2025 Kentucky Derby Odds: Sovereignty Upsets Journalism

Journalism stamped himself as the horse to beat in the Kentucky Derby odds following his Santa Anita Derby triumph, but he could only manage second as Sovereignty won the 151st Run for the Roses.

Robert Criscola - Contributor at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Publishing Editor
May 4, 2025 • 13:12 ET • 4 min read
Kentucky Derby horse racing Sovereignty
Photo By - Imagn Images. Sovereignty, with Junior Alvarado up, wins the 151st Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on Saturday, May 3, 2025.

The 151st running of the Kentucky Derby ended with a dramatic stretch duel as Sovereignty caught and passed favored Journalism. 

Now attention will be turned to the Preakness Stakes as the Triple Crown trail continues.

Below is what the 2025 Kentucky Derby odds picture looked like. We'll have the odds for the 2026 Kentucky Derby from the top Kentucky Derby betting sites when they go live.

Odds for the 2025 Kentucky Derby horses

Horses are listed here by their Kentucky Derby odds set by Churchill Downs' Mike Battaglia, with their Kentucky Derby post positions on the left.

Post Horse FanDuel * bet365 **
8 Journalism +300 3-1 +300
18 Sovereignty +500 5-1 +500
17 Sandman +600 6-1 +600
9 Burnham Square +1200 12-1 +1200
21 Baeza +1200 12-1 +1200
7 Luxor Cafe +1500 15-1 +1500
1 Citizen Bull +2000 20-1 +2000
12 East Avenue +2000 20-1 +2000
13 Publisher +2000 20-1 +2000
14 Tiztastic +2000 20-1 +2000
2 Neoequos +3000 30-1 +3000
3 Final Gambit +3000 30-1 +3000
5 American Promise +3000 30-1 +3000
6 Admire Daytona +3000 30-1 +3000
11 Flying Mohawk +3000 30-1 +3000
15 Render Judgement +3000 30-1 +3000
16 Coal Battle +3000 30-1 +3000
19 Chunk of Gold +3000 30-1 +3000
20 Owen Almighty +3000 30-1 +3000
4 Rodriguez OTB 12-1 OTB
10 Grande OTB 20-1 OTB

*FanDuel Racing odds available in AZ, CO, IL, IN, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NY, OH, PA, VA, WV, WY

**bet365 Kentucky Derby odds are not available in the United States


Best Kentucky Derby betting sites

USA Where to bet on the Derby in the USA

FanDuel New Users
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Available in IL, IN, LA, MA, MD, MI, NY, OH, PA, VA, WV, WY.
CO users: Get $200 instantly when you place a $5 bet. 

FanDuel New Users
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Available in AZ, AR, CA, CO, DE, FL, IL, IN, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, MN, ND, NH, NY, NM, OH, OR, PA, RI, SD, WA, VA, WV, WY.


Canada Bet on the Kentucky Derby in Canada

bet365New Users
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*Not available in Ontario.


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🏇 Top contenders & odds

  • Journalism (3-1): The winner of the Santa Anita Derby, Journalism is the clear-cut favorite.
  • Sovereignty (5-1): Triumphed in the Fountain of Youth Stakes and ran second in the Florida Derby.
  • Sandman (6-1): Has had issues with slow starts but secured victory in the Arkansas Derby.

🔍 Expert insights

Journalism is a deserving favorite off his Santa Anita Derby win, but don't overlook Chunk of Gold at +3000. There's a good deal of pace signed on for the Kentucky Derby, and this late closer will be heard from in the lane based on his runner-up results in a pair of Fair Grounds preps.

  • Baeza (12-1): Tested Journalism while settling for second in Santa Anita Derby.
  • Burnham Square (12-1): Shook off disappointing Fountain of Youth effort with a score in the Blue Grass Stakes.
  • Luxor Cafe (15-1): Won the Fukuryu Stakes on the Japan road to the Derby, good for his fourth straight victory.

🐴 Spotlight: Journalism

Trainer: Michael McCarthy
Sire: Curlin
Recent Form: 1st - Santa Anita Derby

Journalism beat a well-regarded runner in Gaming in the Los Alamitos Futurity to close out his two-year-old career, then grinded down prize colt Barnes to kick off his sophomore campaign in the San Felipe Stakes. He punched his ticket to Churchill in the Santa Anita Derby over Baeza, with Breeders' Cup Juvenile winner Citizen Bull as well as Barnes far behind.

Journalism has Curlin on top and Uncle Mo on the bottom of his pedigree, so he's bred to run all day and age like fine wine.

🎯 Kentucky Derby long shot to watch: Coal Battle

Coal Battle was much closer to an Arkansas Derby pace that completely fell apart than eventual winner Sandman or runner-up Publisher was, and that may have taken the starch out of his late kick. This son of Coal Front had won each of his prior four starts, including the Grade II Rebel Stakes two-back.

What Are Morning Line Odds in Horse Racing?

Morning line odds in horse racing are the initial odds set by the track handicapper before betting begins. They serve as a prediction of how the public will bet once wagering opens.

Quick Breakdown:
  • 🧠 Set by an expert: A track oddsmaker analyzes the field and posts what they think the final odds will be based on factors like past performance and trainer/jockey combinations.
  • 🕗 Published in advance: These odds are typically released the day before or the morning of the race.
  • 🎯 Not fixed odds: They are only a forecast. Once betting opens, the actual odds change based on money wagered in the pari-mutuel pool.
  • 📉 Useful for early insight: Bettors use morning line odds to spot potential value or overlays—horses whose odds drift higher than expected.

Kentucky Derby 151 insights from bet365

  • Journalism has gained approximately 27% of all bets so far, and is followed by Sovereignty (15%) and Sandman (13%).
  • Citizen Bull has seen a lot of support over the last couple of days, and rounds out the Top 4 for overall tickets, with approximately 12%.
  • Another horse seeing decent support is the Japan-based colt Luxor Café at 10%. Luxor Café has been running very well in Japan this year, but this is his first race in North America.

Who won the Kentucky Derby, and what were the odds?

Although the Kentucky Derby favorite dominated at Churchill Downs from 2013 to 2018, Country House won the Run for the Roses in 2019 as the second-biggest underdog in Derby history at 65/1. Just three years later, Rich Strike surpassed Country House when he won the "Run for the Roses" at 80/1.

Here are the winners of the Kentucky Derby since 2000, their post positions, and their final odds.

Year Kentucky Derby Winner Post Position Final Odds
2025 Sovereignty 16 7/1
2024 Mystik Dan 3 18/1
2023 Mage 8 14/1
2022 Rich Strike 20 80/1
2021 Medina Spirit 8 12/1
2020 Authentic 18 8/1
2019 Country House 20 65/1
2018 Justify 7 5/2
2017 Always Dreaming 5 9/2
2016 Nyquist 13 2/1
2015 American Pharoah 18 5/2
2014 California Chrome 5 5/2
2013 Orb 16 5/1
2012 I'll Have Another 19 15/1
2011 Animal Kingdom 16 20/1
2010 Super Saver 4 8/1
2009 Mine That Bird 8 50/1
2008 Big Brown 20 7/2
2007 Street Sense 7 9/2
2006 Barbaro 3 6/1
2005 Giacomo 10 50/1
2004 Smarty Jones 13 4/1
2003 Funny Cide 5 13/1
2002 War Emblem 5 41/2
2001 Monarchos 16 21/2
2000 Fusaichi Pegasus 15 9/5

🎓 Betting education and resources

Kentucky Derby odds FAQs

Pages related to this topic

Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Publishing Editor

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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