The New England Patriots' backfield belongs to one man, and that's Rhamondre Stevenson, who has already exceled vs. some tough defenses so far in the playoffs.
My top Seahawks vs. Patriots predictions and NFL picks expect New England to keep feeding their No. 1 running back in Super Bowl LX.
Seahawks vs Patriots prediction
Seahawks vs Patriots Best bet: Rhamondre Stevenson Over 50.5 rushing yards (-110)
Rhamondre Stevenson has cleared his rushing total eight straight times. The market didn’t move much after a 25-carry, 71-yard effort against Denver — that’s a surprising lack of respect.
Stevenson accounts for 77% of New England’s running back rushing yards this postseason and handled 90% of the RB opportunities vs. Denver. If the New England Patriots run the ball 25+ times again, it’s almost all going through him.
He’s topped this number against the Chargers (fourth in EPA/rush), Texans (third), and Broncos (eighth). The Seattle Seahawks are a tough matchup, but Stevenson has faced the best and continues to earn trust.
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Seahawks vs Patriots same-game parlay
If the Seahawks do play with a lead, look for a "Seattle runs, New England passes" game script that should have Kenneth Walker III very busy (projects for 88 rushing yards), and George Holani getting the third-down pass-catching work after a four-target game.
Drake Maye will be passing, and Mack Hollins will be surprising many. Hollins could even lead the team in targets.
Seahawks vs Patriots SGP
- Drake Maye Over 1.5 passing touchdowns
- Kenneth Walker Over 72.5 rushing yards
- Mack Hollins Over 2.5 receptions
- George Holani Over 10.5 receiving yards
Our big-ticket SGP: TD finale
Maye might be the only guy running successfully in the red zone. I love Stevenson getting all the work to the red zone, but the Seahawks have allowed just five RB rushing TDs this year.
Rashid Shaheed has breakaway speed and can contribute on both special teams and on offense, while Hollins' prices are too long to not add for a +8500 monster moonshot.
Seahawks vs Patriots SGP
- Drake Maye anytime TD
- Rashid Shaheed anytime TD
- Mack Hollins anytime TD
Seahawks vs Patriots game predictions
Seahawks vs Patriots moneyline prediction
I understand the Seahawks defense is otherworldly, but it certainly didn't look that way in the Conference Championships, and facing Max Brosmer, Kirk Cousins, Philip Rivers, and Bryce Young down the stretch might have padded some of those defensive stats. The Patriots' offense will be competitive in a good-weather game.
Prediction: Patriots 24-23
Seahawks vs Patriots spread prediction
Both teams have crushed ATS this season, but this is a big spread with no "12s" advantage for the 'Hawks and an extra week to prep. The Patriots still have the better QB under center, and I'm getting 4.5 points. I don't have it in the account, but I do lean on the dogs.
Seahawks vs Patriots Over/Under prediction
The Patriots' offense has looked marginal over its run to Santa Clara, but the weather has been a factor, as well as the game script. If New England keeps this close, the Under is the better spot.
However, I absolutely think the Patriots can trade points if Seattle takes an early lead. There is a high chance of a special-teams or defensive TD in this game with the rosters on both sides.
Seahawks vs Patriots odds
- Spread: Seahawks -4.5 | Patriots +4.5
- Moneyline: Seahawks -235 | Patriots +195
- Over/Under: Over 46 | Under 46
More NFL picks and odds from Covers
Seahawks vs Patriots trend to know
Stevenson has gone Over his rushing prop in eight straight games dating back to Week 13. Find more NFL betting trends for Seahawks vs. Patriots.
How to watch Seahawks vs Patriots
| Location | Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA |
| Date | Sunday, February 8, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 6:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
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