The B.C. Lions head east to face the Toronto Argonauts this afternoon at BMO Field, with kickoff set for 3 p.m. ET on TSN.
With the latest injury news surrounding Chad Kelly helping move this spread to B.C. -2.5, my Lions vs. Argonauts predictions and CFL picks are riding the market movement and backing the Leos to stay hot on Saturday, Oct. 3.
Who will win Lions vs Argonauts: Lions -2.5 (-130)
Toronto Argonauts quarterback Chad Kelly has officially been ruled out after being limited in late-week practice due to an injury to his throwing hand.
With a home playoff game already clinched, there was little reason for the Argos to start Kelly this afternoon, especially with Montreal pulling away for first place in the East Division.
Toronto is essentially locked into the second seed with four games remaining in the regular season. Meanwhile, the BC Lions are still fighting tooth and nail for a home playoff game, deadlocked with Saskatchewan at 8-7 entering Week 18, with Winnipeg and Calgary close behind.
The Lions have rattled off seven wins over their last nine games, with Nathan Rourke & Co. reaching 30+ points in six of those contests. With a heavy disparity in motivation, taking B.C. on the spread is playable to -3.5.
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Lions vs Argonauts total prediction: Under 64.5 (-110)
After getting torched through the first few weeks of the season, the Lions' defence has really clamped down under DC Mike Benevides. B.C. now ranks third in points allowed per game while surrendering a league-best 3.8 yards per rush.
I expect B.C. to put up plenty of points, but Toronto will have a tough time doing its part to push this total Over 64.5 without Kelly — a number the Argos haven't eclipsed in their last 11 games.
Playable to 62.5.
COVERS INTEL: In the last eight head-to-head matchups between these teams (dating back to 2022), the total has never closed above 60.Lions vs Argonauts same-game parlay
While Nick Arbuckle has proven to be a serviceable backup in the CFL, the Argos went 5-13 with Chad Kelly sidelined for the entire 2025 season.
Toronto also loses much of its big-play explosiveness without Kelly under center, while the Lions have been among the CFL's best at pushing the ball downfield, averaging 7.57 yards per play — second only to Montreal.
Along with taking the Under 64.5, this SGP is playable to +150.
Lions vs Argonauts SGP
- Lions moneyline
- Under 64.5
Lions vs Argonauts weather
This afternoon in Toronto is expected to be cool and dry, with temperatures around 16°C at kickoff.
Lions vs Argonauts odds
- Spread: Lions -2.5 (-130) | Argonauts +2.5 (+100)
- Moneyline: Lions -170 | Argonauts +142
- Over/Under: Over 64.5 (-110) | Under 64.5 (-110)
Lions vs Argonauts key injuries
Lions: Levi Bell DL (Out), Nathan Cherry DL (Out), David Gusta DL (Out).
Argonauts: Chad Kelly QB (Out).
Lions vs Argonauts trend
The Under has cashed in three of the last four meetings between B.C. and Toronto.
How to watch Lions vs Argonauts and game info
| Location | BMO Field, Toronto, ON |
| Date | Saturday, Oct. 3, 2026 |
| Kick-off | 3 p.m. ET |
| TV | TSN |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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