The No. 6 UConn Huskies travel to Indianapolis on Wednesday to take on the Butler Bulldogs.
UConn is coming off a loss at St. John’s that ended an 18-game winning streak, and while they’re still expected to win, my UConn vs. Butler predictions fade them on the first-half spread.
See why in my best free college basketball picks for this Big East clash for February 11.
UConn vs Butler prediction
UConn vs Butler best bet: Butler 1H +6.5 (-110)
There's a narrative that you don't want to fade Dan Hurley after a loss but the data doesn't support that with the UConn Huskies 13-18 ATS in this spot since 2022.
The Butler Bulldogs are 4-9 in conference play and lost 79-60 in Storrs on December 16. That said, ShotQualityBets projected a much closer 76-74 UConn win.
Expect a better performance from the Bulldogs at home where they are 9-4 with an impressive 55.2 eFG%. Even in their defeats at home, they kept things close in the first half which they should do tonight.
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UConn vs Butler same-game parlay
UConn ranks 314th in opponent free throw rate (41.5%) while Butler forward Michael Ayaji averages 15.8 ppg and is in the top 20th percentile of the country in FT rate (53.6%). His ability to get to the line will help him eclipse his points total.
Huskies center Tarris Reed Jr. averages 14.0 ppg on 64 FG% and he should feast inside against Butler's poor interior defense.
UConn vs Butler SGP
- Butler 1H +6.5
- Michael Ayaji Over 13.5 points
- Tarris Reed Jr. Over 13.5 points
Our beyond the arc SGP: Scrappy Bulldogs Cover
Let's also back Butler on the full game spread while betting UConn on the ML, to ramp this SGP payout to +1050.
UConn vs Butler SGP
- Butler 1H +6.5
- Butler +11
- UConn ML
- Michael Ayaji Over 13.5 points
- Tarris Reed Jr. Over 13.5 points
UConn vs Butler odds
- Spread: UConn -11 | Butler +11
- Moneyline: UConn -750 | Butler +525
- Over/Under: Over 144.5 | Under 144.5
UConn vs Butler betting trend to know
The Bulldogs have covered the first half spread in five of their last seven home games (+2.65 Units / 33% ROI) while the Huskies are 15-21 ATS in the first half in their previous 36 contests. Find more college basketball betting trends for UConn vs. Butler.
How to watch UConn vs Butler
| Location | Hinkle Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN |
| Date | Wednesday, February 11, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | TNT |
UConn vs Butler key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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