Patriots @ Jets Picks & Props

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At the present time, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football in the red zone (60.0% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Patriots.. Rhamondre Stevenson has accumulated many more air yards this season (10.0 per game) than he did last season (-3.0 per game).. Rhamondre Stevenson ranks in the 88th percentile for running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with an impressive 15.9 figure this year.. When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the New England Patriots ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year.. This year, the shaky Jets defense has given up a staggering 0.53 receiving TDs per game to opposing running backs: the highest rate in the NFL.

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football in the red zone (60.0% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Patriots.. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may fall-off.. With a top-tier 29.7% Red Zone Target Share (97th percentile) this year, Hunter Henry rates as one of the TEs with the highest volume near the goal line in the league.. Hunter Henry has notched a massive 43.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile when it comes to tight ends.. When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the New England Patriots ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year.

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football in the red zone (60.0% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Patriots.. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may fall-off.. While Stefon Diggs has been responsible for 17.2% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in New England's offense near the goal line in this game at 22.6%.. When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the New England Patriots ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year.. Stefon Diggs's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 73.7% to 84.1%.

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football in the red zone (60.0% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Patriots.. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may fall-off.. When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the New England Patriots ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year.. This year, the shaky Jets defense has given up a staggering 0.53 receiving TDs per game to opposing running backs: the highest rate in the NFL.

The New York Jets may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be starting backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are huge underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.. Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with better passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.. This year, the anemic Patriots defense has given up a whopping 1.07 TDs through the air per game to opposing wide receivers: the 4th-highest rate in the league.. This year, the strong Patriots run defense has yielded a puny 0.67 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing offenses: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.

The New York Jets may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be starting backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are huge underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.. Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with better passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.. When talking about air yards, Breece Hall grades out in the lofty 92nd percentile among RBs this year, accruing a superb 3.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).. Breece Hall's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 76.7% to 89.2%.

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football in the red zone (60.0% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Patriots.. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may fall-off.. When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the New England Patriots ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year.. The Jets defense has been gouged for the 4th-most TDs through the air in the NFL: 1.80 per game this year.

The New York Jets may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be starting backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are huge underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.. This year, the porous Patriots defense has yielded a colossal 73.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-highest rate in the NFL.. This year, the strong Patriots run defense has yielded a puny 0.67 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing offenses: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, New England's group of safeties has been excellent this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

The New York Jets may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be starting backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are huge underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.. Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with better passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.. The projections expect Jeremy Ruckert to be a more integral piece of his team's air attack near the end zone in this game (9.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.9% in games he has played).. Jeremy Ruckert's 85.1% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a significant gain in his receiving talent over last season's 66.4% rate.

The Patriots are a massive 13.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Patriots to pass on 53.1% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see only 126.0 offensive plays run: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.. Stefon Diggs's 45.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 53.8.. Stefon Diggs's 4.5 adjusted catches per game this season reflects a noteworthy reduction in his receiving prowess over last season's 5.7 figure.

The New York Jets may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be starting backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are huge underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.. Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with better passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.. The Patriots pass defense has given up the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (67.1%) to wideouts this year (67.1%).

The New York Jets may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be starting backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are huge underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.. Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with better passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.. Jeremy Ruckert's 85.1% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a significant gain in his receiving talent over last season's 66.4% rate.. The Patriots pass defense has been torched for the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (77.3%) to TEs this year (77.3%).

The model projects the New York Jets to be the least pass-focused offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 54.4% pass rate.. The predictive model expects the Jets to call the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. Breece Hall's 15.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 21.8.. Breece Hall's play as a receiver has worsened this season, compiling just 2.0 adjusted catches compared to 3.6 last season.. The Patriots linebackers rank as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

The Patriots are a massive 13.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Patriots to pass on 53.1% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see only 126.0 offensive plays run: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.. Hunter Henry's 37.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 44.2.. Hunter Henry's 3.1 adjusted catches per game this season signifies a material diminishment in his receiving ability over last season's 4.2 mark.

