ...BYU on the road could be one. If under7....Auburn. maybe...they played. OK week before high scoring game Tennessee's offense struggled and getting 7.5???   Boston college getting 20 looks like someone wants me to bet them...lol and SMU has played a really strong schedule early on and now at home i think SMU IS about due to roll over someone I could see taking. Them....NW off a strong showing now at home ...and can Louisville bounce back?....Wake forest off a huge win has Stanford who also I think won now Stanford flys across country again..WF I think should handle them.  Wisconsin off a big comeback win at Penn. St with a beat. Up mich st team. Coming in....lots to look. At. Then you got everyone's. #1 ]play PITT at VT.   I think this one is not as easy as some think. 

YTD. 35-24 coll.   21-7 nfl. 

What to do 

@RUM151

 R/151.......well done YTD buddy....

thank you.....indy

Thank god. As anyone maybe noticed for some reason n.texas is now -1.5. And here i had them +2.5. ..and yesterday after seeing the line not move after the announcement that Tulsa was playing their statrter. It seemed I had made a mistake. So took +1.5 but still the weather is a ? Or maybe its because of the weather. I do not know but n.texas better passing game and a decent running game all defense goes to tulsa....as I have said years prior these are the tricky games...when a team opens at about a 2 pt dog and goes to a 2 pt fav....or vice-versa. Alot of times the money is wrong so beware...i should have just stuck with my original play because I was not basing it on Tulsas qb. Situation at all.  My worry was weather hampering the passing game of N.texas.  but beware of either side....I just don't like changing my mind

Funny now I see many on n.texas...even though I posted them early on it worries me to see the public all with me.  Maybe I do know what I'm talking about...hope the play a no turnover game. If so they can win. 

I. Posted and lots disagreed ...now it seems others do. Not on covers. But gamblers

I do really like SMU this week, my only worry is turnovers as this qb has shown that he does do, even last week vs Missouri st they turned it over and missed 2 fg's both were very short fg's and both fg's came after SMU drove inside the 15 yd line but had penaltys push them back, to be honest both of those missed fg's should have been td's they had 1st down at the 11 and 1st down at the 12 and ended with 0 points on both , that they cannot do , even in their loss to Louisville they were always able to move the ball, i think they should be able to get what they want vs BC point is can they not turn oit over or have costly penalties , i just think they are due for a very good game and they need one...also last week they opened the game with a 70 yd drive in 8 plays and went for it on 4th down and didnt get it, there was another 7 pts they should have had....very next possession they had a 75 yd drive that ended in a fumble  so instead of a 14-3 game it was Missouri st 3-0 and on their 3rd time having the ball they threw a INT  its my only worry is them hurting them self , i think many will be on BC and hey if SMU continues with the TO's it will be the right side, but i am thinking SMU has to put together a good game soon.....or maybe i go Over the total, i think SMU will get theirs, and if BC is going to cover they are going to have to score 20+  because i think SMU can get 40+  just my thoughts here , both teams give up a high % in completions if weather is good an over, or Team Total over could also be worth a look  

gl 

if you look at tulsa radar it does show lower chances of rain at gametime and later  the radar shows it moving out about 3pm  7-10 30% chance 

good luck -- I played UNT early and also on UTSA -- gonna ride em til they buck me ...

kind of favor Houston at home laying 11.5 to 12  or 11 if i can , UCF starter is out but their backup is hurt too but he is almost as good as the starter and he is euppose to play, now they beat TCU last week but they got a lot of help as TCU had 4 turnovers in that game that lead to some points, i like the Houston team i seen when they played Texas Tech, they had the lead and then lost it and made a great drive 10 plqys 88 yds at the end to get within 2 but didnt convert the 2 pt conversion  but i also like how they went on the road following week and beat Ga southern by 14 on the road, shows they were focused and not thinking about losing a very close game, both teams have good defenses but UCF was gifted that win last week TCU had 11 penaltys to just 4 TCU outgained them and TCU only had like 33 yds rushing, Houston will do much better as they had 175 vs TT i think Houston finds a way here and covers this spread  30-13

Ga St -1.5  -120  this is a good team, and Old dominion just is not very good, now Ga st cannot make mistakes like they did vs UCF, on their opening drive they went for it on 4th down from their own 34 yd line and were stopped which lead to a quick td by UCF , they got down 17-7 but came back and tied it 27-27 then they had another mistake when UCF threw a INT at their own 34 but Ga st on the next play threw a INT and gave them the ball back that was a huge error, if they could have taken the lead there they could have won that game because it ended up being 37-30 and they tried an onside kick and UCF got a very short field and scored again, but Ga st was able to drive down and  get to the 18 but down 2 scores then, this team should be able to get the win at home by 8+ the line worries me because i think its a bit low, but i'll still try this one 

Ga st =1.5 -120

I have my opinions last week. This week I think Northwestern wins outright vs Penn State Friday night. Love the +3.5 points of course 

Love over 55 in the SMU game. BC should score 24-31. Lean to them covering the 21.5 too

Good luck this week and thanks for the plays. Only reason I posted is I was 2-0 last week on my opinions. Hopefully good luck again 

Good luck Hammer, I got North Texas +2 earlier and just took GA St. ML 400 to win 300. Thanks RUM. You have it seems like 100 thoughts, when do you finalize them? Or do you bet every one of them with some amount without posting them? 

I told yoiu in post 346 you shortchanged yourself and were 8-2 last week, not 7-2, so you shorted yourself still and are actually 36-24. Just sayin' RUM. 

Well i did write that when you have a game where a team is favored by like 1. Or 2 and it switches to where other team becomes a 1-2 pt fav it usually. Goes against the money....but then N texas did give up the ball and gave tulsa a short field for an easy td...and then the1st drive to the tulsa 8 then a penalty hurts. Can't win on the road turning it over. Very hard to win doing that...and here they are again at the tulsa 11 yd line 1st down. If they don't get 7 here ....well they scored. Bout time. But still that turnover might hurt

Wow.  A fumble gives tulsa easy 7....a very bad call gave tulsa 7. Now n.texas gives. Them the ball again in good field position. ...crazy.  I can see why money went on n.texas. but they are trying hard to lose this game. 

Well i bet n.texas Tuesday early  no one else was on them....heard a lot about the tulsa qb coming back....then about the weather which ended up being a non factor...and when it was made public that tulsas starter was playing that line still did not move that right there was the tell to bet them anyway...and even though N texas gave away 17 pts on turnovers they still won if you bet early...its why we handicap and not wait to see where. Everyone is going...now N.T should have won and covered easier but turnovers kept tulsa in the game....to be honest they were the right side...so sick of bad beats....got 24 losses this year had. A 2-8 Saturday early to go from 10-2 to 12-10. Since then ...and since then 7 really bad beats.  I don't have any that gave me a win....

But 36-24 in college. 22-7 in nfl. Always trust your capping.  And again a team that started + 2.5 and. Went off at -2..5 did not cover.  It happens a lot.   A lot of money moved the line about 70% of. The. Move collected.   Never good being late.   

Gl everyone.    I never looked at weather was too involved. With clev. But the over with no rain was a lock. Congrats if u had it

Gl

@CabernetTrey

 If I do write ups. I will usually play them. Or at least ina parlay.....but I do think out loud...just pointing things out. If a early play i poat it.  Some I have to keep looking into

Gl brother