Premier League Title Odds 2025–26: Arsenal Shorten After Man City Slip

Chris Vasile - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Vasile • Betting Analyst 13+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 5, 2026 , 01:16 PM ET • 4 min read

The title race may be all but over as a Man City slip-up gives Arsenal a seven-point lead with eight matches remaining.

Arsenal's Bukayo Saka celebrates scoring their first goal.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Arsenal's Bukayo Saka celebrates scoring their first goal.

The latest Premier League odds paint a picture that Arsenal supporters are going to love. 

After beating Brighton 1-0, Arsenal watched on as Man City dropped points at home to Nottingham Forest, which in turn, pushed their lead to seven points with eight games remaining. 

Premier League Title odds 2025-26

Team Sports Interaction Implied Probability
Arsenal Arsenal -455 81.97%
Manchester City Man City +350 22.22%

Bet Premier League futures at Sports Interaction.

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Market snapshot

A closer look at the betting market

The title race is tilting in favor of Arsenal.

Arsenal’s odds have shortened from -164 to -455 after picking up a massive away win at Brighton in midweek. Manchester City's odds have lengthened from +137 to +350, following a home draw vs. struggling Nottingham Forest.

While Man City do have a game in hand on the Gunners, a seven-point lead with eight remaining is one surely not even Arsenal could bottle. 

Past Premier League champions

Liverpool clinched their second Premier League title in 2024-25. Here are the previous Premier League Champions over the last 12 years:

Season Premier League Champion Runner-up
2024-25 Liverpool Arsenal
2023-24 Manchester City Arsenal
2022-23 Manchester City Arsenal
2021-22 Manchester City Liverpool
2020-21 Manchester City Manchester United
2019-20 Liverpool Manchester City
2018-19 Manchester City Liverpool
2017-18 Manchester City Manchester United
2016-17 Chelsea Tottenham
2015-16 Leicester City Arsenal
2014-15 Chelsea Manchester City
2013-14 Manchester City Liverpool

Premier League title trends

  1. Manchester City are the only club in history to win four straight Premier League titles. 
  2. Only two clubs have won three consecutive Premier League titles. Manchester United accomplished the three-peat twice in 1999-2001 and in 2007-09, while Manchester City is a four-time defending champion.
  3. Manchester City has won 58% of all Premier League titles awarded since 2014.
  4. The Premier League runners-up have gone on to win the title in the following year 28% of the time.
  5. Only seven clubs have won the Premier League title since its introduction in 1992.

Understanding Premier League betting odds

Premier League futures odds are constantly adjusted throughout the offseason due to player transfers and injuries. Once the season begins, title odds will change as teams win and lose games and as more players get hurt or suspended. Sportsbooks will also adjust PL odds based on handle and liability to certain teams.

Premier League futures odds will usually look like this:

Man City +175

This means that on a $100 bet, you'll stand to win $350 if Man City wins the Premier League. If it's close to the end of the competition, or a club has been particularly dominant, you might see them with a minus sign (-) ahead of their odds. 

Arsenal -120

This means that you would need to bet $120 to win just $100 on an Arsenal championship.

Above, we have posted the American odds for the Premier League. However, these are easy to convert to decimal odds or fractional odds with our odds converter tool.

Premier League Odds FAQs

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Chris Vasile Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Chris Vasile is a betting analyst with over 13 years of experience breaking down soccer betting markets, with additional coverage across the WNBA and NFL. He focuses on finding numbers that are slow to adjust — whether it’s due to scheduling spots, player usage, or recent form — and explaining why a line is worth playing. His work has appeared across major betting and sports media platforms, including Covers, VSiN, BetMGM Network, and SportsGrid, where he’s delivered sharp analysis on both mainstream and niche markets. At Covers, he contributes to major tournament coverage and daily betting content, with a particular focus on soccer. He also runs the Game Day Wagers YouTube channel, where he shares daily picks and betting insights tailored for serious bettors.

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