Posted:
#76
TH.....PAPA....DOC......JR.......
Happy Holidays boys and BOL...........
Happy Holidays boys and BOL...........
It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
bowl stuff.....
Posted:
#79
added La Tech -1' small
*just a hunch that Skipster /(cough) Driskel / Dixon.....get it done over Anderson (dumbazz) / Knighten / Gordon...in essentially a pick-em' game........
$ OVER.....is maybe a better play....I'll play that at halftime prolly (big if 1H is lower scoring). >> my totals are much better in-game or halftime
Note: conference trends you can't totally ignore
CUSA- 19/23 UNDER in bowls...........damm
*and on 14-7 ATS run
Sun Belt dogs are 12-4-1 ATS in bowls....under is 7-2-1 in SB bowls
8/10 NO bowls (dome) have gone OVER
also on the Jets -3 small.......
*Jets no road warriors for sure.....but the 'Boys are DONE....and the WORST home team in the NFL.....last 5 yrs under Garrett .....covering just 15 of last 47 home games yikes ..........
*just a hunch that Skipster /(cough) Driskel / Dixon.....get it done over Anderson (dumbazz) / Knighten / Gordon...in essentially a pick-em' game........
$ OVER.....is maybe a better play....I'll play that at halftime prolly (big if 1H is lower scoring). >> my totals are much better in-game or halftime
Note: conference trends you can't totally ignore
CUSA- 19/23 UNDER in bowls...........damm
*and on 14-7 ATS run
Sun Belt dogs are 12-4-1 ATS in bowls....under is 7-2-1 in SB bowls
8/10 NO bowls (dome) have gone OVER
also on the Jets -3 small.......
*Jets no road warriors for sure.....but the 'Boys are DONE....and the WORST home team in the NFL.....last 5 yrs under Garrett .....covering just 15 of last 47 home games yikes ..........
It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
Posted:
#80
DAVIDN.......thanks man you too............
COMPOSITE....c'mon man scroll back and get 'em wtf......
I need to update anyway.....like yesterday
*warning : maybe time to buy back ....for the few on Baylor here
as Coleman / Linwood / Stidham are out.....could be wrong....but it 'sounds like' they're checking out a game early.....I liked the value (?)..... of Baylor getting points from the (hot) but incredibly overrated UNC / Fedora.....especially off a nasty loss to Texas
*different from Ole Miss LY......who had a great W to finish the year
My 'buy back'....if any... will be N Caro in game / halftime
TOP PLAYS
Ole Miss -4
Oregon +1'
ONE UNIT
Temple +1
Duke +3
Baylor +3
Tulsa +14
USF +3
Boise -3
Washington -2' / LSU -1
Nebraska +7
smaller
USC -3
Memphis +3
Hou +7
Clemson +4
NW +7
WM -2'
Penn St +7
New Mexico +10 W
Texas A&M +5
La Tech -1'
added in bold......
*paid extra for the privilege of betting on Nebraska.....
they keep it close or win SU.....Riley a damm good bowl coach
COMPOSITE....c'mon man scroll back and get 'em wtf......
I need to update anyway.....like yesterday
*warning : maybe time to buy back ....for the few on Baylor here
as Coleman / Linwood / Stidham are out.....could be wrong....but it 'sounds like' they're checking out a game early.....I liked the value (?)..... of Baylor getting points from the (hot) but incredibly overrated UNC / Fedora.....especially off a nasty loss to Texas
*different from Ole Miss LY......who had a great W to finish the year
My 'buy back'....if any... will be N Caro in game / halftime
TOP PLAYS
Ole Miss -4
Oregon +1'
ONE UNIT
Temple +1
Duke +3
Baylor +3
Tulsa +14
USF +3
Boise -3
Washington -2' / LSU -1
Nebraska +7
smaller
USC -3
Memphis +3
Hou +7
Clemson +4
NW +7
WM -2'
Penn St +7
New Mexico +10 W
Texas A&M +5
La Tech -1'
added in bold......
