SF -4.5 o46.0
IND 4.5 u46.0
Final 4OT Dec 18
LA 37 2.0 o42.0
SEA 38 -2.0 u42.0
Final Dec 20
PHI 29 -7.0 o43.5
WAS 18 7.0 u43.5
Final 4OT Dec 20
GB 16 1.0 o44.5
CHI 22 -1.0 u44.5
Final Dec 21
BUF 23 -10.5 o41.0
CLE 20 10.5 u41.0
Final Dec 21
TB 20 -3.0 o45.0
CAR 23 3.0 u45.0
Final Dec 21
LAC 34 1.0 o51.0
DAL 17 -1.0 u51.0
Final Dec 21
NYJ 6 6.5 o40.0
NO 29 -6.5 u40.0
Final Dec 21
MIN 16 -2.5 o41.0
NYG 13 2.5 u41.0
Final Dec 21
KC 9 -3.0 o37.5
TEN 26 3.0 u37.5
Final Dec 21
CIN 45 -3.5 o48.5
MIA 21 3.5 u48.5
Final Dec 21
JAC 34 3.5 o47.0
DEN 20 -3.5 u47.0
Final Dec 21
ATL 26 -2.5 o48.5
ARI 19 2.5 u48.5
Final Dec 21
LV 21 14.5 o39.5
HOU 23 -14.5 u39.5
Final Dec 21
PIT 29 7.5 o52.0
DET 24 -7.5 u52.0
Final Dec 21
NE 28 3.5 o48.0
BAL 24 -3.5 u48.0
Jaguars 1st AFC South11-4
Broncos 1st AFC West12-3
FOX

Jaguars @ Broncos Picks & Props

JAC vs DEN Picks

NFL Picks
Receiving Yards
Brenton Strange logo Brenton Strange o39.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Ence image
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst

The Broncos have the second-best sack rate in the NFL, and Lawrence will need to get rid of the ball quicker than usual. That means fewer downfield throws and more targets to his tight end. He's been targeted 18 times in his four games back from injury, and had five catches for 93 yards against the Cardinals. The Cardinals and Broncos have similar performance against tight ends, and things are lining up for Strange to top 50 yards and easily clear his total. 

Score a Touchdown
Brian Thomas Jr. logo Brian Thomas Jr. Score a Touchdown (Yes: +240)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Trevor Lawrence is coming off a six-touchdown performance, and Brian Thomas looks back to his 2025 form. He found the end zone last week and led the team in red-zone usage with three targets, including two inside the 10. It's a great price, and with Jakobi Meyers likely drawing defensive attention and the market still lagging on Thomas, Week 16 sets up as a strong buy spot. For a receiver who scored 10 touchdowns as a rookie, +200 or better is a number worth taking.

Score a Touchdown
Trevor Lawrence logo Trevor Lawrence Score a Touchdown (Yes: +475)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Lawrence has a big “prove it” game in Denver and takes on an elite defense that gets even stingier in the red zone. We’re seeing him have more freedom to tuck and run in Liam Coen’s offense, which has led to six rushing touchdowns, including one last week against the Jets. He’s third among QB in RZ carries with 19 behind Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts, yet doesn’t carry the same ATTD prices as those dual-threats

Total
Jacksonville Jaguars logo Denver Broncos logo o45.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 days ago
Jason Ence image
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst

The Over is 5-2 in Jacksonville's last seven, and has hit in Denver's last three. And I love it to hit again here.

Jacksonville hasn’t been held under 25 points since the bye week, and Denver’s run defense has been leaky the past few weeks, and that will let the Jaguars move the ball. Add in Little’s leg and they should score anytime they get near midfield.

Nix won’t push the ball downfield like some teams do against the Jaguars, but Denver’s quick-pass scheme will help him keep drives alive and negate some of the pass rush ability of the Jaguars. He’ll also put together enough drives against a defense that struggles to get stops on third and five or less.

 

Spread
Jacksonville Jaguars logo JAC +3.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 days ago
Jason Ence image
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst

As long as I'm getting a flat three points, I'm taking the Jaguars to cover.

The Jags have covered in five straight, beating the spread by an average of 16.6 points in that span. Trevor Lawrence is red-hot, throwing for nearly 1800 yards and 18 touchdowns in the seven games since the bye week. 

The Broncos are showing weaknesses on defense of late, especially against the run. And their comeback over the Packers this weekend was aided by a rash of injuries to their opponent. Bo Nix can't consistently throw the ball more than 10 yards downfield, which negates Jacksonville's biggest issue on defense.

