Tiger-Cats vs Argonauts Week 9 Picks and Predictions: Toronto Sinks Further in East Clash

Toronto suffered an ugly home loss last week, letting Ottawa pick up its first win of 2022. Sticking at BMO Field this week, the Argonauts won't find things any easier against a Tiger-Cats team that our CFL picks expect to upset TO.

Last Updated: Aug 5, 2022 2:54 PM ET Read Time: 4 min

The East-leading Toronto Argonauts turned in a dud of a performance against previously winless Ottawa to fall to 3-3 in Week 8 and look to rebound at home against the second-place Hamilton Tiger-Cats. 

This divisional matchup is expected to be a close battle, with oddsmakers giving just two points to the visiting team. 

Below are our best free Tiger-Cats vs. Argonauts picks and predictions for August 6.

Tiger-Cats vs Argonauts odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The line opened with the Argos at -1.5 at a majority of sportsbooks and has landed at -2 most places, and as much as -2.5 at BetMGM. The Over/Under has wavered between 45.0 and 45.5 at most books.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until kickoff and be sure to check out the full CFL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Tiger-Cats vs Argonauts Week 9 predictions

Predictions made on 8/5/2022 at 2:00 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Tiger-Cats vs Argonauts game info

Location: BMO Field, Toronto, ON
Date: Saturday, August 6, 2022
Kickoff: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: TSN

Tiger-Cats at Argonauts betting preview

Weather

Key injuries

Tiger-Cats: Tyler Ternowski WR (Questionable), Coulter Woodmansey OL (Questionable), Lemar Durant WR (Questionable), Kyle Saxelid OL (Questionable), Alex Fontana OL (Questionable), Simoni Lawrence LB (Questionable), Mohamed Diallo DL (Questionable), Lee Autry DT (Questionable).
Argonauts: Eric Sutton DB (Questionable), Josh Hagerty DB (Questionable), DaVaris Daniels WR (Questionable), Philip Blake OL (Questionable), Eric Rogers WR (Questionable), A.J. Ouellette RB (Out), Earnest Edwards WR (Out).
Find our latest CFL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between these teams and 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings in Toronto. Find more CFL betting trends for Tiger-Cats vs. Argonauts.

Tiger-Cats vs Argonauts picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Spread analysis

The Argos let a then-winless Ottawa team walk into BMO Field and snap their two-game win streak in a 23-13 decision last week. Against the league’s worst pass defense, Toronto QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson threw for a season-high 340 yards while adding a touchdown and completed 25 of his 39 passes.

Despite his performance, the Boatmen were only able to tally 13 points, their second-lowest total of the season, against a defense that gives up 25.4 points per contest on average. 

Part of the problem was a lack of production in the run game. A week after Andrew Harris rushed for 143 yards against the CFL’s best run-stop unit, Saskatchewan, the veteran back mustered 17 yards on nine carries. On Saturday, he’ll confront a much better run defense in Hamilton, who ranks fifth in rushing yards allowed (89.1).

Toronto’s defense hardly gave Ottawa backup Caleb Evans trouble. The young signal caller completed all but five of his 29 passes for 286 yards and two scores, while receiver Jaelon Acklin recorded a season-high 144 receiving yards.

The team sitting in second behind Toronto in the East, Hamilton, had the opposite day, as the Ticats got back in the win column against division mate Montreal. In their 24-17 victory, the Ticats got off to a slow start but got points on the board with a 1-yard run by Jamie Newman early in the second quarter and never relinquished the lead.

The defense got after Montreal quarterback Trevor Harris and sacked him five times, while Hamilton drew seven penalties on the Alouettes. 

The Ticats own the better defense and will knock Toronto while it's down. Hamilton is 0-3 on the road this season, but those three losses were to good West division teams. The East is a different story.

Look for the visiting team to pull off the upset.

Prediction: Tiger-Cats moneyline (+110 at DraftKings)

Over/Under analysis

Hamilton and Toronto both rank in the bottom three in points per game, though the Argos scored 30 and 31 in back-to-back victories over Saskatchewan in Weeks 6 and 7 before their setback at home against Ottawa.

Toronto and Hamilton’s defenses surrender more than 25 points per outing, and the Over has hit in nine of the last 12 meetings between these teams, while it’s 11-5-1 in the last 17 in Toronto.

Hamilton’s quarterback Dane Evans has been a bit inconsistent this season, but he can bounce back in Toronto. He put up a pair of touchdowns against Ottawa and threw for three on Calgary, both bottom-half passing defenses. 

He’ll find the end zone a few times against the Argos in a back-and-forth battle.

Prediction: Over 45.5 (-110 at DraftKings)

Best bet

Evans’ production will be key to Hamilton’s chances of springing an upset, which will come much easier against a shaky divisional rival.

Against the East, Hamilton is averaging 24.5 points across two games, while Toronto has one loss and a narrow one-point win over Montreal in its division.

As long as the Tiger-Cats take care of the ball, which is something they have struggled with at times this year, they can walk onto BMO Field and unseat the Argos with a dominant performance from their passing attack.

Pick: Tiger-Cats team total Over 22.5 (-110 at DraftKings)

CFL parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed this week’s CFL Tiger-Cats vs. Argonauts picks, you could win $66.54 on a $10 bet?

Use our CFL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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