Although the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship odds are effectively Kimi Antonelli's race to lose, Max Verstappen jumped up the leaderboard with his long-awaited first win of 2026 at the Bahrain Grand Prix... in Malaysia. While it was certainly the summer of Kimi, it's shaping up to be a strong fall season for the generation before him.
Lewis Hamilton and George Russell are the only other drivers remaining on the board, with Russell picking up a win in Azerbaijan at the end of September.
Meanwhile, the 2026 Constructors' Championship odds still favor the Silver Arrows, led by Antonelli and Russell, as they continue to pull away. Their top two drivers have won 11 of the 16 races this year, with Antonelli securing a riduculous 14 Top-5 finishes.
Ferrari, a clear second-favorite not long ago, is still on the board but effectively out of the race.
Let's take a look at the latest Formula 1 odds to win the Drivers' and Constructors' Championships.
F1 Drivers' Championship odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds converter.
Odds from Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps, as of 10-5.
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Drivers' Championship odds movement
- Kimi Antonelli soars from 91% to 97% after a runner-up finish in Malaysia. He holds an 84-point lead in the standings and is over 100 points clear of third-place Lewis Hamilton.
- Max Verstappen reclaimed his spot on the leaderboard after his big win, albeit at just 1%.
- Hamilton and George Russell are the only other drivers at 1% or higher.
Drivers' Championship favorite
Kimi Antonelli (97%)
Kimi Antonelli was an early betting favorite despite the 20-year-old having never won an F1 race prior to this year.
He won his maiden title in Shanghai, then came out on top at the Japanese GP to draw near-even in odds with Russell.
Antonelli caught and passed his Mercedes teammate in Miami, following his third straight victory, and extended that lead after winning in Montreal and Monaco.
He's maintained this position ever since, and it would take an absolute miracle for anyone to catch him at this point in the season.
F1 Constructors' Championship odds
Odds as of 10-5. For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
Past Drivers' Championship winners
| Year | Champion | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 |  Lando Norris |
 Max Verstappen |
| 2024 | Max Verstappen |
Lando Norris |
| 2023 | Max Verstappen |
Sergio Perez |
| 2022 | Max Verstappen |
 Charles Leclerc |
| 2021 | Max Verstappen |
Lewis Hamilton |
| 2020 | Max Verstappen |
Valtteri Bottas |
| 2019 | Lewis Hamilton |
Valtteri Bottas |
| 2018 | Lewis Hamilton |
Sebastian Vettel |
| 2017 | Lewis Hamilton |
Sebastian Vettel |
| 2016 | Nico Rosberg |
Lewis Hamilton |
Past Constructors' Championship winners
| Years | Champion | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | McLaren |
Mercedes |
| 2024 | McLaren |
Ferrari |
| 2023 | Red Bull |
Mercedes |
| 2022 | Red Bull |
Ferrari |
| 2021 | Mercedes |
Red Bull |
| 2020 | Mercedes |
Red Bull |
| 2019 | Mercedes |
Ferrari |
| 2018 | Mercedes |
Ferrari |
| 2017 | Mercedes |
Ferrari |
| 2016 | Mercedes |
Red Bull |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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