-double correlation that is positive on the new Conference play chart
-I also like how they play defense and tough at home winning most games
-the rivalry reflects that the home team tends to win by 3 pts or more
Play #2 - Furman -14 x HALF U
-I almost never take a road team for this many points but they beat a 339th ranked W.Carolina on the road by 29 recently and now face an even weaker team and maybe one of the 3-5 weakest teams fielded
-double correlation and strong bias in Conference play for teams ranked 90-120th as favorites with a spread of -11 to -16 ....they are now 6-0 ATS !
-teams facing the lowest percentile that Citadel is in ....are 3 - 1 ATS in Conference play also as favorites
MIGHT HAVE MORE SOON....
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Play #1 - Youngstown St -2.5 x HALF U
-double correlation that is positive on the new Conference play chart
-I also like how they play defense and tough at home winning most games
-the rivalry reflects that the home team tends to win by 3 pts or more
Play #2 - Furman -14 x HALF U
-I almost never take a road team for this many points but they beat a 339th ranked W.Carolina on the road by 29 recently and now face an even weaker team and maybe one of the 3-5 weakest teams fielded
-double correlation and strong bias in Conference play for teams ranked 90-120th as favorites with a spread of -11 to -16 ....they are now 6-0 ATS !
-teams facing the lowest percentile that Citadel is in ....are 3 - 1 ATS in Conference play also as favorites
-double positive correlation on my new chart....so far so good for the ones above using those (except Furman which is shitting the bed)
- east coast teams struggle in their first game on the west coast and I see blowouts, then the second game you see the real team like Maryland in their second game vs Oregon and Michigan pummeling a nice UCLA team after losing their first I think
Don't see any strong correlations in my chart
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Wednesday Summary + late Adds:
Play #1 - Youngstown St -2.5 x HALF U
Play #2 - Furman -14 x HALF U
Temple +3.5 @ ECU x HALF U
Alabama - S.Carolina Under 157 x Half U
ADD: Stanford - 9 x HALF U Play #5 tonight
-double positive correlation on my new chart....so far so good for the ones above using those (except Furman which is shitting the bed)
- east coast teams struggle in their first game on the west coast and I see blowouts, then the second game you see the real team like Maryland in their second game vs Oregon and Michigan pummeling a nice UCLA team after losing their first I think
Thanks fellas... all of the nice posts/congratulations
Maryland -5.5 x 1U (no DOUBLE UP)
-they suffocate teams with their offense and ball handling skills at home ....hitting easy buckets from their familiar shooting spots and this UCLA team recognizes, they cannot play Big10 teams defensively....they lose so I witnessed them come out of half #2 in the Michigan game 3 days ago and deploy a new strategy which was to crank up the offense and pace. It worked for 5 minutes as they took the lead from down about 15 pts but Michigan got pissed off, and woke up putting on a shooting clinic
UCLA - 3 days ago... they played at home and that is after flying a couple of time zones east ......now they have to go 3 times zones east to play Maryland after their bodies are adjusted...does not bode well for them because the BIG10 is opening some eyes this year ....some juggernauts who know how to play a complete game and Maryland is one of them
Maryland had 5 days rest which should mean they have adjusted close to a normal body feel for tonight's game.....
Maryland has them with superior stats on offense, defense, shooting, rebounding ....but I do like this UCLA team and Mick Cronin's style of coaching is sublime....love watching him work his team on the sidelines. Think like him and consider the OVER also. He won't be able to out hustle and defend this Maryland team but he could ask his players to jack up more 3 pt attempts to stay with Maryland going into the last 10 min of the game
I have played OVER 137.5 parlays on a lot of local tickets with Buckeyes Under 53.5 in NCAAF....
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Thanks fellas... all of the nice posts/congratulations
Maryland -5.5 x 1U (no DOUBLE UP)
-they suffocate teams with their offense and ball handling skills at home ....hitting easy buckets from their familiar shooting spots and this UCLA team recognizes, they cannot play Big10 teams defensively....they lose so I witnessed them come out of half #2 in the Michigan game 3 days ago and deploy a new strategy which was to crank up the offense and pace. It worked for 5 minutes as they took the lead from down about 15 pts but Michigan got pissed off, and woke up putting on a shooting clinic
UCLA - 3 days ago... they played at home and that is after flying a couple of time zones east ......now they have to go 3 times zones east to play Maryland after their bodies are adjusted...does not bode well for them because the BIG10 is opening some eyes this year ....some juggernauts who know how to play a complete game and Maryland is one of them
Maryland had 5 days rest which should mean they have adjusted close to a normal body feel for tonight's game.....
