The 2026 Kentucky Derby odds saw a long shot prevail in 23-1 Golden Tempo, who narrowly beat morning-line favorite Renegade.
With the Kentucky Derby results now in the books, the attention of the horse racing world turns to the Preakness Stakes odds.
🏇 Latest 2026 Kentucky Derby odds
Here's a look at what the 2026 Kentucky Derby odds looked like the morning of the race.
| Post | Horse | Track odds |  |
My Take |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Renegade | 4-1 | +400 | AR Derby win was strong, post draw was brutal. |
| 2 | Albus | 30-1 | +3000 | Wnr of slow Wood Memorial. |
| 3 | Intrepido | 50-1 | +5000 | G1 wnr at two trending wrong way. |
| 4 | Litmus Test | 50-1 | +5000 | Dismal 7th in AR Derby. |
| 6 | Commandment | 6-1 | +600 | FL Derby champ has won four straight. |
| 7 | Danon Bourbon | 20-1 | +2000 | 3-for-3, Fukuryu S. victor. |
| 8 | So Happy | 15-1 | +1500 | Turned tables on Potente in SA Derby. |
| 10 | Wonder Dean | 30-1 | +3000 | Another JPN wnr in UAE Derby gets true class test. |
| 11 | Incredibolt | 20-1 | +2000 | Took VA Derby after Holy Bull S. flop. |
| 12 | Chief Wallabee | 8-1 | +800 | Close losses in FoY & FL Derby, blinkers on. |
| 14 | Potente | 20-1 | +2000 | San Felipe wnr, 2nd in SA Derby. |
| 15 | Emerging Market | 15-1 | +1500 | Won LA Derby, but has only raced twice. |
| 16 | Pavlovian | 30-1 | +3000 | Sunland Derby wnr, 2nd in LA Derby. |
| 17 | Six Speed | 50-1 | +5000 | Well-beaten 2nd in UAE Derby |
| 18 | Further Ado | 6-1 | +600 | Dominated Blue Grass S, form outside KEE so-so. |
| 19 | Golden Tempo | 30-1 | +3000 | LA Derby 3rd behind Emerging Market was telling. |
| 21 | Great White | 50-1 | +5000 | Alternates firsts with fifths, which version shows up? |
| 22 | Ocelli | 50-1 | +5000 | Maiden in way over his head. |
| 23 | Robusta | 50-1 | +5000 | Unable to repeat surprise San Felipe 2nd in SA Derby. |
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🌹 Kentucky Derby favorites as of today
Renegade (+400)
Renegade lost each of his first three starts as a two-year-old, but his sophomore season has started fast with a win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes, followed by a sharp score in the Arkansas Derby.
The sire is Into Mischief, not a respected distance influence, but that didn't seem to bother 2025 Kentucky Derby champ Sovereignty. However, Sovereignty did not have to overcome the rail draw, which is winless since 1986 (Ferdinand).
Commandment (+600)
Brad Cox is looking to cross the finish line first at the Kentucky Derby with Commandment, a winner of four straight races.
The pedigree doesn't scream distance, yet the Florida Derby winner just seems to keep improving as the races get longer.
Further Ado (+600)
Further Ado had a memorable two-year-old season, breaking his maiden by 20 lengths at Keeneland before returning to take the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes at Churchill Downs. He was laid up until the Tampa Bay Derby, where he ran second to The Puma, who returned to be a solid second in the Florida Derby.
Further Ado aced the Blue Grass Stakes at Keeneland by 11 lengths when last seen, giving Cox a solid one-two punch for the Derby along with Commandment.
The Puma scratches, bringing Derby field down to 19
The Puma is the fourth (and hopefully final) scratch from the body of the field in as many days ahead of the Kentucky Derby.
The Puma has scratched from the Kentucky Derby. pic.twitter.com/aZWyOgCMko
— Kentucky Derby (@KentuckyDerby) May 2, 2026
"We discovered some swelling in his leg due to a skin infection," trainer Gustavo Delgado told reporters. "It's incredibly disappointing but the swelling should go down within a day or two. It's just really bad timing."
Also-eligibles No. 21 Great White, No. 22 Ocelli, and No. 23 Robusta all will run. No. 24 Corona de Oro was unable to draw into the race before the official scratch time of 9:00 a.m. ET Friday.
Kentucky Derby odds biggest movers
- Renegade is a tepid +500 co-favorite with So Happy and Commandment in the early wagering for the Kentucky Derby, but there's still over $7.4 million in the win pool.
