Today's NCAAB Picks

NC State NC State Logo at Marquette Logo Marquette
Pick - Prop
Tyler Kolek o7.5 Assists (-160)

NC State has struggled mightily defensively against pick-and-roll sets. It's in the bottom 28% of college basketball defensively and one of the worst in the ACC. This is one of the few offenses that the Pack have faced amid their run that is going to make big man DJ Burns defend in space. Nine out of 10 times, Kolek will make the correct read when he drags him away from the basketball on those high-ball screens. 

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Chris Hatfield - Pick Made 1 day, 14 hrs, 41 min ago.

Best Odds -160
Payout
NC State NC State Logo at Marquette Logo Marquette
Pick - Parlay
Mohamed Diarra SGP Over 8.5 Points + Over 10.5 Rebounds (+210)

Diarra has grabbed 12 or more rebounds in six straight games while averaging 11.7 points. Player projections call for almost 11 points and 13 rebounds from NC State’s standout forward in the Sweet 16. Diarra faces a Marquette frontcourt that hasn’t been great on the glass, sitting 287th in rebound rate. His points and rebounding props are heavily juiced to the Over and you can find Over 19.5 points + rebounds at -120. However, given the matchup and forecast, this SGP on Diarra provides plenty of pop at +210.

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Jason Logan - Pick Made 1 day, 14 hrs, 4 min ago.

Best Odds +210
Payout
NC State NC State Logo at Marquette Logo Marquette
Pick - Prop
D.J. Burns u14.5 Points (+100)

D.J. Burns has captured the nation with his play during NC State's Sweet 16 run and has been on fire since the postseason began in the ACC tournament. “The Dancing Bear” is averaging 16.6 points in just over 24 minutes of floor time. He’s coming off his second-highest scoring effort of the season, with 24 points in the overtime win against Oakland. That showing and Burns’ exploding popularity has his scoring prop for Friday’s Sweet 16 at 14.5 points O/U with the Over juiced to -135. This could be the perfect time to buy back the Under on Burns. On the season, Burns averaged 12.8 points per game and scored 15 points or more in only four of 20 conference contest before catching fire in the ACC tournament (in which he put up 15-plus in three of five games). Marquette is sound defensively and player projections have Burns forecasted for less than 15 in about 25 minutes of play.

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Jason Logan - Pick Made 1 day, 13 hrs, 51 min ago.

Best Odds +100
Payout
Gonzaga Gonzaga Logo at Purdue Logo Purdue
Pick - Total
Gonzaga at Purdue o154 (-110)

These teams combined for just 136 points when they clashed in November but expect far more scoring this time. Keep in mind that they went a combined 10-49 (20.4%) from deep in that contest and had 26 turnovers. Since both sides typically shoot lights out from the arc and limit turnovers while neither team defends threes well or pressures ball-handlers, positive regression is likely. Purdue is third in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency while Gonzaga is seventh and the Zags love to push the pace. Their transition offense and cutters will be tough for Purdue to stop but they won't have any answer inside for Zach Edey (24.5 ppg on 62.3 FG%). The O/U is still available at 154 with KenPom projecting a total of 158 and Bart Torvik projecting 159.

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Rohit Ponnaiya - Pick Made 2 days, 15 hrs, 36 min ago.

Duke Duke Logo at Houston Logo Houston
Pick - Prop
Jared McCain u13.5 Points (-115)

Jared McCain's 3-point prop for Friday’s Sweet 16 game has the Under 2.5 makes at -170, which doesn’t bode well for this point total either. In the 20 games in which he made two or fewer 3-pointers, McCain has scored 14 or more points only three times and averaged just 9.65 points in those contests. Before making eight triples against JMU, McCain wasn’t shooting the ball that well coming into the NCAA. He went 2 for 6 in the Round of 64 win over Vermont and finished with 15 points and was 0 for 3 on triples in the ACC tournament loss to NC State. The Cougars get their heels above the 3-point arc and allow foes to fire at just a 30% clip, giving up only 6.1 makes from distance per outing. The Under 13.5 points for McCain is priced as high as -125 but you can get a discount at -115 at bet365.

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Jason Logan - Pick Made 1 day, 9 hrs, 59 min ago.

Best Odds -115
Payout
Duke Duke Logo at Houston Logo Houston
Pick - Prop
Mark Mitchell o9.5 Points (-107)

When the going gets tough, Mitchell gets going. The 6-foot-9 sophomore isn’t breaking down checks one-on-one or draining step-back jumpers. He’s finishing at the rim, grabbing offensive boards for putbacks, and getting to the foul line. For everything the Cougars do well on defense, allowing offensive rebounds and sending teams to the line are two of the softer spots for UH. Mitchell is second on the Dukies in free-throw attempts (shooting 63% from the foul line) and averaged 2.3 offensive rebounds an outing. He averages more than 12 points on the season and has put up 10 or more in 18 of his previous 25 games. He’s played heavier minutes in the postseason and Mitchell projects for more than 10 points versus Houston.

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Jason Logan - Pick Made 1 day, 9 hrs, 55 min ago.

Duke Duke Logo at Houston Logo Houston
Pick - Prop
Tyrese Proctor o3.5 Assists (-105)

While the Cougars don’t give up many points – and therefore assists – the buckets they do budge on come from passing, leaving UH with an assist-to-FGM rate of 59.5% (350th). Duke, conversely, is at its best when moving the ball to the open man. The Blue Devils sit 42ndin total assists per contest and boast an assist-to-FGM rate of 54.5%. Tyrese Proctor is the guy doing most of the wheeling and dealing for the Dukies. He leads the team with 3.7 assists an outing and at 6-foot-5, he has a huge advantage seeing over the shorter Houston perimeter defenders. Proctor has been logging major minutes at the end of the year, playing the full 40 in closer contests versus NC State (twice) and UNC. Player projections forecast more than 3.5 assists should he play 37 minutes or more Friday. Some sharper books are at -119 on Over 3.5 assists, so we'll take the discount vig.

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Jason Logan - Pick Made 1 day, 9 hrs, 52 min ago.

Best Odds -105
Payout
Creighton Creighton Logo at Tennessee Logo Tennessee
Pick - Prop
Dalton Knecht o20.5 points (-113)

Knecht was named SEC Player of the Year and and averaged 25.5 ppg on 48/42/73 shooting splits during conference play. Knecht struggled against Texas in the second round, going just 1-8 from deep and 4-10 from inside the arc. Despite that off-night he still finished with 18 points and has scored 22+ points in 15 of his last 20 games. The Bluejays do an excellent job of defending the rim but are vulnerable on the perimeter where they don't apply pressure and sit outside the Top 200 at allowing high quality three-pointers. They force foes into a ton of looks from midrange but are below average at defending those shots and Knecht thrives from that area. He ranks in the top 15th percentile of all players in midrange frequency and in the top 10th percentile in midrange efficiency. 

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Rohit Ponnaiya - Pick Made 2 days, 12 hrs, 57 min ago.

Best Odds -113
Payout
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