Maryland has them with superior stats on offense, defense, shooting, rebounding ....but I do like this UCLA team and Mick Cronin's style of coaching is sublime....love watching him work his team on the sidelines. Think like him and consider the OVER also. He won't be able to out hustle and defend this Maryland team but he could ask his players to jack up more 3 pt attempts to stay with Maryland going into the last 10 min of the game
I have played OVER 137.5 parlays on a lot of local tickets with Buckeyes Under 53.5 in NCAAF....
-West coast team ranked around 70 playing in one of the 2-3 toughest conferences after losing to 40th ranked Indiana by 13 and now having to face the #13 team who is a juggernaut at home especially over the years and ranked 13th
-THIS LINE IS FISHY!!!
-nonetheless, I have a double correlation that is very very strong in favor of Illinois > teams ranked in TOP 20 are 9 - 2 ATS as a favorite with a line -11 to -15.5 so far
-also, teams ranked in the Top 20 are 8-3 ATS facing a team ranked 66 - 90th in Conference Play
Non D-UP play.... Indiana St UNDER 173 x HALF U and Indiana St -2.5 x 1U
-this total is getting wacko..... Indiana St knows how to defend 3 pt and aggressive rebounders like Belmont because they held a much better Bradley team to 82 pts in reg and a better Murray St offense than Belmont's, to 74 pts at home
-make no mistake about it, Indiana St will score over 80 and likely 88-95 pts vs this soft Belmont defense
-I see a score of 92 - 78 at most and likely 88 - 78
ALL MY CORRELATION CHARTS ARE UPDATED INCLUDING RANKS SO I AM LOCKED AND LOADED TODAY..... made $1000 last night on the Buckeyes UNDER ....so I have to monitor myself to not get too loose!! That puts me into the profit zone by over 30% on my plays this season and I am way over 40% in NCAAB in my account and want to keep it going for a big spring/summer Harness Horse racing betting season
Will have some more plays for 2 pm
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Saturday noon - 1pm games suggestions:
Double UP Play #1 - Illinois -12.5 x 1U
-West coast team ranked around 70 playing in one of the 2-3 toughest conferences after losing to 40th ranked Indiana by 13 and now having to face the #13 team who is a juggernaut at home especially over the years and ranked 13th
-THIS LINE IS FISHY!!!
-nonetheless, I have a double correlation that is very very strong in favor of Illinois > teams ranked in TOP 20 are 9 - 2 ATS as a favorite with a line -11 to -15.5 so far
-also, teams ranked in the Top 20 are 8-3 ATS facing a team ranked 66 - 90th in Conference Play
Non D-UP play.... Indiana St UNDER 173 x HALF U and Indiana St -2.5 x 1U
-this total is getting wacko..... Indiana St knows how to defend 3 pt and aggressive rebounders like Belmont because they held a much better Bradley team to 82 pts in reg and a better Murray St offense than Belmont's, to 74 pts at home
-make no mistake about it, Indiana St will score over 80 and likely 88-95 pts vs this soft Belmont defense
-I see a score of 92 - 78 at most and likely 88 - 78
ALL MY CORRELATION CHARTS ARE UPDATED INCLUDING RANKS SO I AM LOCKED AND LOADED TODAY..... made $1000 last night on the Buckeyes UNDER ....so I have to monitor myself to not get too loose!! That puts me into the profit zone by over 30% on my plays this season and I am way over 40% in NCAAB in my account and want to keep it going for a big spring/summer Harness Horse racing betting season
When I see a fishy line dropping over night....I tend to leave the play alone but the DOUBLE CORRELATION at higher than 75% to hit in double -C was compelling
If this is on tv on both coasts....maybe Illini were asked to keep it close to the half? If you get single digits in the 2nd half lines for Illinois, I would take it
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
When I see a fishy line dropping over night....I tend to leave the play alone but the DOUBLE CORRELATION at higher than 75% to hit in double -C was compelling
If this is on tv on both coasts....maybe Illini were asked to keep it close to the half? If you get single digits in the 2nd half lines for Illinois, I would take it
What is potentially good with 2 pm games? Compare the teams stats and pick ....please do not select blindly
1. double fade > on Tulane -4 (USF +4 is better in correlation)
2. George Mason > very strong correlation on spread -11.5 > when 90th rank plays a team around 200 rank
Double UP PLAY #2 - Drexel -2 x 2U
-even if Illiniois gets the toilet paper out of their asses ... I like this one a lot!!
