Seattle Storm vs Atlanta Dream Prediction, Picks, and Odds: Underdogs Can't Challenge Streaking Dream

The Atlanta Dream will try to maintain their five-game winning streak as they host the lowly Seattle Storm on Wednesday night.

Atlanta (10-8) has effectively turned its season around with its winning streak, including two consecutive road wins against the Chicago Sky over the weekend. Seattle (4-15) continues to struggle through its rebuild, having lost six straight and heading into tonight’s game as heavy WNBA odds underdogs.

The Dream are rapidly moving up the WNBA standings, and won’t want to give away a home game to one of the weakest teams in the league. We’ll break down what to expect from tonight’s matchup in our free WNBA picks and predictions for Storm vs. Dream on July 12.

Storm vs Dream best odds

Storm vs Dream picks and predictions

After a slow start, Atlanta has found itself right in the middle of the WNBA playoff hunt. Over their last five games, the Dream have won by an average of 13.8 points, with three of those wins coming over teams currently in postseason position. 

Rhyne Howard has been absolutely dominant over this stretch. In her last four games, the 23-year-old guard — who won Rookie of the Year in 2022 — has averaged 26.8 points per game. That included a 43-point outburst against the Los Angeles Sparks on July 2. 

Howard hasn’t been acting alone during this winning streak, either. Allisha Gray (19.2 ppg over the last five games) and Cheyenne Parker (averaging 11 points and 8.2 rebounds in her last five games) have also been key contributors to a team that is not only running over teams offensively, but also seems to have found some stability on defense. 

That’s in stark contrast to the Storm, who seem to have no hope of competing this year. Seattle will be rebuilding around Jewell Loyd, who has established herself as one of the best players in the league and is averaging 25.7 ppg on the season. But there’s little talent around the 29-year-old guard, and while she’s taken well to the spotlight, Loyd isn’t enough to beat other teams on her own.

Seattle has problems all over the court. They have one of the worst offenses in the league, scoring just 79.2 ppg, while also allowing opponents to average 86.4 points, the second-worst mark in the WNBA. During the current six-game losing streak, the Storm have allowed 93 or more points on four different occasions.

The Storm have lost by an average of 9.8 points during their current losing streak, nearly alternating close calls with blowout defeats. While Seattle has occasionally shown grit against top teams, there’s been no consistency, and now it’s running into the hottest squad in the league.

Tonight’s matchup pits two teams headed in completely different directions against each other. Atlanta has the better players, is playing well at the moment, and has home-court advantage. Loyd may have trouble going off in the same way she has so often this year, as she’ll have tough assignments dealing with Howard and/or Gray throughout the evening.

Atlanta is a huge favorite in this game, but the line seems more than justified given what we’re currently seeing from these two teams. I’m taking the Dream and laying the points, as they should be able to pull away early and never face any serious danger tonight.

My best bet: Dream -8.5 (-110 at DraftKings)

Storm vs Dream spread and Over/Under analysis

Tonight’s game opened with the Dream as eight-point favorites over the Storm. That number has increased by a half-point, and Atlanta -8.5 is now the consensus line at virtually all sites. In some cases, there’s still a little juice on the Dream, and you can find -106 on Seattle getting the points. 

While Seattle has been awful on the court, it wasn’t expected to do much this year, and as such, the Storm have a solid 9-9-1 record against the spread this year. Atlanta is 11-7 ATS in 2023, and has covered in each of its last five games.

The Dream are on a roll right now, with all of their best players seemingly in peak form at the same time. That will be far too much for the floundering Storm to handle, even if they have been able to occasionally hang tough against good teams. I’m taking the Dream and laying the points in this game.

The total for tonight’s game opened at a flat 170 points. There’s been some slight movement upward since then, and the consensus Over/Under now sits at 170.5. The line is even on both sides, and you can find -110 on either the Over or the Under at that number.

Both teams have played to higher-than-expected scores this year. The Over is 11-8 in Storm games, and an even more impressive 12-6 when Atlanta plays. Seattle has played to an average total of 165.6, while the average total in Dream games is 173.7.

Atlanta has been particularly prolific on offense as of late, and the Storm have been among the worst offensive teams in the league. That suggests that the Dream should be able to put up points, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see them get close to the century mark on their own. Atlanta plays at the fastest pace in the league, which should also drag Seattle’s scoring up. I’m leaning towards the Over here.

Storm vs Dream betting trend to know

The Storm are 1-5 ATS in their last six games, while the Dream are 5-0 ATS in their last five. Find more WNBA betting trends for Storm vs. Dream.

Storm vs Dream game info

Storm vs Dream key injuries

Storm: None reported.
Dream: Aari McDonald G (Out), Iliana Rupert C (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

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