Premier League Odds 2026-27: Arsenal Begin Their Title Defense as Favorites

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 17, 2026 , 12:24 PM ET • 4 min read

Arsenal finally broke through last season, ending a 22-year wait for Premier League glory. Now the Gunners are favored to defend their crown against the likes of Man City and Liverpool.

Gabriel Magalhães Declan Rice Arsenal EPL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Gabriel Magalhães (L) and Declan Rice of Arsenal celebrate with the Community Shield.

For years, Arsenal were the hunters. Now they're the hunted.

The Gunners ended a 22-year title drought last season, and open the 2026-27 Premier League campaign as 44% favorites to repeat as champions. Manchester City (20%) remain close behind, while Liverpool (13%), Chelsea (12%), and Manchester United (10%) lurk as potential challengers.

With another title race set to unfold, let's break down the latest Premier League odds and where the betting value may lie.

Premier League Title odds 2026-27

 

Team Name Kalshi
Probability
Arsenal Arsenal 44%
Manchester City Manchester City 20%
Liverpool Liverpool 13%
Chelsea Chelsea 12%
Manchester United Manchester United 10%
Tottenham Tottenham 4%
Aston Villa Aston Villa 3%

Odds as of 8-17. Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
Kalshi is a regulated financial exchange where you trade on real-world event outcomes. Instead of traditional odds, prices are listed as percentages (0-100%), representing the market’s estimated probability of an event occurring.

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Market snapshot

A closer look at the betting market

After lifting their first league trophy since 2004, Arsenal open the 2026-27 campaign as 44% favorites to repeat as champions, solidified by a recent victory over Manchester City (20%) in the Community Shield. Man City still remains firmly in the hunt, while Liverpool (13%), Chelsea (12%), and Manchester United (10%) headline the next tier of contenders.

The market reflects both Arsenal's breakthrough season and the expectation that Mikel Arteta's core can remain among England's elite. However, history suggests defending a Premier League title is never easy, especially with several traditional powers looking to close the gap.

Past Premier League champions

Here are the previous 10 Premier League champions:

Season Premier League champion Runner-up
2025-26 Arsenal Manchester City
2024-25 Liverpool Arsenal
2023-24 Manchester City Arsenal
2022-23 Manchester City Arsenal
2021-22 Manchester City Liverpool
2020-21 Manchester City Manchester United
2019-20 Liverpool Manchester City
2018-19 Manchester City Liverpool
2017-18 Manchester City Manchester United
2016-17 Chelsea Tottenham

Premier League title trends

  • Manchester City are the only club in history to win four straight Premier League titles. 
  • Only two clubs have won three consecutive Premier League titles. Manchester United accomplished the three-peat twice in 1999-2001 and in 2007-09, while Manchester City is a four-time defending champion.
  • Manchester City has won 53% of all Premier League titles awarded since 2014.
  • Only seven clubs have won the Premier League title since its introduction in 1992.

Premier League Odds FAQs

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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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