Premier League Title Odds 2025–26: Arsenal Hold Narrow Lead Over Man City

With the Premier League title race tightening at the top, Arsenal hold a narrow betting edge over Manchester City

Chris Vasile - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Vasile • Betting Analyst
Dec 28, 2025 • 14:13 ET • 4 min read
Martin ODEGAARD of Arsenal FC during the UEFA Champions League.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Martin ODEGAARD of Arsenal FC during the UEFA Champions League.

As the Premier League season approaches the halfway mark, the Premier League title odds have tightened into a clear four-horse race at the top.

Arsenal remain in front of the betting market after a 2–1 win over Brighton, but a looming showdown with Aston Villa — sitting just three points back — adds another layer of pressure as the odds continue to shift.

Here’s how the race stacks up heading into Round 19.

Premier League Title odds 2025-26

Team Sports Interaction Implied Probability
Arsenal Arsenal -120 54.64%
Manchester City Man City +150 40%
Aston Villa Aston Villa +1600 5.88%
Liverpool Liverpool +2800 3.45%

Bet Premier League futures at Sports Interaction.

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Market snapshot

A closer look at the betting market

Arsenal and Manchester City remain the two likeliest title winners based on current pricing, but the narrow gap behind them keeps the door open for challengers. Aston Villa sit just off the top tier of the market, positioning them as a credible outside threat if the race tightens further.

Past Premier League champions

Liverpool clinched their second Premier League title in 2024-25. Here are the previous Premier League Champions over the last 12 years:

Season Premier League Champion Runner-up
2024-25 Liverpool Arsenal
2023-24 Manchester City Arsenal
2022-23 Manchester City Arsenal
2021-22 Manchester City Liverpool
2020-21 Manchester City Manchester United
2019-20 Liverpool Manchester City
2018-19 Manchester City Liverpool
2017-18 Manchester City Manchester United
2016-17 Chelsea Tottenham
2015-16 Leicester City Arsenal
2014-15 Chelsea Manchester City
2013-14 Manchester City Liverpool

Premier League title trends

  1. Manchester City are the only club in history to win four straight Premier League titles. 
  2. Only two clubs have won three consecutive Premier League titles. Manchester United accomplished the three-peat twice in 1999-2001 and in 2007-09, while Manchester City is a four-time defending champion.
  3. Manchester City has won 58% of all Premier League titles awarded since 2014.
  4. The Premier League runners-up have gone on to win the title in the following year 28% of the time.
  5. Only seven clubs have won the Premier League title since its introduction in 1992.

Understanding Premier League betting odds

Premier League futures odds are constantly adjusted throughout the offseason due to player transfers and injuries. Once the season begins, title odds will change as teams win and lose games and as more players get hurt or suspended. Sportsbooks will also adjust PL odds based on handle and liability to certain teams.

Premier League futures odds will usually look like this:

Man City +175

This means that on a $100 bet, you'll stand to win $350 if Man City wins the Premier League. If it's close to the end of the competition, or a club has been particularly dominant, you might see them with a minus sign (-) ahead of their odds. 

Arsenal -120

This means that you would need to bet $120 to win just $100 on an Arsenal championship.

Above, we have posted the American odds for the Premier League. However, these are easy to convert to decimal odds or fractional odds with our odds converter tool.

Premier League Odds FAQs

Pages related to this topic

Chris Vasile Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Chris Vasile has been in the betting industry for well over a decade, honing his craft as a writer, editor, and handicapper. Chris has contributed betting and non-betting content for online publications such as ProSportsDaily and The Hockey Writers, in addition to Covers. With a keen interest in soccer, Chris has been featured on Covers' 'Before You Bet', BetMGM Network, and SportsGrid. He also runs his own YouTube channel — Game Day Wagers.

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