Sky vs Wings Predictions, Picks, Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

Both the Sky and Wings are missing key pieces to their roster to the start the WNBA season, but our WNBA expert believes one Wings guard will carry the load offensively. Find out why Arike Ogunbowale will go over her point total tonight.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
May 15, 2024 • 15:54 ET • 4 min read
Arike Ogunbowale Dallas Wings WNBA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

While much of the preseason attention may have focused on Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever, it can easily be argued the Chicago Sky will enjoy a greater amount of rookie production this season. Angel Reese and Kamilla Cardoso will define Chicago’s interior play for years to come.

But against the Dallas Wings, one particular guard may take advantage of the rookie in the post. Arike Ogunbowale will not hesitate to take shots at Reese's expense; it is how she has made her career.

Let’s back the volume-shooting veteran guard in our free WNBA picks as we dig into Sky vs Wings predictions, with tip on Wednesday, May 15, at 8:00 ET.

Sky vs Wings predictions

My best bet
Arike Ogunbowale Over 20.5 points (-125 at DraftKings)

My analysis
Maybe a few games should pass in this WNBA season before declaring this fact anew, but it was such a truth in 2023 that it would be shocking to see a change in 2024: Just about no one in the WNBA shoots more than Arike Ogunbowale does.

Last year, only three players took more than 615 field goals across the season: Breanna Stewart (680), Ogunbowale (752) and Jewell Loyd (770). The two Notre Dame alums chuck freely and frequently.

Loyd saw her roster change a good bit in the offseason, but Ogunbowale did not. She quite likely will lead the WNBA in shot attempts this year, and she will not start the season slowly in that regard.

Ogunbowale averaged 18.8 field goal attempts in 2023; she took 25 in the first game. She took at least 20 shots in Dallas’s first five games and in nine of its first 11.

She should channel that same energy tonight. Reese will eventually be half of a dynamic twin towers force for Chicago when the latter of which returns from injury. But for now, Reese will be in over her head both mentally and physically tonight.

Ogunbowale should hunt that matchup a decent amount, and the ball will be in her hands. It may not be a quality scoring night, but it will almost certainly be a quantity one.

Sky vs Wings same-game parlay (SGP)

Arike Ogunbowale Over 21.5 points

Chicago Sky +7.5

Under 161.5 points

Dallas could never become a genuine contender in 2023 because Ogunbowale’s scoring was so inefficient. If she got hot, sure, the Wings could have become something. But instead, she shot worse than 40% from the field while averaging 20.2 points.

Too often, Ogunbowale’s shooting kept opponents in games, and that just may be the case tonight, especially if Reese establishes herself in the paint on the offensive side of the court.

Furthermore, the Sky scoring two points at a time and Ogunbowale missing a pile of shots would be two ripe ingredients for an Under, even though combining Ogunbowale’s points prop with the Under inflates this same-game parlay’s payout.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Sky vs Wings odds

Sky vs Wings live odds

Get the latest Sky vs Wings WNBA odds for tonight.

Sky vs Wings opening odds

  • Spread: Chicago +11.5 | Dallas +11.5
  • Moneyline: Chicago +507 | Dallas -704
  • Over/Under: Over 159.5 | Under 159.5

Sky vs Wings spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Some WNBA spreads have been available for a full week, including this one at a few books. Chicago was a 13-point underdog a week ago, a number that began ticking downward on Monday, reaching +10 on Monday afternoon before further steam this morning brought it to +8.
  • Similarly, the total opened last week at 158.5, and was bet up to 160.5 on Sunday. It then largely held steady until this morning, at which point it climbed to 162 and settled at 161.5.
  • In both instances, the Wednesday moves are a sign of sportsbooks finally raising the limits on this game, allowing bigger bets to start enjoying the WNBA action.

Sky vs Wings trend

Ogunbowale averaged 19.7 shots against the Sky in three games last season. Find more WNBA betting trends for Sky vs. Wings.

Sky vs Wings game info

Location: College Park Center, Arlington, TX
Date: Wednesday, May 15, 2024
Tip-off: 8:00 p.m. ET
TV: Bally Southwest

Sky vs Wings latest injuries

Sky: Kamilla Cardoso (out).
Wings: Satou Sabally (out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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