49ers @ Eagles Picks & Props

This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the 49ers, who are -5.5-point underdogs. With an impressive 26.5% Red Zone Target Share (100th percentile) this year, Christian McCaffrey places among the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the league. Christian McCaffrey has accumulated a monstrous 21.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage). Christian McCaffrey's 41.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 33.9. Christian McCaffrey's 84.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a noteworthy progression in his receiving prowess over last year's 80.8% rate.

The Philadelphia Eagles may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more carries) because they be rolling out backup QB Tanner McKee. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 127.5 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (34.1 per game) this year. The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board. This year, the daunting 49ers run defense has conceded a paltry 0.76 rushing TDs per game to opposing squads: the 8th-best rate in the NFL.

The Philadelphia Eagles may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more carries) because they be rolling out backup QB Tanner McKee. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 127.5 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (34.1 per game) this year. With a sizeable 27.7% Red Zone Target% (97th percentile) this year, A.J. Brown ranks among the WRs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the league. A.J. Brown has accumulated a staggering 95.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs.

This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the 49ers, who are -5.5-point underdogs. With an elite 24.0% Red Zone Target% (92nd percentile) this year, Jauan Jennings rates among the WRs with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL. Jauan Jennings ranks in the 94th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging an exceptional 0.53 per game.

The Philadelphia Eagles may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more carries) because they be rolling out backup QB Tanner McKee. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 127.5 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (34.1 per game) this year. When talking about air yards, Saquon Barkley ranks in the lofty 90th percentile among RBs this year, totaling a staggering 2.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more impressive than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards). Saquon Barkley places in the 92nd percentile for RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) with a colossal 17.9 mark this year.

The Philadelphia Eagles may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more carries) because they be rolling out backup QB Tanner McKee. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 127.5 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (34.1 per game) this year. With an impressive 28.8% Red Zone Target% (96th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert places as one of the TEs with the highest volume near the goal line in the league. Dallas Goedert has accrued a whopping 37.0 air yards per game this year: 86th percentile when it comes to TEs.

This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the 49ers, who are -5.5-point underdogs. With an exceptional 20.3% Red Zone Target% (91st percentile) this year, George Kittle places as one of the tight ends with the highest volume near the goal line in the league. George Kittle's 48.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in the NFL: 98th percentile for tight ends. With an outstanding 86.9% Adjusted Catch% (94th percentile) this year, George Kittle rates among the best possession receivers in the league when it comes to TEs. George Kittle grades out in the 95th percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 0.54 per game.

This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the 49ers, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Brock Purdy's throwing precision has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 66.2% to 70.2%. With a stellar rate of 1.82 per game (92nd percentile), Brock Purdy ranks as one of the best TD throwers in the NFL this year.