The oddsmakers have been underestimating the Jaguars for some time now, and with Cam Little's "in the stadium" range and the thin Mile High air, I'll back the visitors to keep this one very close in what should be a tight affair. 

Score a Touchdown
RH
RJ Harvey Score a Touchdown (Yes: -105)
Projection 0.8 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At the present time, the 6th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (63.8% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Broncos.. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are predicted by the projection model to run 68.1 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-most among all teams this week.. The Denver Broncos have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 59.4 plays per game.. The Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in football (39.9 per game) this year.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Broncos ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
Passing Yards
Trevor Lawrence logo
Trevor Lawrence u226.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 211.51 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Trevor Lawrence has been one of the least accurate QBs in the NFL this year with a 59.8% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 13th percentile.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 4th-lowest clip in the NFL versus the Broncos defense this year (65.4% Adjusted Completion%).. This year, the fierce Denver Broncos defense has conceded the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to the opposing side: a meager 7.1 yards.
Passing Yards
Bo Nix logo
Bo Nix o243.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 253.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
At the present time, the 6th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (63.8% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Broncos.. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are predicted by the projection model to run 68.1 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-most among all teams this week.. The Denver Broncos have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 59.4 plays per game.. The Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in football (39.9 per game) this year.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Broncos ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
Interceptions Thrown
Trevor Lawrence logo
Trevor Lawrence u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+100)
Projection 0.46 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
RH
RJ Harvey o15.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Projection 23.11 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At the present time, the 6th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (63.8% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Broncos.. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are predicted by the projection model to run 68.1 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-most among all teams this week.. The Denver Broncos have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 59.4 plays per game.. The Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in football (39.9 per game) this year.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Broncos ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
Receiving Yards
Travis Etienne Jr. logo
Travis Etienne Jr. o13.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Projection 16.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Jaguars are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.. The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The Denver Broncos defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.6 per game) this year.. In this week's game, Travis Etienne is projected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.0 targets.
Receiving Yards
Courtland Sutton logo
Courtland Sutton u64.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 60.67 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Broncos are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their usual game plan.. Courtland Sutton has notched far fewer air yards this year (94.0 per game) than he did last year (102.0 per game).. Courtland Sutton's 56.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 68.1.. Courtland Sutton's 54.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year indicates a significant reduction in his pass-catching ability over last year's 73.0 figure.. Courtland Sutton's skills in picking up extra yardage have diminished this year, totaling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 2.11 figure last year.
Rushing Yards
RH
RJ Harvey o49.5 Rushing Yards (-105)
Projection 61.46 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Broncos are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their usual game plan.. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are predicted by the projection model to run 68.1 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-most among all teams this week.. The Denver Broncos have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 59.4 plays per game.
Rushing Yards
Bo Nix logo
Bo Nix o17.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
Projection 21.16 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Broncos are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their usual game plan.. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are predicted by the projection model to run 68.1 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-most among all teams this week.. The Denver Broncos have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 59.4 plays per game.
Rushing Yards
Trevor Lawrence logo
Trevor Lawrence o19.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 22.41 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. After making up 10.3% of his offense's carries last season, Trevor Lawrence has been called on more in the run game this season, now sitting at 16.2%.. Trevor Lawrence has rushed for many more yards per game (19.0) this season than he did last season (11.0).. The Denver defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-worst group of DEs in football this year when it comes to run defense.
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JAC vs DEN Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

JAC vs DEN Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

RJ Harvey Score a Touchdown Props • Denver

RJ Harvey
R. Harvey
running back RB • Denver
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 10th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.0% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Broncos. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are predicted by the projection model to run 68.1 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week. The Denver Broncos have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 59.4 plays per game. The Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in football (39.9 per game) this year.

RJ Harvey logo

RJ Harvey

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.8

The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 10th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.0% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Broncos. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are predicted by the projection model to run 68.1 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week. The Denver Broncos have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 59.4 plays per game. The Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in football (39.9 per game) this year.

Brenton Strange Score a Touchdown Props • Jacksonville

Brenton Strange
B. Strange
tight end TE • Jacksonville
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.27
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.27
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Denver Broncos defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.6 per game) this year. After averaging 23.0 air yards per game last year, Brenton Strange has gotten better this year, currently pacing 40.0 per game.

Brenton Strange logo

Brenton Strange

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.27
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.27

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Denver Broncos defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.6 per game) this year. After averaging 23.0 air yards per game last year, Brenton Strange has gotten better this year, currently pacing 40.0 per game.