*paid extra for the privilege of betting on Nebraska.....
they keep it close or win SU.....Riley a damm good bowl coach
It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
Posted:
#81
TOP PLAYS
Ole Miss -4
Oregon +1'
ONE UNIT
Temple +1
Duke +3
Baylor +3
Tulsa +14
USF +3
Boise -3
Washington -2' / LSU -1
Nebraska +7
smaller
USC -3
Memphis +3
Hou +7
Clemson +4
NW +7
WM -2'
Penn St +7
New Mexico +10 W
Texas A&M +5
La Tech -1' W
USF / WKU 1H under 34
so far.....
note: dogs covered 2 but did not win SU
Fav 3-2 SU / ATS
O/U 4-1
1H fav 3-2 / o/u 3-2
2H fav 3-2 / o/u 4-1
$ adding small play USF / WKU 1H under 34....
*just a HUNCH that USF D gives WKU problems early....I already have USF +3 so I'll just play total here
Bulls in nice company ....looking at 1H scoring D
1 Ohio State 6.7pts
2 Alabama 6.9
3 S Florida 7.6
4 Florida 7.7
5 Michigan 8.0
6 Wisconsin 8.2
7 Clemson 8.2
8 Florida St 8.3
Their O is better 2H as well.....3rd qtr their best by far
*WKU O has been great 1H.....but vs tougher D's not so much
(0 vs Vandy....7 vs LSU).....USF prolly 3rd toughest D they have faced....WKU D has been much tougher 1H
Looking back...............
*in a higher scoring game....3 is not enough to mess with if playing the dog probably....USF ML ....the 'smarter' play...?
BOL boys.....................
It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
Posted:
#85
much appreciated boys thanks !
yep forgot ....WKU TE Higbee (3rd/4th round NFL) is out
*was on crutches just a few days ago
It will hurt their O for sure...
*but it sounds like he could have played....but is trying to get healthy for Senior Bowl ...........
yep forgot ....WKU TE Higbee (3rd/4th round NFL) is out
*was on crutches just a few days ago
It will hurt their O for sure...
*but it sounds like he could have played....but is trying to get healthy for Senior Bowl ...........
It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
Posted:
#86
FAMOUS IDAHO POTATO BOWL
AKRON (7-5 SU/7-5 ATS/5-7 O/U) vs. UTAH STATE (6-6/5-7/9-3)
* December 22 Day at Boise, Idaho (Artificial Turf)
* No doubt Zips with the MO edge...their last (and only) bowl was the 2005 Motor City Bowl (lost)
Aggs have won and covered last 3 bowls...and will have the crowd edge (Boise fans will root for MTW team)...but should have little interest in this one...2/4 bowls have been here
Both D's match up well with the other's O
*Zips with a really tough run D (brought in ringers from Ohio St...Wazzu and Iowa St)...nobody ran on their D (non-garbage time)...OU 3yds/rush..127yds ...Pitt 2.7/100
***in fact...nobody tried...looking at standard downs...the Zip D faced the fewest rushing attempts of any team...pass D being much weaker helped.
A problem for USU?......to 'reward' him in his last game....Aggies will likely start Chuckie ...while bu Myers is the better QB....and likely gives them the best shot to win
*note: Myers has been hurt but should be available
also note ..... OC Josh Heupel has left for Mizzu (weird hire)
$ IMO....this one has to be Akron or nothing.....esp at 7'....slight lean UNDER....only slight because USU has played several high scoring games ...9/12 went OVER
*I'll play Akron +4' 1H small....look to play the opposite 2H...
Zips have been a fast starter....covering 9/12 1H....< they know they can't fall behind and expect to win
Akron up / low scoring 1H > Aggies and/or over 2H.............
AKRON (7-5 SU/7-5 ATS/5-7 O/U) vs. UTAH STATE (6-6/5-7/9-3)
* December 22 Day at Boise, Idaho (Artificial Turf)
* No doubt Zips with the MO edge...their last (and only) bowl was the 2005 Motor City Bowl (lost)
Aggs have won and covered last 3 bowls...and will have the crowd edge (Boise fans will root for MTW team)...but should have little interest in this one...2/4 bowls have been here
Both D's match up well with the other's O
*Zips with a really tough run D (brought in ringers from Ohio St...Wazzu and Iowa St)...nobody ran on their D (non-garbage time)...OU 3yds/rush..127yds ...Pitt 2.7/100
***in fact...nobody tried...looking at standard downs...the Zip D faced the fewest rushing attempts of any team...pass D being much weaker helped.
