Best NFL Picks Today

Eagles OC Sean Mannion was asked if we’re going to get more runs from Hurts after only 7 carries in Week 1. He told the media we would, stating, “It’s certainly something that really unlocks things for us.” Given that the Week 2 defense is Tennessee, I expect Hurts to have a big day on the ground and find the end zone, especially with the “Tush Push” at play. 

This is a fair number for Metcalf to find the end zone. He paced the Steelers in targets with a 27% share in Week 1, and he also garnered a respectable 28.6% of red-zone touches in 2025. Additionally, the 6-foot-4 Metcalf has a notable size advantage over the New England secondary, and I expect McCarthy to create opportunities for his go-to receiver to avoid being blanketed by Patriots star shadow cornerback Christian Gonzalez.

We don’t need another 59-point eruption. Half of that will do in Chicago’s home opener. Brian Flores’ overrated defense allowed just 22 points last week, but Green Bay scored 19 before halftime and averaged 6.3 yards per play leading to a misleading final score. Give me four Bears touchdowns to clear this number. I’ll also accept 14 safeties. Whatever gets us there.

While Young has progressed as a quarterback over the last four years on a number of fronts, avoiding the big mistake has not been one of them. He had a career-high 11 interceptions last season and threw a pick in the opener against Chicago as well, giving Young interceptions in three straight games.

Atlanta held Pittsburgh to 58 rushing yards in the opener and 3-for-13 on third down. A similar performance will force Young to try to make plays, and that’s when bad things can happen for the Panthers. The Falcons’ pass rush has been hit by injuries, but a deep crop of edge rushers hit Aaron Rodgers six times and pressured him 14 times in the opener.

The New York Jets went to Breece Hall 22 times on the ground in Week 1, while also getting him two catches in the passing game. The Green Bay Packers posted a -0.05 EPA against the run in 2025, and played to that same number against the Minnesota Vikings last week. I'm backing Hall to score again in Week 2 at up to 50%.

Tyler Shough soared Over his 21.5 pass-completion prop last week vs. Detroit, connecting on 35-of-56 passes. But the Lions are missing their two best defensive backs, Kerby Joseph and Brian Branch, and the Ravens had the highest pressure rate in Week 1 with a league-average blitz rate. So, Baltimore can pressure Shough without sending too many defenders on the blitz. 

Schultz had team highs in receiving success rate (60.4%) and catches (82) last season while averaging 45.7 receiving yards per game. His target share should increase this week without Collins on the field. 

Play up to 60%. Chris Godwin caught all four of his targets for 40 yards in Week 1 and draws a favorable matchup from the slot. Cleveland struggled badly against slot receivers in its opener, including allowing Parker Washington five catches for 83 yards and a touchdown. Godwin should see enough volume to clear four receptions.

Parker Washington picked up where he left off last season, catching five of six targets for 83 yards in Jacksonville’s opener. He has now recorded at least five receptions in five straight games and commanded a 29% target share in Week 1, more than double that of any other Jaguars pass catcher.
 
 

Coming off 10 touchdowns in his rookie year, Jeanty is primed to cruise past that total in Kubiak’s offense.

Running behind Tyler Linderbaum, Kolton Miller and DJ Glaze, Jeanty should get red zone opportunities at SoFi Stadium, and it’s not as if Kirk Cousins is a big threat to vulture goal-line carries. 

Harrison only caught one pass last week for 33 yards vs. the Los Angeles Chargers, who have a much worse secondary than Seattle. There are too many mouths to feed in Arizona, between All-Pro TE Trey McBride and running back Jeremiyah Love, who was selected third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. 

Deebo led all receivers in red zone targets in Week 1 and now gets a cupcake matchup against the Miami Dolphins, which should see the 49ers making plenty of trips to the end zone. With a 60% target share inside 15 yards and a touchdown to his name already, it didn't take long for him and Brock Purdy to re-establish their connection. We're going to see plenty of opportunity come Sunday against a defense that gave up three scores in the red area a week ago - ride with Deebo.

Ryan Flournoy caught only two passes in two games against the Washington Commanders last season, despite being on the field for 56.3% and 57.1% of snaps in each. 

Alec Pierce runs mostly vertical routes, which are the easiest for a cornerback to defend because it's a foot race. Plus, I'm fading Colts QB Daniel Jones, who is one of the worst primetime quarterbacks in NFL history and is still recovering from a season-ending Achilles tear last year. 

Jaxson Dart isn't getting his rushing back scaled properly. He scrambled five times last week and added three designed runs for 54 yards. He also had three kneel-downs and lost five total yards, all in a game where he led wire-to-wire. Now he'll likely be playing from behind, increasing his passing rate, which should in turn increase his scrambling chances. He also likely won't lose five yards on kneel-downs as a touchdown underdog. The projections at Covers are calling for 37.6 rushing yards, and Dart to be the third-most active QB rusher in Week 2 with 7.2 carries.