Last's Non-Conf Picks

Other Thurs plays:

Coastal Carolina -2 x HALF U 

-superior stats offensively and defensively ....G-South is not good on the road and CC is decent at home

-strong correlation between rank differences

Mount St Mary's -1.5 x 1U @ Rider 

-these games tend to be close and there is a 100 rank difference between these teams this year with Rider 0 - 4 at home and MSTM 5 - 4 on the road

-MSM has won 5 of 6 including a win at Miami by 4 pts

-Rider's offense looks putrid but they can score in a loose game and their defense is ok. MSM has a very good defense, know how to offensive rebound well and scheme up for a good shot

-if Rider falls behind, I fail to see how they will come back with the 3 pt shot when MSM is 25th best defense vs the 3pt shot 

Scheming some more slowly....stay tuned. This could be a big day for me in volume of plays

L2T......

The RIDER line just flipped .....Rider is now fave

More Plays Thursday: -feeling frisky

Jacksonville St UNDER 139.5 x HALF U

- both teams like to control the ball and can score but their defences are also equal to the task

-most of their games together don't go over 125

Later:

Tennessee St -1 x HALF U

Nebraska -8.5 x HALF U > they continue to control any team that comes to them at home  no matter their rank and Rutgers is generally not a good road team and have a time zone to fly over

Oregon St +9 x HALF U ....they will show everyone how strong their home court is and not get blown away....Oregon only beat them there by storming back from being down and I think Oregon has beaten every team Zaga has lost to and them as well

ARRRRRRRRGGGGGGGGGHHHH.....another top team shitting the bed (Michigan now !) after dominating and controlling the first half.

A part of me was worried about this....could it be the 3rd time in a row a dominant double correlation play shits the bed? 

Might have to just avoid top teams until Feb when I see things settle down. I did a lot of plays in my Kings contest with lots of great correlations of teams ranked 91st -351st so maybe that is the way to go for a while.

Thursday results :

Play #1 - Double Up #3 x 4U Michigan -9.5 << my very first TRIPLE LOSS in the thread 

Coastal Carolina -2 x HALF U  

Mount St Mary's -1.5 x 1U @ Rider  

Jacksonville St UNDER 139.5 x HALF U 

Tennessee St -1 x HALF U

Nebraska -8.5 x HALF U

Oregon St +9 x HALF U

Closing the book on this thread now that the first Double Up string did not work, had a terrible night of suggestions in here BUT had an amazing night breaking down games for the Kings contest!

Now Top 10 in Kings of Cover after not playing for the first month and I think one of a few on there with a > 60%+ win rate

8th    Net Units: +15750  Overall:  114-75-0

Last 10:  8-2-0   Last 20:  13-7-0

ATS Picks  88-61-0    59.06%    +10450     13 of 2499
O/U Picks  26-14-0    65.00%    +5300      51 of 2499

Congrats #10.keep u the good work.

Sunday Jan 13th - Sunday Jan 16th:

Week = 2 - 6   (-6.5 Units ) ....LEAKING BADLY > trying to give what I think are the best correlation lines in Conference play according to my charts but everything this week is going soft in support so I am collapsing the thread since it needs a new title anyway (no more Non-Conf play!)

Season = 80- 54 - 1  (+22.5 Units = + > $2700 )  

Exotic Bet Account = - $296 << plunged another $160 this week....brutal

King of Covers Now: > 10th  Last2thirst  119-80-0    59.80%    +15500  (will finish 3-1 or 2-2 tonight with only 4 plays)