A problem for USU?......to 'reward' him in his last game....Aggies will likely start Chuckie ...while bu Myers is the better QB....and likely gives them the best shot to win
*note: Myers has been hurt but should be available
also note ..... OC Josh Heupel has left for Mizzu (weird hire)
$ IMO....this one has to be Akron or nothing.....esp at 7'....slight lean UNDER....only slight because USU has played several high scoring games ...9/12 went OVER
*I'll play Akron +4' 1H small....look to play the opposite 2H...
Zips have been a fast starter....covering 9/12 1H....< they know they can't fall behind and expect to win
Akron up / low scoring 1H > Aggies and/or over 2H.............
It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
Posted:
#87
BOCA RATON BOWL
TOLEDO (9-2/8-2-1/ 3-7-1) vs. TEMPLE (10-3/9-4/4-8-1)
Boca Raton, Florida (Grass Field)
*77 deg / 10 mph / 15% rain
*on PAPER...Toledo is the better team and (maybe) should be favored... BUT...HC Campbell is gone...(OC Candle was promoted)
NEITHER team...really wanted to be in THIS bowl...both thinking NYD at one point....Rockets 4 bowls / 5 years...LY beat Ark St 63-44 in the Go-Daddy
*This is only Temple's 4th bowl since 1935...last bowl 2011 in New Mex Bowl..they were bowl eligible last year at 6-6 but stayed home...SO....IMO they should be the more focused team here
*esp since HC Rhule stayed / could have left
Both D's are similar...both tough vs run...Temple pass D a bit better
*BUT...Toledo with a nice offensive edge...>> Rockets play fast (#23 pace) / Temple slow (#100)....Owls with the better ST
$ I bet Temple +1 when opened....I'll probably stick with it...at 2' I would maybe pass ....
*this one a 'clear' under...as both were a combined 7-15-1 OU
but in a 'lesser' bowl ...I look for a higher scoring game...so I'll look to play the OVER 2H...or even Toledo if Temple is not moving the ball.....>> higher scoring game favors the Rockets....
TOLEDO (9-2/8-2-1/ 3-7-1) vs. TEMPLE (10-3/9-4/4-8-1)
Boca Raton, Florida (Grass Field)
*77 deg / 10 mph / 15% rain
*on PAPER...Toledo is the better team and (maybe) should be favored... BUT...HC Campbell is gone...(OC Candle was promoted)
NEITHER team...really wanted to be in THIS bowl...both thinking NYD at one point....Rockets 4 bowls / 5 years...LY beat Ark St 63-44 in the Go-Daddy
*This is only Temple's 4th bowl since 1935...last bowl 2011 in New Mex Bowl..they were bowl eligible last year at 6-6 but stayed home...SO....IMO they should be the more focused team here
*esp since HC Rhule stayed / could have left
Both D's are similar...both tough vs run...Temple pass D a bit better
*BUT...Toledo with a nice offensive edge...>> Rockets play fast (#23 pace) / Temple slow (#100)....Owls with the better ST
$ I bet Temple +1 when opened....I'll probably stick with it...at 2' I would maybe pass ....
*this one a 'clear' under...as both were a combined 7-15-1 OU
but in a 'lesser' bowl ...I look for a higher scoring game...so I'll look to play the OVER 2H...or even Toledo if Temple is not moving the ball.....>> higher scoring game favors the Rockets....
It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
Posted:
#95
Hey BA. thx for this litany of intel. I noted you're recent A&M play. I took Ville +3 before the A&M QB fiasco but also grabbed the under 49.5 fresh off the Murray transfer news going offish. Line's 4.5 for me and thinking this is an even lower score and A&M probably hangs around on the D strength and thinking of taking A&M +4.5 for the middler. Just curious you're take on the game and any thought on making that kind of play. happy holidays!
Posted:
#98
sorry boys no time today.........
*hit Boise early at 3....wouldn't play at 7+
*BG now 5.....so can't resist....
$ added a few ....in bold
POINSETTIA BOWL
BOISE STATE (8-4) vs . NORTHERN ILLINOIS (8-5)
4:30p E San Diego, California (Grass Field)
.
