The Memphis Tigers head to the Super Pit tonight to face the North Texas Mean Green.
Both teams shoot poorly and play hard-nosed defense, which is why my Memphis vs North Texas predictions are betting on a low-scoring game. Here are my best free college basketball picks for this AAC clash on Thursday, February 12.
Memphis vs North Texas prediction
Memphis vs North Texas best bet: Under 137.5 (-110)
These teams combined for just 105 points when they previously clashed on New Year's Eve. The Memphis Tigers are 31st in the country in adjusted defense but 207th in adjusted offense, ranking just 257th in eFG% (49.5%) and 335th in turnover rate.
They'll struggle to score against the North Texas Mean Green, who are ninth in opponent TO rate and 40th in adjusted defense. UNT plays at an extremely slow tempo and shoots even worse than Memphis, ranking 342nd in eFG% (46.1%).
Bart Torvik, KenPom, and Haslametrics are projecting between 126 and 130 points, cementing the Under as the play.
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Memphis vs North Texas same-game parlay
Since we're betting on a low-scoring game, let's also bet the first half Under, which has been cashing consistently for both teams.
David Terrell Jr. is coming off a game where he didn't have a single rebound. However, he had eclipsed 4.5 boards in five of his previous six contests, and Memphis ranks 271st in rebounds allowed per game.
Memphis vs North Texas SGP
- Under 137.5
- First half Under 64
- David Terrell Jr. Over 4.5 rebounds
Our beyond the arc SGP: Can You Dug It?
We get a hefty non-correlated multiplier for parlaying the game total Under with the Over 3.5 assists for Dug McDaniel. The Memphis point guard has dropped 4+ dimes in eight of 11 conference games, including a six-assist performance in the previous clash against UNT.
Memphis vs North Texas SGP
- Under 137.5
- First half Under 64
- David Terrell Jr. Over 4.5 rebounds
- Dug McDaniel Over 3.5 assists
Memphis vs North Texas odds
- Spread: Memphis -1.5 | North Texas +1.5
- Moneyline: Memphis -130 | North Texas +110
- Over/Under: Over 137.5 | Under 137.5
Memphis vs North Texas betting trend to know
The Tigers have cashed the first half Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.20 Units / 32% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for Memphis vs. North Texas.
How to watch Memphis vs North Texas
| Location | The Super Pit, Denton, TX |
| Date | Thursday, February 12, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Memphis vs North Texas key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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