Jakobi Meyers Score a Touchdown Props • Jacksonville

Jakobi Meyers
J. Meyers
wide receiver WR • Jacksonville
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.4
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.4
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Denver Broncos defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.6 per game) this year. The Jacksonville O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

Jakobi Meyers logo

Jakobi Meyers

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.4
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.4

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Denver Broncos defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.6 per game) this year. The Jacksonville O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

Evan Engram Score a Touchdown Props • Denver

Evan Engram
E. Engram
tight end TE • Denver
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.2
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 10th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.0% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Broncos. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are predicted by the projection model to run 68.1 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week. The Denver Broncos have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 59.4 plays per game. The Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in football (39.9 per game) this year.

Evan Engram logo

Evan Engram

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.2
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.2

The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 10th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.0% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Broncos. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are predicted by the projection model to run 68.1 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week. The Denver Broncos have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 59.4 plays per game. The Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in football (39.9 per game) this year.

Courtland Sutton Score a Touchdown Props • Denver

Courtland Sutton
C. Sutton
wide receiver WR • Denver
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.44
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.44
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 10th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.0% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Broncos. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are predicted by the projection model to run 68.1 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week. The Denver Broncos have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 59.4 plays per game. The Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in football (39.9 per game) this year.

Courtland Sutton logo

Courtland Sutton

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.44
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.44

The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 10th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.0% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Broncos. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are predicted by the projection model to run 68.1 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week. The Denver Broncos have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 59.4 plays per game. The Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in football (39.9 per game) this year.

Travis Etienne Jr. Score a Touchdown Props • Jacksonville

Travis Etienne Jr.
T. Etienne Jr.
running back RB • Jacksonville
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.55
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.55
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Denver Broncos defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.6 per game) this year. With a remarkable 12.5% Red Zone Target Rate (88th percentile) this year, Travis Etienne places as one of the pass-catching running backs with the most usage near the end zone in the league.

Travis Etienne Jr. logo

Travis Etienne Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.55
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.55

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Denver Broncos defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.6 per game) this year. With a remarkable 12.5% Red Zone Target Rate (88th percentile) this year, Travis Etienne places as one of the pass-catching running backs with the most usage near the end zone in the league.

Bo Nix Score a Touchdown Props • Denver

Bo Nix
B. Nix
quarterback QB • Denver
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.15
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.15
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 10th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.0% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Broncos. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are predicted by the projection model to run 68.1 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week. The Denver Broncos have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 59.4 plays per game. The Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in football (39.9 per game) this year.

Bo Nix logo

Bo Nix

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.15
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.15

The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 10th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.0% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Broncos. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are predicted by the projection model to run 68.1 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week. The Denver Broncos have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 59.4 plays per game. The Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in football (39.9 per game) this year.

Trevor Lawrence Score a Touchdown Props • Jacksonville

Trevor Lawrence
T. Lawrence
quarterback QB • Jacksonville
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.13
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.13
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This week, Trevor Lawrence is predicted by the predictive model to average the 8th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 36.4. The Denver Broncos defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.6 per game) this year.

Trevor Lawrence logo

Trevor Lawrence

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.13
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.13

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This week, Trevor Lawrence is predicted by the predictive model to average the 8th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 36.4. The Denver Broncos defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.6 per game) this year.

Michael Bandy Score a Touchdown Props • Denver

Michael Bandy
M. Bandy
wide receiver WR • Denver
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.33
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.33
Best Odds

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

JAC vs DEN Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

There are no User Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Team Leaders to see all User picks.

Jacksonville Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 bigcash 9-1-0 +5950
2 RickRock 7-3-0 +5600
3 Wizepicks 8-2-0 +5250
4 rollonotes 4-6-0 +5050
5 APPLEST 8-1-1 +4850
6 dwnonmluk 9-1-0 +4800
7 racerz4 7-3-0 +4800
8 BradytheK9 9-1-0 +4800
9 wu1978 8-2-0 +4700
10 vegasWA 6-4-0 +4700
All Jaguars Money Leaders

Denver Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Ohyarain 7-3-0 +6650
2 lsbellmom 6-4-0 +6600
3 manomanomano551 6-4-0 +6100
4 Rickyg50 10-0-0 +5850
5 RUSHVEGAS 8-2-0 +5600
6 Dalmeetz48 5-5-0 +5550
7 coakley69 9-1-0 +5350
8 memphiskid 9-1-0 +4950
9 plasma9 8-2-0 +4900
10 ladyjumpers 9-1-0 +4900
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