The Patriots are a massive 13.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Patriots to pass on 53.1% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see only 125.9 offensive plays run: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football in the red zone (60.0% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Patriots.. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may fall-off.. When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the New England Patriots ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year.. The Jets defense has been gouged for the 4th-most TDs through the air in the NFL: 1.80 per game this year.. The New York Jets linebackers grade out as the 6th-worst unit in football this year in covering receivers.

The New York Jets may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be starting backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are huge underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.. Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with better passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.. This year, the porous Patriots defense has yielded a colossal 73.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-highest rate in the NFL.

The New York Jets may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be starting backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are huge underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.. Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with better passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.. This year, the porous Patriots defense has yielded a colossal 73.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-highest rate in the NFL.

The Patriots are a massive 13.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Patriots to pass on 53.1% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see only 126.0 offensive plays run: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

The Patriots are a massive 13.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Patriots to pass on 53.1% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see only 126.0 offensive plays run: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

The model projects the New York Jets to be the least pass-focused offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 54.4% pass rate.. The predictive model expects the Jets to call the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.1 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Patriots are a massive 13.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Patriots to pass on 53.1% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see only 126.0 offensive plays run: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

The New York Jets may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be starting backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are huge underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.. Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with better passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.. This year, the porous Patriots defense has yielded a colossal 73.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-highest rate in the NFL.

The New York Jets may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be starting backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are huge underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.. Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with better passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.. The New England Patriots have intercepted 0.50 balls per game this year, ranking as the 9th-worst defense in the league by this statistic

The Patriots are a massive 13.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Patriots to pass on 53.1% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see only 125.9 offensive plays run: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

The New York Jets may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be starting backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are huge underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.. Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with better passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.. The Patriots pass defense has given up the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (67.1%) to wideouts this year (67.1%).. This year, the shaky New England Patriots defense has given up the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a monstrous 8.55 yards.

The New York Jets may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be starting backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are huge underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.. Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with better passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.. Jeremy Ruckert's 85.1% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a significant gain in his receiving talent over last season's 66.4% rate.. The New England Patriots defense has yielded the 9th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (61.0) to tight ends this year.

The New York Jets may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be starting backup quarterback Brady Cook.. At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are huge underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.. Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with better passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.. When talking about air yards, Breece Hall grades out in the lofty 92nd percentile among RBs this year, accruing a superb 3.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).. Breece Hall's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 76.7% to 89.2%.

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may fall-off.. When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the New England Patriots ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year.. This year, the weak Jets defense has yielded the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing RBs: a monstrous 7.44 yards.. The New York Jets linebackers grade out as the 6th-worst unit in football this year in covering receivers.

The Patriots are a massive 13.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Patriots to pass on 53.1% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see only 125.9 offensive plays run: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.. After averaging 64.0 air yards per game last season, Stefon Diggs has undergone a big decline this season, now pacing 53.0 per game.. Stefon Diggs's 45.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 53.8.

The model projects the New York Jets to be the least pass-focused offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 54.2% pass rate.. The predictive model expects the Jets to call the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The Patriots linebackers rank as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

The Patriots are a massive 13.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Patriots to pass on 53.1% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see only 125.9 offensive plays run: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.. Hunter Henry's 37.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 44.2.. Hunter Henry's 70.5% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a significant drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 75.1% mark.

The Patriots are a massive 13.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Patriots to run on 46.9% of their plays: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week.. In this contest, Rhamondre Stevenson is forecasted by the projections to position himself in the 95th percentile among running backs with 18.4 rush attempts.. While Rhamondre Stevenson has garnered 37.4% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of New England's rushing attack this week at 61.8%.. This year, the weak Jets run defense has yielded a colossal 136.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 6th-most in football.

The Patriots are a massive 13.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Patriots to run on 46.9% of their plays: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week.. This year, the weak Jets run defense has yielded a colossal 136.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 6th-most in football.. As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, New York's safety corps has been lousy this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the league. in the league.

At the moment, the 2nd-most run-oriented offense in the league (45.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Jets.

At the moment, the 2nd-most run-oriented offense in the league (45.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Jets.. In this game, Breece Hall is projected by the projections to rank in the 95th percentile among RBs with 18.3 carries.. Out of all running backs, Breece Hall ranks in the 89th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 59.2% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.. Breece Hall has picked up 52.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest figures in the league when it comes to running backs (84th percentile).