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2012 Kempom System

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Posted: #901
Sorry been out all day, should be around more tomorrow:

System 2-1 tonight; 11-8 overall
One loss less if EIU wasn't a play for you early last week, one win less if you got a canisius push, 10-9 if you got a horrible number on canisius last Sunday and had EIU as a play. Believe me I know it's stupid to detail it like that but trust me it'll save some serious headaches for sure.

*that's five straight ats wins for me in a row using EMU, four by backing them and one against them via the system, would love to get +7 with them at Toledo on Saturday but even if the line is lower I'll be on them, they are playing hard.  Emu sits right with Marist and citadel on the crappy teams covering like a beast throne here at the end of the season.

System plays via opening lines for me from 5dimes:
UC Davis +15.5 (can't see that getting much better but been wrong before)

Almost: 
Louisiana tech +6

Others: 
Utah 17.5 (situational play)
Idaho +3 (how could you not at least consider it after Hawaii gave up 95ppg in their last three games)
San Diego +3 (bad matchup for pepperdine)

Good luck

 
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Posted: #902

Any thoughts on the UCLA/Wash St game tomorrow, Kine? With all the news about the UCLA program going down hill under Howland with all the disciplinary issues, the 10 pts they are laying tomorrow against Wash St could be a little much.

 
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Posted: #903
Quote Originally Posted by 702underdog:

Any thoughts on the UCLA/Wash St game tomorrow, Kine? With all the news about the UCLA program going down hill under Howland with all the disciplinary issues, the 10 pts they are laying tomorrow against Wash St could be a little much.


Or, circling the wagons, us-against-the-world mentality, let's probe the haters wrong, everyone is rooting against us, etc, etc.

Could come out with a good performance. Maybe take UCLA ML.
 
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Posted: #904
Quote Originally Posted by 702underdog:

Any thoughts on the UCLA/Wash St game tomorrow, Kine? With all the news about the UCLA program going down hill under Howland with all the disciplinary issues, the 10 pts they are laying tomorrow against Wash St could be a little much.


Good shooting team vs solid perimeter defensive team. If wash st can get some clean looks I like their Chances ok, but a bit fearful of how ucla could shoot against wash st zone. I could only play wash st but don't love the game either way
 
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Posted: #905
Quote Originally Posted by dmmx3:

 Maybe take UCLA ML.

Sorry, it's late. Meant maybe take WashSt ML if you think the line is off. If you think UCLA will be dramatically affected, the game could veer far from the -10.

GL.
 
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Posted: #906
Congrats on your sytem plays today...I was on the two winners   
 
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Posted: #907
Quote Originally Posted by PitchBlack2011:

Congrats on your sytem plays today...I was on the two winners   

 
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Posted: #908
Why you like utah?  I was thinking beav's by 30
 
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Posted: #909
UC Davis already moved to +15 on 5 dimes. Lock it in now or wait to see if it'll move back in our favor? Thanks. BOL. 
 
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Posted: #910
San Diego is -3 not +3 but I still like the play 
 
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Posted: #911
Quote Originally Posted by BTD5008:

UC Davis already moved to +15 on 5 dimes. Lock it in now or wait to see if it'll move back in our favor? Thanks. BOL. 

Cant see it getting much better than 15
 
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Posted: #912
Quote Originally Posted by Beerguytx:

San Diego is -3 not +3 but I still like the play 

Now -3.5, errrr and late night posts from my iPad is not a good idea 
 
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Posted: #913
Quote Originally Posted by MistakeHitter:

Why you like utah?  I was thinking beav's by 30

Situational = beavers in poor form losing. 6 of 7 and 3 straight at home, got their senior day revenge game with Colorado two days later, Since the loss to the beavers three weeks ago, they have played hard and competitive and I like them to have a bit of confidence after the Stanford upset to name a few.
 
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Posted: #914
kp - thoughts on wash -7 - i like wash - thnx in advance - clem1
 
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Posted: #915
Quote Originally Posted by PitchBlack2011:

Congrats on your sytem plays today...I was on the two winners   


Are you actually just a stickler?,  instead of a dick....
 
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Posted: #916
UC Davis now 14.5
 
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Posted: #917
Got UCDavis +15.5 last night
 
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Posted: #918
Quote Originally Posted by clem1:

kp - thoughts on wash -7 - i like wash - thnx in advance - clem1


Definitely not my type of play and not the types of plays I've made these last three successful seasons.  Not saying it won't cash, just wouldn't lay that number myself.  Here is how many road or neutral-site games they have won by 7 or more this season: 0 out of 11 trys
 
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Posted: #919
kp-might want to look at SD first half-their ATS is a crazy 17-3 bol
 
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Posted: #920
Kine, what about the N Florida game?
 
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Posted: #921

Davis at +15.5

Guard out

 
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Posted: #922
Quote Originally Posted by mtndew146:

Kine, what about the N Florida game?


Not an expert on either team but liked N Florida's non conference schedule and would prefer the points if I had to play it
 
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Posted: #923
Quote Originally Posted by bullmoose:

kp-might want to look at SD first half-their ATS is a crazy 17-3 bol


Definitely, that is in my notes, I've been betting it in reverse aka AGAINST SD in the 2nd half bets.  Most of the time they are dogs in the 1h line so this is a little different having to lay the points here, just think that after 40 minutes they will have won by more 3
 
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Posted: #924
Quote Originally Posted by winoNV:

Davis at +15.5

Guard out



Both teams missing one guard (Poly's is better) but also both teams are two the deepest teams in the country in terms of bench minutes so don't think that is a concern at all.  Cal Poly has been the worst team in the country ATS since Jan 21st: SHHHHHHH
 
 
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Posted: #925
UCDavis back to +15.5 so I dipped in for some more
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