MTW teams have won 7/10X here....dogs are 6-4...under is 6-4
Huskies tough on road...and have covered 11/12X when a short dog....have LOST 6/8 bowls SU
GODADDY.COM BOWL
GEORGIA SOUTHERN (8-4) vs. BOWLING GREEN (10-3)
8:00p E Mobile, Alabama (Artificial Turf)
$ The D's aren't that far apart....BG with a huge O edge
BGreen D #46 TD...#48 rush...#38 RZ
GS D faced few BALANCED offenses....and few that could throw at all......torched by Nick Arbuckle at home.....shredded by App ST on the road.......Only a complete no-show by BG allows them to stay within 5 points here .........IMO
*quarter / halftime players note : BG awesome in 3rd,,,,GS D weakens 2H.....esp weak in 3rd qtr.............
TOP PLAYS
Ole Miss -4
Oregon +1'
ONE UNIT
Temple +1 L
Duke +3
Baylor +3
Tulsa +14
USF +3 L
Boise -3
Wash -2'/LSU -1
Nebraska +7
WVirg -1
BGreen -5
smaller
USC -3
Memphis +3
Hou +7
Clemson +4
NW +7
WM -2'
Penn St +7
New Mexico +10 W
Texas A&M +5
La Tech -1' W
USF / WKU 1H under 34 W
Akron +4' 1H W
Ohio St / ND over 55
WV / ASU 1H under 32
Ga Southern BG over 63'
*hit Boise early at 3....wouldn't play at 7+
*BG now 5.....so can't resist....
$ added a few ....in bold
POINSETTIA BOWL
BOISE STATE (8-4) vs . NORTHERN ILLINOIS (8-5)
4:30p E San Diego, California (Grass Field)
.
MTW teams have won 7/10X here....dogs are 6-4...under is 6-4
Huskies tough on road...and have covered 11/12X when a short dog....have LOST 6/8 bowls SU
GODADDY.COM BOWL
GEORGIA SOUTHERN (8-4) vs. BOWLING GREEN (10-3)
8:00p E Mobile, Alabama (Artificial Turf)
$ The D's aren't that far apart....BG with a huge O edge
BGreen D #46 TD...#48 rush...#38 RZ
GS D faced few BALANCED offenses....and few that could throw at all......torched by Nick Arbuckle at home.....shredded by App ST on the road.......Only a complete no-show by BG allows them to stay within 5 points here .........IMO
*quarter / halftime players note : BG awesome in 3rd,,,,GS D weakens 2H.....esp weak in 3rd qtr.............
TOP PLAYS
Ole Miss -4
Oregon +1'
ONE UNIT
Temple +1 L
Duke +3
Baylor +3
Tulsa +14
USF +3 L
Boise -3
Wash -2'/LSU -1
Nebraska +7
WVirg -1
BGreen -5
smaller
USC -3
Memphis +3
Hou +7
Clemson +4
NW +7
WM -2'
Penn St +7
New Mexico +10 W
Texas A&M +5
La Tech -1' W
USF / WKU 1H under 34 W
Akron +4' 1H W
Ohio St / ND over 55
WV / ASU 1H under 32
Ga Southern BG over 63'
It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
Posted:
#99
Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:
WHAT?........oh helll no man............
yep I had an early strong lean to Memphis ....but that Malzahn vs INTERIM HC thing..... may be the deciding factor here...you're probably right....I would think this is a close / very high scoring / last one with the ball wins....type game
*Auburn needs this one more than Memphis so they probably win.....and the winner usually covers....a stay away for me most likely.....maybe in-game or halftime.....
BOL............
WHAT?........oh helll no man............
yep I had an early strong lean to Memphis ....but that Malzahn vs INTERIM HC thing..... may be the deciding factor here...you're probably right....I would think this is a close / very high scoring / last one with the ball wins....type game
*Auburn needs this one more than Memphis so they probably win.....and the winner usually covers....a stay away for me most likely.....maybe in-game or halftime.....
BOL............
Indiana
Texas Tech
Posted:
#100
Quote Originally Posted by Skipster:
Indiana
Texas Tech
Indiana
Texas Tech
man......you better start looking for a part-time job..........
*comin' in here with that Hoosier noise..........................
LSU will steamroll Tech initially.....then kick back / start talking after game party.....meanwhile TT scores again....then again....
*I'll be ready to play EITHER team at halftime....TT could easily cover but a tough one to win.....hopefully
*the rest of the world .....might be right....>> as Duke's lack of play-makers might prove to be the difference.....but I can't see CUTCLIFFE ......NOT getting the win here.....vs Wilson and his army of bowl virgins...............
It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
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