Lions vs Elks Prediction, Picks & Odds for CFL Western Final

Trevor Knapp - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Trevor Knapp • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 6, 2026 , 10:00 AM ET • 4 min read

A BC team firing on all cylinders is set to quiet the Edmonton faithful on Saturday night.

Lions vs Elks Predictions. BC Lions quarterback Nathan Rourke (12) and Edmonton Elks running back Justin Rankin (5).
Photo By - Reuters Connect. BC Lions quarterback Nathan Rourke (12) and Edmonton Elks running back Justin Rankin (5).

With a trip to the Grey Cup on the line, the BC Lions and Edmonton Elks square off on Saturday at Commonwealth Stadium in Edmonton, with the Elks entering as slight 1.5-point favorites in the Western Final. 

After BC came up just short in last year's divisional championship, my Lions vs. Elks predictions and CFL picks expect the reigning MOP to lead the road team to a win on Nov. 7, with kickoff set for 6:30 p.m. ET on TSN. 

Who will win Lions vs Elks: Lions moneyline (+105)

The BC Lions are 8-2 SU over their last 10 head-to-head meetings against the Edmonton Elks, and Nathan Rourke and the Lions' offence have been unstoppable lately. 

Since September, Rourke boasts a 120.7 passer rating over the course of seven starts, with a 14:2 TD-to-INT ratio and a 68.9% completion percentage.

Edmonton's lone win in the season series came by just two points, largely thanks to Rourke's early exit with a shoulder injury on the second offensive play. 

Fresh off a 33-26 win over the defending champion Roughriders in the Western Semi-Final, the Leos are playable to +100.

Covers COVERS INTEL: BC was the CFL’s least-penalized team in 2026, averaging 6.1 penalties per game, while Edmonton led the league with 8.8 per game.

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Lions vs Elks total prediction: Under 57.5 (-108)

Seven of the last 10 meetings between BC and Edmonton have stayed under the total, with those contests averaging only 45.7 points per game.

After leading the league in rushing attempts, the Elks’ offence will also be in for a rude awakening against a Lions stop unit that boasted the CFL’s top-ranked run D, limiting opponents to just 4.4 yards per carry.

I’m expecting shorter drives from Edmonton and a more methodical approach from Rourke & Co., keeping this one below the 57.5 total.

Playable down to 56.5.

Lions vs Elks same-game parlay

First-year Lions linebacker Darnell Sankey was just named Defensive Player of the Year, and he's spearheading a BC defense that will shut down Edmonton's ground game.

Both teams finished the season 8-11 to the O/U, and a chilly night in Edmonton has me backing the Under.

Lions vs Elks SGP

  • Lions moneyline
  • Under 57.5

Lions vs Elks weather

It will be mostly cloudy Saturday night, with temperatures ranging from 4°C to 7°C and only a 2% chance of precipitation.

Lions vs Elks odds

  • Spread: Lions -1.5 | Elks +1.5
  • Moneyline: Lions +105 | Elks -125
  • Over/Under: Over 57.5 (-112) | Under 57.5 (-108)

Lions vs Elks key injuries

Lions: DL Levi Bell, DL T.J. Burke, WR Nick Cenacle, DL Nathan Cherry, WR Nate Demontagnac, DB Jett Elad, DL David Gusta, LB Adam Konar, LB Parker McKenna, WR Seven McGee, DB Garry Peters, DB Patrice Rene, LB Darnell Sankey, DL Matt Spatny, DB Stantley Thomas-Oliver.
Elks: LB Nick Anderson, OL David Beard, DL DK Bonhomme, DL Jared Brinkman, OL Brett Boyko, DL Malik Carney, LB Joel Dublanko, DB Tyrell Ford, DB Chelen Garnes, DL Silas Hubert, DB Kordell Jackson, WR Carter Kettyle, OL Mark Korte, WR Austin Mack, LB Brock Mogensen, OL Jordan Murray, OL Carter O'Donnell, FB Jacob Plamondon, RB ShunDerrick Powell, RB Justin Rankin, DB JJ Ross, DL Noah Taylor, DB Ladarius Tennison, DB Lenny Johnson.

Lions vs Elks trend

BC is 7-3 ATS over its last 10 head-to-head meetings against Edmonton. 

How to watch Lions vs Elks and game info

Location Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton, AB
Date Saturday, Nov. 7, 2026
Kick-off 6:30 p.m. ET
TV TSN

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Trevor Knapp - Covers
Betting Analyst

Trevor joined the Covers content team as a publishing editor in early 2022. Growing up in Vancouver, he studied Broadcast and Online Journalism at the British Columbia Institute of Technology (BCIT), and interned with TSN and Sportsnet Radio while also writing for the Daily Hive.

An avid bettor of the MLB, NFL, and CFL, Trevor advises his fellow sports bettors to leave their hearts at the door and not hesitate to fade their favorite team. It's a strategy he follows regularly as an apathetic Indianapolis Colts and Toronto Blue Jays fan.

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