Week 16 in the CFL kicks off on Friday night with a pivotal East Division battle between the Montreal Alouettes and Toronto Argonauts.
After Toronto quarterback Nick Arbuckle was ruled out with a calf injury, the spread shifted from Montreal -2.5 to -6.5. With the Als coming off their best performance of the year, my Alouettes vs. Argonauts predictions are following the line movement.
Here are my best free CFL picks for this clash on September 19.
Alouettes vs Argonauts prediction
My Alouettes vs Argonauts pick: Alouettes -6.5 (-120 at BET99)
The Montreal Alouettes are coming off a huge 48-31 victory on the road against the first-place Roughriders.
The Alouettes were unable to contain Saskatchewan's explosive attack, but I expect their defense to bounce back on Friday. Montreal is fourth in the league in sacks while allowing the second-fewest yards per pass attempt (8.24).
The only positive about the Toronto Argonauts this season has been the play of quarterback Nick Arbuckle. Unfortunately, Arbuckle has been ruled out, and with Chad Kelly still recovering, the QB duties will fall to Jarret Doege.
Doege has just one start in the CFL, back in 2023 when he played for Edmonton and completed 19 of 33 passes for 223 yards with three interceptions. Behind a poor offensive line and with a non-existent run game, Doege will struggle against this Als stop unit.
On the other side of the ball, Toronto is allowing a league-high 32.1 points per game while also ranking last in the CFL in yards allowed per pass (9.80).
The Als have struggled to throw the ball without starting quarterback Davis Alexander, but backup McLeod Bethel-Thompson came off the IL last week and impressed. The vet completed 20 of 26 passes for 379 yards, and with Montreal's WR corps now healthy, he should take advantage of a leaky Argos secondary.
Alouettes vs Argonauts same-game parlay (SGP)
Alouettes -6.5
Under 50.5
The Argos have been an Over machine, but with Arbuckle out, I'm expecting that trend to turn around, especially against an Als squad that had been cashing Under tickets before last week.
While I'm betting on MBT to move the ball well enough to cover the spread, there will be some regression with his numbers. After all, wideout Tyson Philpot isn't going to rack up 238 receiving yards every week.
Bet on the CFL at BET99!
One of Canada's best sportsbooks for football betting, join BET99 and get up to $800 bonus bets back if your first bet doesn’t win when using our BET99 promo code COVERSBONUS!
*Not available in Ontario. 19+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Alouettes vs Argonauts odds
Alouettes vs Argonauts live odds
Alouettes vs Argonauts opening odds
- Spread: Montreal -2.5 | Toronto +2.5
- Moneyline: Montreal -125 | Toronto +105
- Over/Under: Over 51.5 | Under 51.5
Alouettes vs Argonauts trend
The Under is 6-2-1 in Montreal's last nine games.
How to watch Alouettes vs Argonauts and game info
| Location | BMO Field, Toronto, ON |
| Date | Friday, September 19, 2025 |
| Kick-off | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | TSN |
Alouettes vs Argonauts key injuries
Alouettes: Davis Alexander QB (Out), Dionte Ruffin CB (Out), Ciante Evans CB (Out), Arthur Hamlin S (Out).
Argonauts: Nick Arbuckle (Out), Chad Kelly QB (Out), Davaris Daniels WR (Out), Damonte Coxie WR (Out), Miyan Williams RB (Out), Sage Doxtater G (Out).
Alouettes vs Argonauts weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
