My Valkyries vs. Dream prediction for Game 3 backs Atlanta to take a 2-1 WNBA Finals lead following Angel Reese's historic performance in Game 2.
Reese powered the Dream to a series-tying victory, and I'm going back to the well with Over points props for both her and Allisha Gray as Atlanta looks to protect home court.
My latest WNBA picks also call for Atlanta to grab the series lead in a low-scoring showdown on Wednesday, Oct. 21.
TOP PICK
Valkyries vs Dream prediction: Angel Reese Over 14.5 points
For the third straight game, I'm targeting Angel Reese's points prop. I traded it at 49% on Monday, and I'm willing to trade it at 56% for Game 3, where it still offers solid value based on her recent production.
Reese delivered on her promise to be more aggressive in Game 2, scoring a game-high 30 points on the road. She was a more productive scorer at home during the regular season, but despite that success, her points line hasn't moved from 14.5.
She's scored 15+ points in five of seven playoff games and reached that mark in 28 of 43 regular-season games. Reese's interior presence has been a huge reason for the Atlanta Dream's postseason success. She's getting out in transition, punishing the Golden State Valkyries on the offensive glass, and getting Golden State into foul trouble, with 18 trips to the charity stripe.
COVERS INTEL: Reese has been an analytical standout in the Finals, averaging 14.0 points in the paint, 5.5 fast-break points, 4.5 second-chance points, and 7.0 points off turnovers, leading all players in those categories through Games 1 and 2.
Valkyries vs Dream same-game combo
The Dream and Valkyries went Under in Games 1 and 2, combining for 132 and 144 points, respectively. Golden State has the top-rated defense in the playoffs, while Atlanta ranks third. In the Finals, Atlanta's defense has been suffocating, posting an 85.8 Defensive Rating. Buckets will be tough to come by for both teams in Game 3, and I'll trade this total down to 149.5.
Including the playoffs, the Dream are 17-6 SU as home favorites but just 10-13 ATS in that situation. For that reason, I'm taking Atlanta on the safer moneyline trade rather than backing the 4.5-point spread. The Dream have turned defense into offense, forcing 14 turnovers and converting them into 15 points per game.
Valkyries vs Dream combo
- Angel Reese Over 14.5 points
- Under 151.5
- Dream moneyline
Want more basketball combos? Check out our WNBA parlay picks page!
Valkyries vs Dream player prop: Allisha Gray Over 16.5 points (51%)
Like Reese, Gray has an intriguing points line, and it's risen by only one point despite two straight performances with 17+ points.
Gray led the Dream in regular-season scoring at 19 points per game, posting 17+ points in 29 of 44 appearances. She's carried that production into the playoffs, reaching that mark in all four games she's played while healthy and averaging 20.3 points per game.
Like Reese, Gray has put pressure on Golden State by getting to the free-throw line, converting 15 of 16 attempts and making the Valkyries pay with transition buckets. I'll trade this up to 17.5.
- Top picks: 40-47, -12.07 units
- Combos: 10-77, -22.10 units
Valkyries vs Dream odds
- Spread: Valkyries +4.5 | Dream -4.5
- Moneyline: Valkyries 41% | Dream 60%
- Over/Under: Over 151.5 | Under 151.5
Valkyries vs Dream trend
Golden State and Atlanta have hit the game total Under in six of their last seven head-to-head meetings. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Valkyries vs Dream
| Location | State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA |
| Date | Wednesday, Oct. 21, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | USA Network, CNBC, Peacock |
Valkyries vs Dream latest injuries
Valkyries: None to report.
Dream: None to report.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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