-Towson has issues shooting the ball and can play ok defense
-Drexel is a strong offensive team and play good defense ...stats are real good!
-Drexel has not played many games at home so they will be fired up to beat a rival on a Saturday home floor ....they always seem to win this matchup on home floor but they can be tight games ....this year's team looks exceptional however and Towson does not have the firepower for shooters like years before
3. UCONN -5 @ Georgetown....a rebuild UCONN team that just might kick it into gear and this one is taking a lot of money moving the line from -3.5 to -5 but that is ok....since it falls into the DOUBLE CORRELATION that is positive for them
4. Ball St -5.5 > has a medium strong double correlation on both sides ...rank vs rank and spread success ATS
5. Florida Gulf -11.5 > same as the Ball St game
6. Double fade on WINTHROP > take Longwood?
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
What is potentially good with 2 pm games? Compare the teams stats and pick ....please do not select blindly
1. double fade > on Tulane -4 (USF +4 is better in correlation)
2. George Mason > very strong correlation on spread -11.5 > when 90th rank plays a team around 200 rank
Double UP PLAY #2 - Drexel -2 x 2U
-even if Illiniois gets the toilet paper out of their asses ... I like this one a lot!!
-Towson has issues shooting the ball and can play ok defense
-Drexel is a strong offensive team and play good defense ...stats are real good!
-Drexel has not played many games at home so they will be fired up to beat a rival on a Saturday home floor ....they always seem to win this matchup on home floor but they can be tight games ....this year's team looks exceptional however and Towson does not have the firepower for shooters like years before
3. UCONN -5 @ Georgetown....a rebuild UCONN team that just might kick it into gear and this one is taking a lot of money moving the line from -3.5 to -5 but that is ok....since it falls into the DOUBLE CORRELATION that is positive for them
4. Ball St -5.5 > has a medium strong double correlation on both sides ...rank vs rank and spread success ATS
-way too much offensive power for Vermont this year who is not scoring on the road and seem to be in a re-build mode
-Bryant finally playing a lot of home games now in this upcoming stretch and were giddy in blowing away a decent Maine team by 27 pts in their first home game in a while
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Bryant -3 x 1U
-way too much offensive power for Vermont this year who is not scoring on the road and seem to be in a re-build mode
-Bryant finally playing a lot of home games now in this upcoming stretch and were giddy in blowing away a decent Maine team by 27 pts in their first home game in a while
Holy shit....watching this Drexel - Towson game and TOWSON has not missed a 3 pter in a long while
Everytime Drexel gets up by 6 pts...they come back and sink 1-2 in a row right away....I think it might go to OT ....Towson got 2 x three pointers in last minute
The stats show .....THEY WERE SUPPOSED TO BE TERRIBLE FROM 3 POINT!!!! > rank = #310th vs 6th best 3 pt defense this year
FIRST shot in OT goes in also again......snakebit today I think
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Holy shit....watching this Drexel - Towson game and TOWSON has not missed a 3 pter in a long while
Everytime Drexel gets up by 6 pts...they come back and sink 1-2 in a row right away....I think it might go to OT ....Towson got 2 x three pointers in last minute
The stats show .....THEY WERE SUPPOSED TO BE TERRIBLE FROM 3 POINT!!!! > rank = #310th vs 6th best 3 pt defense this year
FIRST shot in OT goes in also again......snakebit today I think
...I commented on how I should know better haha
....this is to cover up a DOUBLE UP I lost in the first leg on the weekend
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