I have Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong predictions for the headliner at UFC 332 at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah, where a new women’s flyweight champion will be crowned.
Silva, favored at 68% in the UFC odds, enters on a 14-fight winning streak after defeating three former UFC champions, but Wang’s aggressive kickboxing presents a different kind of challenge.
Check out my free picks for Saturday's flyweight showdown below.
Natalia Silva vs Wang Cong predictions for UFC 332
| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
| Who will win: Silva | 68% |
| Top pick: Fight will go the distance | 76% |
| Prop: Silva by submission | 9% |
| Combo | 58% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Who will win Natalia Silva vs Wang Cong: Silva (68% Probability)
Silva's win over Rose Namajunas was controversial, but that doesn’t erase a run that has also included victories over Alexa Grasso and Jessica Andrade.
Wang is an excellent kickboxer with legitimate power and a mean streak, but Silva is considerably more versatile and defensively polished. She absorbs only 2.36 significant strikes per minute while defending 66% of significant strikes, allowing her to engage without consistently putting herself in danger.
Add Silva’s wrestling and submission game, and she simply has more ways to dictate where this fight takes place.
Natalia Silva vs Wang Cong top pick: Fight will go the distance (76% Probability)
Wang’s power should keep Silva defensively mindful, while Silva’s movement and striking defense make her extremely difficult to trap in prolonged exchanges. Silva is sharp defensively and has gone to the scorecards in six of her eight UFC victories.
With neither fighter scoring a finish since 2024, I expect Silva to prioritize winning exchanges rather than unnecessarily trading with Wang. Over five rounds, that should produce a tactical fight more likely to reach the judges than end in a stoppage.
COVERS INTEL: Silva owns a 66.3% significant-strike defense and 90.3% takedown defense, ranking fifth and sixth, respectively, among qualifying active UFC fighters.Natalia Silva vs Wang Cong prop: Silva by submission (9% Probability)
Wang submitted to Gabriella Fernandes in her lone loss. Silva has the skill set to attack the same weakness.
Silva owns seven career submission victories, and her movement and diverse striking should give her opportunities to create grappling exchanges without forcing them. I still expect Silva to prioritize position and defense over chasing a finish, but if this fight does end early, her submission game offers an intriguing path.
Natalia Silva vs Wang Cong combo
This parlay backs Silva to use her defensive discipline and deeper skill set to control a competitive five-round fight.
Wang’s power should discourage Silva from taking unnecessary risks, but Silva’s movement and significant-strike defense allow her to score without consistently exposing herself in return. With six of Silva’s eight UFC victories already coming by decision, I expect her to neutralize Wang’s aggression, win the cleaner exchanges, and leave Salt Lake City with the title on the scorecards.
Natalia Silva vs Wang Cong odds
|
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Natalia Silva | Wang Cong |
| To win outright | 68% | 32% |
| To win by KO/TKO | 15% | 13% |
| To win by decision | 51% | 29% |
| To win by submission | 9% | 4% |
| Total rounds | Over 4.5 76% |
Under 4.5 24% |
Odds as of 10-1.
Silva is the clear 68% favorite, and the method-of-victory markets strongly favor her winning on the scorecards, with Silva by decision carrying a 51% probability. Wang’s 29% decision probability is also considerably higher than either of her finishing methods, reinforcing expectations of a tactical five-round fight.
With the fight going the distance priced at 76%, the market strongly supports the scorecards, but Silva’s superior defense and versatility make her the more likely fighter to emerge with the decision.
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Natalia Silva vs Wang Cong tale of the tape
| Natalia Silva | Wang Cong | |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Age | 34 |
| 5-foot-4 | Height | 5-foot-7 |
| Flyweight | Weight Class | Flyweight |
| 65 inches | Reach | 66.5 inches |
| 20-5-1 | Record | 10-1 |
| 5 | Wins by KO | 2 |
| 7 | Wins by submission | 2 |
Wang owns modest physical advantages, standing two inches taller with a 1.5-inch reach advantage, but Silva is five years younger and brings considerably more professional experience. Silva’s finishing record reflects her more well-rounded skill set with five knockouts and seven submissions among her 20 victories.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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