F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix Prediction, Picks & Odds – Las Vegas Street Circuit 2025

Lando Norris is the post-qualifying favorite in Vegas, but our betting picks look elsewhere in Sin City.

Eric Smith - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Smith • Betting Analyst
Nov 22, 2025 • 17:04 ET • 4 min read
Ferrari driver Charles Leclerc (16) during media availabilities at Las Vegas Strip Circuit.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Ferrari driver Charles Leclerc (16) during media availabilities at Las Vegas Strip Circuit.

Formula One heads to Sin City for the 2025 Las Vegas Grand Prix on Saturday, November 22. 

The F1 odds now have Lando Norris favored following qualifying, but Max Verstappen trails closely behind.

Here are our best Las Vegas GP predictions and free betting picks for tonight's big race.

2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix prediction and picks

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix odds

Driver bet365
McLaren Lando Norris -120
Red Bull Max Verstappen +137
Mercedes George Russell +1100
McLaren Oscar Piastri +2000
Williams Carlos Sainz +4000
Ferrari Charles Leclerc +5000
Ferrari Lewis Hamilton +10000
Mercedes Kimi Antonelli +10000
Aston Martin Fernando Alonso +10000
VCARB Isack Hadjar +12500
VCARB Liam Lawson +12500
Alpine Pierre Gasly +20000
Kick Sauber Nico Hulkenberg +50000
Aston Martin Lance Stroll +50000
Haas Esteban Ocon +100000
Haas Oliver Bearman +100000
Williams Alex Albon +100000
Red Bull Yuki Tsunoda +100000
Kick Sauber Gabriel Bortoleto +200000
Alpine Franco Colapinto +200000

Odds as of 11-22.

F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix 2025 pre-qualifying favorites

The only two prior winners of this event, Max Verstappen (+175) and George Russell (+375), are sandwiching probable 2025 F1 Drivers' Championship winner Lando Norris (+225) in the pre-qualifying odds for the Las Vegas Grand Prix.

Lewis Hamilton (+3300) was part of a Mercedes 1-2 finish last year, which may explain why Kimi Antonelli (+850) carries much lower odds than usual. Antonelli is right on the heels of Oscar Piastri (+800), whose best finish in this race is seventh (2024).

Rounding out the seven drivers with odds below 250-1 is Charles Leclerc (+1600).

F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix 2025 post-qualifying picks

F1 Las Vegas Grand prop pick: Mercedes double podium finish
(+500 at bet365)

Each of the first two Vegas races has featured one team placing both drivers on the podium. Red Bull did it in 2023, with Sergio Pérez (third) joining Verstappen, while last year Mercedes went one-two with George Russell taking the win ahead of Lewis Hamilton.

Mercedes has every chance to extend that streak. Russell won the most recent street race in Singapore and previously triumphed in Montreal, a circuit that drives much like a street course.

As the defending Vegas winner, he’s also finished runner-up in Baku — giving him three straight Top 2 results on street tracks.

Rookie teammate Kimi Antonelli is also trending upward, arriving in Vegas fresh off a sixth-place finish in Mexico and a career-best runner-up in Brazil.

While he was eliminated in Q1, expect him to go off strategy in a race that could see fireworks and reward an alternate plan. Last year, Hamilton came from 10th to second. The year prior, third, fourth, and fifth-place finishers started 11th, 16th, and 19th, respectively. 

F1 Las Vegas Grand prop pick: Charles Leclerc Top 4 finish
(+100 at bet365)

A podium might be a stretch, but Leclerc has quietly been one of the most consistent performers in Vegas.

The Ferrari driver finished second and fourth in his two starts here and has two podiums in his last three races overall, including a runner-up in Mexico City. 

F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix 2025 starting grid

Position Driver Position Driver
1 Lando Norris 2 Max Verstappen
3 Carlos Sainz 4 George Russell
5 Oscar Piastri 6 Liam Lawson
7 Fernando Alonso 8 Isack Hadjar
9 Charles Leclerc 10 Pierre Gasly
11 Nico Hulkenberg 12 Lance Stroll
13 Esteban Ocon 14 Oliver Bearman
15 Franco Colapinto 16 Alex Albon
17 Kimi Antonelli 18 Gabriel Bortoleto
19 Yuki Tsunoda 20 Lewis Hamilton


March Madness betting splits

Highest ticket percentage:
•    Max Verstappen 24.3%
•    Lando Norris 16.4%
•    George Russell 13.1%

Highest handle percentage:
•    Max Verstappen 36.9%
•    Lando Norris 22.2%
•    George Russell 11.3%

All data courtesy of BetMGM.

Previous F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix winners

Year Driver Team
2024 George Russell Mercedes
2023 Max Verstappen Red Bull

Understanding F1 betting odds

The most popular way to bet on Formula 1 odds is by simply picking the winner of a particular race. Other popular F1 betting options include which car/constructor will win and whether or not a particular race car driver will end up on the podium with a Top-3 finish.

F1 race odds usually look like this:

  • Charles Leclerc +400

This means that on a $100 bet, you'll stand to profit $400 if Leclerc wins that particular race. If one driver is especially dominant, you might see a minus sign (-) ahead of that driver's odds like this:

  • Max Verstappen -120

This means that you would need to bet $120 to win $100 on Verstappen winning the race.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Eric Smith - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Eric Smith has over a decade of experience in motorsports. Beginning with Bleacher Report in 2011 to becoming a nationally accredited motorsports journalist, Eric has been featured in numerous publications. His love of the sport helped spark a path to Covers in 2019 as an auto racing analyst providing insights into how to bet and who to be on the NASCAR scene.

NASCAR is a unique sport to wager on with the percentages of a win less than the 50-50 venture of stick-and-ball sports. However, Eric found a method to wager on multiple drivers to come away profitable in the end. His experience in the sport and his aforementioned technique has allowed Eric to decipher pages of data to compute a winner at a 70% clip.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo