F1 World Drivers' Championship Odds: Antonelli Tightens Grip, Russell Trending Down

Chris Gregory - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Gregory • Betting Analyst 5+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 27, 2026 , 01:41 PM ET • 4 min read

Kimi Antonelli ended his mid-season drought with a win in Belgium and another podium finish in Hungary over the weekend.

Kimi Antonelli Mercedes Formula 1
Photo By - Reuters Connect. F1 driver Kimi Antonelli of Mercedes.

The 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship odds continue to point in the direction of Mercedes star Kimi Antonelli.

His teammate and main competition, George Russell, is coming off a DNF in Belgium and a poor result in Hungary, helping Antonelli take a 50-point lead in the Drivers' Standings.

Understandably, the 2026 Constructors' Championship odds still go through the Silver Arrows, with Ferrari the only other true contender. Let's take a look at the latest Formula 1 odds to win the Drivers' and Constructors' Championships.

F1 Drivers' Championship odds

Driver bet365
Mercedes Kimi Antonelli -400
Ferrari Lewis Hamilton +600
Ferrari Charles Leclerc +2000
Mercedes George Russell +2000
McLaren Lando Norris +2500
Red Bull Max Verstappen +4000

Odds as of 7-27.

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Odds to win Drivers' Championship at Kalshi

Drivers' Championship odds movement

  • George Russell's odds have moved from +187 to +2000 over the last two weeks 
  • Lewis Hamilton jumped from sixth to third in the odds after his win in Barcelona and is now second on the board at +600

Drivers' Championship favorite

Mercedes  Kimi Antonelli (-400)

Kimi Antonelli was an early betting favorite despite having never won an F1 race before. He broke his maiden in the Chinese GP, then promptly doubled up in the Japanese GP to practically draw even in the betting with his Mercedes teammate. 

Antonelli caught and passed Russell in the odds following his third straight victory in Miami and extended that lead after winning in Montreal and Monaco. He's maintained this position ever since.

F1 Constructors' Championship odds

Team bet365
Mercedes Mercedes -900
Ferrari Ferrari +500
McLaren McLaren +2500

Odds as of 7-27.

Odds to win Constructors' Championship at Kalshi

Past Drivers' Championship winners

Year Champion Runner-up
2025 McLaren Lando Norris Red Bull Max Verstappen
2024 Red Bull Max Verstappen McLaren Lando Norris
2023 Red Bull Max Verstappen Red Bull Sergio Perez
2022 Red Bull Max Verstappen Ferrari Charles Leclerc
2021 Red Bull Max Verstappen Mercedes Lewis Hamilton
2020 Red Bull Max Verstappen Mercedes Valtteri Bottas
2019 Mercedes Lewis Hamilton Mercedes Valtteri Bottas
2018 Mercedes Lewis Hamilton Ferrari Sebastian Vettel
2017 Mercedes Lewis Hamilton Ferrari Sebastian Vettel
2016 Mercedes Nico Rosberg Mercedes Lewis Hamilton

Past Constructors' Championship winners

Years Champion Runner-up
2025 McLaren McLaren Mercedes Mercedes
2024 McLaren McLaren Ferrari Ferrari
2023 Red Bull Red Bull Mercedes Mercedes
2022 Red Bull Red Bull Ferrari Ferrari
2021 Mercedes Mercedes Red Bull Red Bull
2020 Mercedes Mercedes Red Bull Red Bull
2019 Mercedes Mercedes Ferrari Ferrari
2018 Mercedes Mercedes Ferrari Ferrari
2017 Mercedes Mercedes Ferrari Ferrari
2016 Mercedes Mercedes Red Bull Red Bull

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Gregory Covers.com
Betting Analyst

In his four years on the Covers editorial team, Chris Gregory has helped bolster the site’s golf and college football coverage. He brings a journalism and marketing background to his work as a Publishing Editor and can be found across our site covering the Masters, college football futures, and more.

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