UConn vs Butler Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

The Bulldogs have gotten off to strong starts at home and we're backing them to keep things close early tonight.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Feb 11, 2026 • 13:34 ET • 4 min read

NCAAB

Match starts: 4 hrs
CONN
57 %
BUT
43 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Butler +6.5 (-110) Butler +6.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
UConn Huskies Butler Bulldogs Finley Bizjack college basketball
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Butler guard Finley Bizjack defends in college basketball action.

The No. 6 ranked UConn Huskies head to Indianapolis on Wednesday to face the Butler Bulldogs.

The Huskies are fresh off a loss at St. John's which snapped an 18-game win streak and while they should win tonight, my UConn vs. Butler predictions are fading them on the first half spread. 

See why in my best free college basketball picks for this Big East clash for February 11.

UConn vs Butler prediction

UConn vs Butler best bet: Butler 1H +6.5 (-110)

There's a narrative that you don't want to fade Dan Hurley after a loss but the data doesn't support that with the UConn Huskies 13-18 ATS in this spot since 2022. 

The Butler Bulldogs are 4-9 in conference play and lost 79-60 in Storrs on December 16. That said, ShotQualityBets projected a much closer 76-74 UConn win.

Expect a better performance from the Bulldogs at home where they are 9-4 with an impressive 55.2 eFG%. Even in their defeats at home, they kept things close in the first half which they should do tonight. 

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UConn vs Butler same-game parlay

UConn ranks 314th in opponent free throw rate (41.5%) while Butler forward Michael Ayaji averages 15.8 ppg and is in the top 20th percentile of the country in FT rate (53.6%). His ability to get to the line will help him eclipse his points total.

Huskies center Tarris Reed Jr. averages 14.0 ppg on 64 FG% and he should feast inside against Butler's poor interior defense.

UConn vs Butler SGP

  • Butler 1H +6.5
  • Michael Ayaji Over 13.5 points
  • Tarris Reed Jr. Over 13.5 points

Our beyond the arc SGP: Scrappy Bulldogs Cover

Let's also back Butler on the full game spread while betting UConn on the ML, to ramp this SGP payout to +1050.

UConn vs Butler SGP

  • Butler 1H +6.5
  • Butler +11
  • UConn ML
  • Michael Ayaji Over 13.5 points
  • Tarris Reed Jr. Over 13.5 points

UConn vs Butler odds

  • Spread: UConn -11 | Butler +11
  • Moneyline: UConn -750 | Butler +525
  • Over/Under: Over 144.5 | Under 144.5

UConn vs Butler betting trend to know

The Bulldogs have covered the first half spread in five of their last seven home games (+2.65 Units / 33% ROI) while the Huskies are 15-21 ATS in the first half in their previous 36 contests. Find more college basketball betting trends for UConn vs. Butler.

How to watch UConn vs Butler

Location Hinkle Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
Date Wednesday, February 11, 2026
Tip-off 7:30 p.m. ET
TV TNT

UConn vs Butler key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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