Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics is one of our featured undercard attractions at UFC 330, taking place this evening at the Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia.
Technical veteran Barboza hopes to snap a three-fight skid to revitalize his career, but Ribovics is far from a soft touch in the latest UFC odds.
Check out why I'm backing the heavy favorite in my Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics predictions and free betting picks for this lightweight bout on Saturday, Aug. 15.
Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics predictions for UFC 330
| Pick |  |
|---|---|
| Who will win: Ribovics ML | -700 |
| Best bet: Ribovics by KO/TKO | -170 |
| Prop: Ribovics to win in Round 1 | +190 |
Who will win Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics: Ribovics moneyline (-700)
Age is all about how you feel, but in combat sports, it's more about how you look. Edson Barboza has been declining for some time and is showing the effects of a long, bruising career.
He may still be the more technical striker, but his diminished movement and reflexes are major liabilities against the younger, more explosive Esteban Ribovics, who should close the distance, push the pace, and hand the veteran his fourth straight loss.
Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics best bet: Ribovics by KO/TKO (-170)
Barboza’s durability and movement have significantly decreased to the point where he is comprehensively losing fights with no silver lining.
While Ribovics’ offense is based on his athleticism, Barboza will be at a disadvantage whether this is a stand-up fight or one that gets to the mat.
There isn’t anything left for Barboza besides a last stand, and Ribovics should bring enough pressure to force a stoppage.
COVERS INTEL: Ribovics lands 7.27 significant strikes per minute, while Barboza absorbs 4.68 and has been knocked out in two of his last five losses.Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics prop pick: Ribovics to win in Round 1 (+190)
Jalin Turner used his physicality and pressure to overwhelm Barboza, and while Ribovics doesn't possess Turner's size and reach, he can attack many of the same vulnerabilities with activity and explosiveness.
Barboza has become increasingly slow to establish his offense during his losing streak. If Ribovics starts at his usual pace, I don't see Barboza surviving two rounds.
Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics odds
|
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Edson Barboza | Esteban Ribovics |
| To win outright | +440 | -700 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +750 | -170 |
| To win by decision | +1000 | +250 |
| To win by submission | +2900 | +1100 |
| Total rounds | Over 1.5 -130 |
Under 1.5 +100 |
Odds as of 8-15.
Ribovics is a massive -700 favorite, and the method-of-victory market strongly favors a stoppage, with his KO/TKO prop priced at -170.
While Over 1.5 rounds is slightly favored, Barboza has been stopped twice during his current three-fight skid.
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Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics tale of the tape
| Edson Barboza | Esteban Ribovics | |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | Age | 30 |
| 5-foot-11 | Height | 5-foot-10 |
| Lightweight | Weight Class | Lightweight |
| 75 inches | Reach | 69 inches |
| 24-14 | Record | 15-3 |
| 14 | Wins by KO | 7 |
| 1 | Wins by submission | 5 |
Barboza owns a six-inch reach advantage and remains the more technically accomplished striker, but at 40, his physical advantages don't carry the same weight they once did.
Ribovics is 10 years younger and fights at a much higher pace, which should test Barboza's declining movement and durability.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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