MLB Daily Line Drive: September 14 picks, betting odds and analysis

Sep 14, 2018 |

The A's are breathing down the Yankees' necks for the top AL Wild Card spot, but luckily for the Bronx Bombers they welcome the Blue Jays to town and while the Rockies may be out of Colorado we're still looking at their total, but the question is Over or Under? We break down the complete schedule with in-depth analysis, tips and picks in today's edition of MLB Daily Line Drive.

Double-Play Picks

Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees (-270, 9)

The Yankees got a little lucky last night as the A’s dropped a surprising decision to the Orioles last night, extending their lead over Oakland for top spot in the American League Wild race to 1.5-games.

The Bronx Bombers will try to extend that lead when they open a three-game weekend series with the Blue Jays. Luckily for them, the Blue Jays have been terrible against the big boys in the AL East going just 8-27 when facing the Red Sox or Yankees and things aren’t lining up for them well in this one.

They’ll have to face Masahiro Tanaka, who has dominated the Jays over the course of his career, pitching to a 2.86 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in 16 starts.

The Jays, who are also just 2-11 in their last 13 road games, counter with Marco Estrada. It’s been a rough year for the veteran right-hander, pitching to the worst ERA (5.32) and WHIP (1.39) since he became a regular Major Leaguer. He also has a 5.79 and 1.33 WHIP in eight career games (seven starts) at Yankee Stadium.

The Blue Jays are just experimenting with young guys all over the roster at this point, while the Yankees need to keep winning to avoid a Wild Card game in Oakland. Lay the -1.5 tonight.

Pick: Yankees -1.5 (-140)

Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants (+120, 7.5)

As most of you know by now, we have been hammering the Under in Rockies home games (we got a little reprieve yesterday with Clay Buchholz getting scratched at the last minute) but on the road all bets are off, especially when we see a number we like.

The Rockies open a three-game set in San Francisco tonight where lefty Tyler Anderson will toe the rubber against the Giants right-hander Chris Stratton.

Anderson has been inconsistent for the Rockies this season, pitching to a 4.89 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP this season. On the road those numbers bump up to 5.37 and 1.37 respectively.

Stratton meanwhile, has essentially been as inconsistent as Anderson. Despite being on an OK run right now, he still owns a 4.99 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP this season.

So, with those starting pitchers, this total seems a little puzzling, even despite the Giants current 11-game slump, where they are scoring just 2.6 runs per game. But during that slump they faced Anderson in Colorado in a game they lost 9-8.

The Rockies can hit and can maybe get over this number themselves. Even just two runs from the Giants should easily be enough to clear the number.

Pick: Over 7.5

Yesterday’s picks: 0-1
Season Record: 155-158-4

For more FREE picks and analysis head over to our Free Picks page on Covers Experts.

Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking: Cole Hamels, Chicago Cubs (9-9, 3.71 ERA, $338)

Hamels finally wasn’t lights out for the Cubs in his last start, but it was no where near bad enough to not call him our streaking starter for the day.

Hamels allowed three runs on just three hits last time out, but his numbers since joining Chicago are still spectacular. The south paw’s ERA is an outstanding 1.42 with a WHIP of 1.05. He and the Cubs host Matt Harvey and the Reds tonight, where Chicago is currently a -213 home fave.

Slumping: Zach Eflin, Philadelphia Phillies (9-7, 4.42 ERA, $61)

It seems like all of the Phillies started slumping at about the same time and have seen their postseason hopes all but fade off into the sunset.

The Phillies have lost Eflin’s last four starts, where he owns an ERA of 7.71 and a WHIP of 2.04 while allowing opponents to get on base at a .414 clip. Eflin and the Phillies are currently -170 home favorites for tonight’s matchup with the Marlins.

Friday's Top Consensus

Here are the top side and total plays according to the public in our Covers Consensus. Get up-to-the-minute consensus data for every game here.

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