Two of the WNBA best teams out west will face off on Friday night as the Phoenix Mercury play host to the Las Vegas Aces.
Las Vegas finally seems to have set the ship right over the last couple weeks, and I’m taking it to cover again tonight in my Aces vs. Mercury predictions.
Let’s see what bettors can expect from tonight’s game in my free WNBA picks for Friday, August 15.
Aces vs Mercury predictions
My Aces vs Mercury best bet: Aces +4.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
The Las Vegas Aces spent the early part of the WNBA season floundering, going from a dynasty that had dominated the league over the first half of the decade to struggling to make the playoffs. But a recent run of seven wins in eight games has Las Vegas up to the No. 5 seed.
Other than the loss of Kelsey Plum, the other issue for the Aces seemed to be its defensive struggles. Even now, they rank ninth of 13 teams in points allowed (82.7 ppg) and defensive rating (103.8).
But Las Vegas has held opponents to 79.8 ppg during its current five-game winning streak, and has held four of its las seven opponents under the 80-point mark.
The Phoenix Mercury have watched their fast start cool a little bit over the past month, going 4-6 over its last 10 games.
The Mercury are still among the best defensive teams in the WNBA, but are going to have trouble containing A’ja Wilson who is averaging 22.0 points and 9.8 rebounds per game.
It’s tempting to take the Aces to win outright, but with Las Vegas on the road, I’m playing it safer tonight. Let’s back the Aces with the points in Phoenix.
Aces vs Mercury same-game parlay (SGP)
Aces +4.5
Under 168.5
A’ja Wilson 37+ (Over 36.5) points + rebounds + assists
Phoenix has hit the Under in each of its last four games, and I’m pairing that trend with my bet on the Aces to cover for my SGP.
I’ll also take a shot on A’ja Wilson to hit the Over on her combined PRA total.
Wilson has gone for at least 37 in this category in each of her last four games.
Aces vs Mercury odds
Aces vs Mercury live odds
Aces vs Mercury opening odds
- Spread: Las Vegas +4.5 (-110) | Phoenix -4.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Las Vegas +154 | Phoenix -185
- Over/Under: Over 168.5 (-112) | Under 168.5 (-108)
Aces vs Mercury trend
Las Vegas is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games overall. Find more WNBA betting trends for Aces vs. Mercury.
How to watch Aces vs Mercury
| Location | PHX Arena, Phoenix, AZ |
| Date | Friday, August 15, 2025 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ION |
Aces vs Mercury latest injuries
Aces: Cheyenne Parker-Tyus (personal) out.
Mercury: No injuries to report.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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