- Long shots taking action include Danon Bourbon (+2000 to +1400), Wonder Dean (+3000 to +2200), and Great White (+5000 to +2300).
Kentucky Derby prediction: Danon Bourbon (+2000)
Danon Bourbon is Japan's best chance to score its elusive first Kentucky Derby victory.
The speedy son of Maxfield is a perfect 3-for-3 lifetime, highlighted by a convincing win in the Fukuryu Stakes.
Danon Bourbon posted the fastest winning time in this key Derby prep in over 20 years.
Kentucky Derby odds over time
Want to keep track of your 2026 Kentucky Derby predictions — or looking to host a Kentucky Derby betting pool? Use our printable Kentucky Derby odds sheet to keep track of all your wagers this weekend!
Who won the Kentucky Derby, and what were the odds?
Although the Kentucky Derby favorite dominated at Churchill Downs from 2013 to 2018, Country House won the Run for the Roses in 2019 as the second-biggest underdog in Derby history at 65/1. Just three years later, Rich Strike surpassed Country House when he won the "Run for the Roses" at 80/1.
Here are the winners of the Kentucky Derby since 2000, their post positions, and their final odds.
| Year | Kentucky Derby Winner | Post Position | Final Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Golden Tempo | 16 | 23/1 |
| 2025 | Sovereignty | 16 | 7/1 |
| 2024 | Mystik Dan | 3 | 18/1 |
| 2023 | Mage | 8 | 14/1 |
| 2022 | Rich Strike | 20 | 80/1 |
| 2021 | Medina Spirit | 8 | 12/1 |
| 2020 | Authentic | 18 | 8/1 |
| 2019 | Country House | 20 | 65/1 |
| 2018 | Justify | 7 | 5/2 |
| 2017 | Always Dreaming | 5 | 9/2 |
| 2016 | Nyquist | 13 | 2/1 |
| 2015 | American Pharoah | 18 | 5/2 |
| 2014 | California Chrome | 5 | 5/2 |
| 2013 | Orb | 16 | 5/1 |
| 2012 | I'll Have Another | 19 | 15/1 |
| 2011 | Animal Kingdom | 16 | 20/1 |
| 2010 | Super Saver | 4 | 8/1 |
| 2009 | Mine That Bird | 8 | 50/1 |
| 2008 | Big Brown | 20 | 7/2 |
| 2007 | Street Sense | 7 | 9/2 |
| 2006 | Barbaro | 3 | 6/1 |
| 2005 | Giacomo | 10 | 50/1 |
| 2004 | Smarty Jones | 13 | 4/1 |
| 2003 | Funny Cide | 5 | 13/1 |
| 2002 | War Emblem | 5 | 41/2 |
| 2001 | Monarchos | 16 | 21/2 |
| 2000 | Fusaichi Pegasus | 15 | 9/5 |
Kentucky Derby trends
- Since 1995, 85% of Kentucky Derby winners finished in the Top 2 in their final prep race.
- Since 1956, only two Kentucky Derby winners (Animal Kingdom in 2011 and Authentic in 2020, the latter of which was delayed due to COVID-19) won the race off a layoff of six weeks or more.
- No horse has ever won the Kentucky Derby from the No. 17 post position.
Kentucky Derby FAQs
When is the Kentucky Derby?
The 152nd Kentucky Derby will be run at 6:57 p.m. ET on Saturday, May 2, 2026.
Where is the Kentucky Derby held?
The Kentucky Derby has been held at Churchill Downs in Louisville, KY every year since its inception in 1875.
Who is the Kentucky Derby favorite?
Arkansas Derby winner Renegade is the +400 morning-line favorite in the 2026 Kentucky Derby.
How often does the betting favorite win the Kentucky Derby?
The favorite has won the Kentucky Derby 40 of the last 117 times since pari-mutuel wagering was introduced in 1908, good for a 34.2% clip. The favorite has placed in the Top 3 74 times in that span for an "in-the-money" success rate of 63.3%.
What are the best bets to make in the Kentucky Derby?
The best bet to make in the Kentucky Derby will depend on how risky you want to be. You can play it safe and bet a single horse to win, place (finish first or second), or show (finish first, second, or third), or you can play "exotic" wagers like the exacta (Top 2 finishers in exact order), trifecta (Top 3 in exact order), or superfecta (Top 4 in exact order). The more difficult a wager is to hit, the more it will pay off.
