The 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship odds are effectively Kimi Antonelli's race to lose following his second win of the month at a divisive new track in Madrid. It marks his eighth win of the year.
Max Verstappen and Lando Norris secured podium finishes, as they so often have in 2026, but it was Antonelli who came out on top once again. He's the overwhelming favorite as drivers head to Azerbaijan to end the month, with nobody being a realistic option to surpass the 20-year-old.
Meanwhile, the 2026 Constructors' Championship odds still go through the Silver Arrows, led by Antonelli and George Russell, as they continue to distance themselves. Ferrari, a clear second-favorite not long ago, is effectively out of the race.
Let's take a look at the latest Formula 1 odds to win the Drivers' and Constructors' Championships.
F1 Drivers' Championship odds
| Driver |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Kimi Antonelli |
91% |
 Lando Norris |
3% |
| George Russell |
2% |
 Lewis Hamilton |
1% |
| Charles Leclerc |
1% |
Odds from Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps, as of 9-14.
Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account
Drivers' Championship odds movement
- Kimi Antonelli jumps from the 85% to 91% favorite, increasing his point lead in the standings to 81. He's over 100 points ahead of third-place Lewis Hamilton.
- Lando Norris (3%) usurped George Russell (2%) as the distant second-favorite after a podium finish in Spain.
Drivers' Championship favorite
Kimi Antonelli (91%)
Kimi Antonelli was an early betting favorite despite the 20-year-old having never won an F1 race prior to this year.
He won his maiden title in Shanghai, then came out on top at the Japanese GP to practically draw even in the betting with Russell.
Antonelli caught and passed his Mercedes teammate in the odds following his third straight victory in Miami and extended that lead after winning in Montreal and Monaco.
He's maintained this position ever since and only strengthened it with his Spanish Grand Prix win.
F1 Constructors' Championship odds
Odds as of 9-14. For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
Past Drivers' Championship winners
| Year | Champion | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Lando Norris |
 Max Verstappen |
| 2024 | Max Verstappen |
Lando Norris |
| 2023 | Max Verstappen |
Sergio Perez |
| 2022 | Max Verstappen |
Charles Leclerc |
| 2021 | Max Verstappen |
Lewis Hamilton |
| 2020 | Max Verstappen |
Valtteri Bottas |
| 2019 | Lewis Hamilton |
Valtteri Bottas |
| 2018 | Lewis Hamilton |
Sebastian Vettel |
| 2017 | Lewis Hamilton |
Sebastian Vettel |
| 2016 | Nico Rosberg |
Lewis Hamilton |
Past Constructors' Championship winners
| Years | Champion | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | McLaren |
Mercedes |
| 2024 | McLaren |
Ferrari |
| 2023 | Red Bull |
Mercedes |
| 2022 | Red Bull |
Ferrari |
| 2021 | Mercedes |
Red Bull |
| 2020 | Mercedes |
Red Bull |
| 2019 | Mercedes |
Ferrari |
| 2018 | Mercedes |
Ferrari |
| 2017 | Mercedes |
Ferrari |
| 2016 | Mercedes |
Red Bull |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
